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2019 Nick Foles Props With Jaguars: Over/Under Passing Yards Set at Just 3,500

Nick Foles
Nick Foles is not only the new elite ambassador for Lululemon, but also the new quarterback for the Jacksonville Jaguars. Photo from @NickFoles (Twitter)
  • Nick Foles set to take his talents to Jacksonville
  • Three interesting prop bets on how well Super Bowl LII MVP will do in 2019
  • The best value picks to take home the most cash

The long national nightmare is over – the Philadelphia Eagles have cast their lot with Carson Wentz, leaving Nick Foles to ply his trade in Jacksonville, following his 4-year, $88 million free-agent deal.

In limited playing time the last two seasons, Foles has been excellent, in particular leading the Eagles to their first Super Bowl title and not just getting them into the playoffs last season, but upsetting the Bears in Chicago in the Wild Card round.

So how will he do in Jacksonville? BetOnline has three interesting prop bets to wager on for the Jaguars new signal-caller.

2019 Regular Season Nick Foles Props

Prop Projection Over Odds at BetOnline Under Odds at BetOnline
Interceptions 12.5 -115 -115
Passing Yards 3500.5 -115 -115
Touchdown Passes 21.5 -115 -115

*Odds taken March 12

Foles a Much Steadier Option Under Center for Jaguars

It doesn’t take a genius to realize why the Jaguars are making a quarterback change to begin with. Nick Foles is far superior to the Jags’ 2018 QB tandem Blake Bortles and Cody Kessler.

Nick Foles vs 2018 Jaguars QBs

Nick Foles
VS
Jaguars QBs

72.3 Comp % 61.4
282.6 Yds/Game 214.4
7 TD 15
4 INT 13
96.0 Passer Rating 79.1
4-1 Record 5-11

In just five regular season games in 2018, the Super Bowl 52 hero led the Eagles to four wins with his steady and heady play.

Not bad for a guy who seemingly had established himself as a journeyman, potentially on the verge of retirement following a failed stint with the Rams and not much playing time with the Chiefs.

Bet the Under on Interceptions

This one seems like a shoo-in to pick the under.

Only once in his seven-year career has Foles played more than 11 games in a campaign, and he’s yet to throw more than ten interceptions in any of his seasons.

He’s missed time either due to ineffectiveness, injury, or he was passed over by a better QB. His four picks in five games last season extrapolate to 12.5 over the course of a full season, thus the betting line.

Based on past history, take the under.

Go Under on Passing Yards, Too

Foles’ best season in terms of passing yards came way back in 2013, during his scintillating 27:2 TD to INT campaign, where he posted just under 2,900 yards in 13 contests.

In the Jaguars successful 2017 season that saw them reach the AFC title game, they were first in rushing yards per game and middle of the road in passing yards per game.

So even in a strong season, coach Doug Marrone slanted towards the run versus chucking the ball all over the place – Bortles was 11th in passing yards. Expect the Jags to run a similar philosophy in 2019 and bet the under.

Foles Surpasses 21.5 Touchdowns

That 2013 year was the outlier for Foles in terms of TD passes. In none of his other six season has he thrown more than 13 touchdowns.

However, given the large investment the team has made, you’d be hard pressed to expect him to not play the majority, if not all 16 games, even if he struggles.

Should he have a down year, they’ll be behind a lot in the fourth quarter, where he could pick up some garbage time scores. To expect him to average a little over a TD pass a game isn’t an insane ask.

This is the one prop to bet the over.

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Michael "Hound Dog" Harrison is well known in the sports industry as the resident statisitician for the Jay and Dan Show. He has worked at TSN for over 13 years, where he's been featured on Sportscentre, That's Hockey, That's Hockey 2Nite, The Masters preview shows, and several more.