Best Commanders vs Lions Player Props to Target (Jan. 18)
By Eric Rosales in NFL Football
Published:
- The Washington Commanders visit the Detroit Lions in Divisional Round Playoff action, with the winner advancing to the NFC Championship Game
- Detroit was the highest scoring team in the NFL this season
- Take a look below for our top Commanders vs Lions player prop bets
There’s a trip to the NFC Championship Game on the line Saturday night when the Washington Commanders (12-5, 5-3 away) visit the top-seeded Detroit Lions (15-2, 7-2 home). Action gets underway at 8pm ET from Ford Field, with Detroit pegged as a large 8.5-point favorite in Commanders vs Lions odds. We’ve already seen Jayden Daniels play above his rookie status, but can he go score-for-score with football’s top scoring offense? IÂ run down the NFL player props and best bets for this matchup.
Washington Commanders vs Detroit Lions Player Props
| Passer | Completions | Passing Yards | Passing TDs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jared Goff (DET) | 23.5 (O -125 | U +100) | 272.5 (O -110 | U -115) | 2.5 (O +135 | U -170) |
| Jayden Daniels (WAS) | 22.5 (O -115 | U -110) | 237.5 (O -110 | U -110) | 1.5 (O +100 | U -125) |
| Rusher | Rushing Attempts | Rushing Yards | Longest Rush |
| Jahmyr Gibbs (DET) | 15.5 (O -105 | U -120) | 83.5 (O -115 | U -110) | 19.5 (O -125 | U -105) |
| Jayden Daniels (WAS) | 10.5 (O +105 | U -130) | 55.5 (O -115 | U -110) | 15.5 (O -135 | U +105) |
| David Montgomery (DET) | 10.5 (O -125 | U +100) | 45.5 (O -115 | U -110) | 12.5 (O -110 | U -120) |
| Brian Robinson Jr (WAS) | 9.5 (O +105 | U -130) | 35.5 (O -110 | U -115) | 10.5 (O -115 | U -115) |
| Austin Ekeler (WAS) | 6.5 (O +110 | U -135) | 22.5 (O -115 | U -110) | 9.5 (O +100 | U -130) |
| Jameson Williams (DET) | OFF | 1.5 (O -110 | U -115) | OFF |
| Jared Goff (DET) | 1.5 (O -150 | U +120) | 0.5 (O +105 | U -130) | OFF |
| Receiver | Receptions | Receiving Yards | Longest Reception |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown (DET) | 6.5 (O -120 | U -105) | 76.5 (O -115 | U -110) | 23.5 (O -130 | U +100) |
| Terry McLaurin (WAS) | 5.5 (O -120 | U -105) | 68.5 (O -115 | U -110) | 24.5 (O -120 | U -110) |
| Jameson Williams (DET) | 3.5 (O -150 | U +120) | 55.5 (O -115 | U -110) | 24.5 (O -125 | U -105) |
| Sam LaPorta (DET) | 4.5 (O -120 | U -105) | 49.5 (O -115 | U -110) | 18.5 (O -135 | U +105) |
| Dyami Brown (WAS) | 2.5 (O -170 | U +135) | 35.5 (O -115 | U -110) | 18.5 (O -105 | U -125) |
| Olamide Zaccheaus (WAS) | 3.5 (O +120 | U -150) | 33.5 (O -115 | U -110) | 16.5 (O -115 | U -115) |
| Zach Ertz (WAS) | 3.5 (O +100 | U -125) | 29.5 (O -110 | U -115) | 13.5 (O -120 | U -110) |
| Austin Ekeler (WAS) | 3.5 (O +125 | U -160) | 24.5 (O -115 | U -110) | 12.5 (O -135 | U +105) |
| Jahmyr Gibbs (DET) | 3.5 (O +125 | U -155) | 24.5 (O -115 | U -110) | 12.5 (O -120 | U -110) |
| Tim Patrick (DET) | 1.5 (O -105 | U -120) | 16.5 (O -115 | U -110) | 11.5 (O -120 | U -110) |
| David Montgomery (DET) | 2.5 (O +140 | U -175) | 14.5 (O -115 | U -110) | 9.5 (O -125 | U -105) |
| Brian Robinson Jr (WAS) | 1.5 (O -120 | U -105) | 9.5 (O -105 | U -120) | 7.5 (O -105 | U -125) |
| John Bates (WAS) | OFF | 0.5 (O +100 | U -125) | 0.5 (O +105 | U -135) |
Not surprising it’s all Lions at the top of the main props. Quarterback Jared Goff’s passing line is set at 272.5, running back Jahmyr Gibbs has the highest rush total (83.5) and WR Amon-Ra St Brown the top receiving yards figure at 76.5. Jayden Daniels has both the highest pass and rushing props for the Commanders, while Terry McLaurin leads the team in both receptions (5.5) and yards (68.5).Â
Commanders vs Lions Player Prop #1: Goff Passing Touchdowns
Goff was limited to one TD pass in the season finale against the Vikings, but that game was a slugfest.
Prior to that game, the Lions’ pivot had thrown for at least three touchdowns in four straight contests. Goff has also thrown for three or more scores in four of the last five at Ford Field.
Jared Goff went OFF in his last game vs. Washington
🔥 256 pass yards
🔥 4 TD
🔥 0 INT📺 Watch Lions vs. Commanders Saturday on NFL Game Pass on DAZN pic.twitter.com/5wSGBxixk2
— NFL on DAZN (@NFLonDAZN) January 17, 2025
Yes, Washington gets carved with the run, but that should open up some easy play action hits, especially in the red zone. Detroit unleashes the full repertoire Saturday, and Goff will be a main component of it.
- Commanders vs Lions Prop Pick: Jared Goff OVER 2.5 TD passes (+135); risk 1 unit at DraftKings
WAS vs DET Prop #2: Daniels Rushing Yards
Under defensive coordinator Aaron Glenn, the Lions play primarily man coverage, which should create many opportunities for Jayden Daniels to make plays off script, particularly when the pocket collapses around him. Detroit was a bottom-three defense in QB rushing yards this season, allowing 454.
Jayden takes it himself!! 1st down and in FG range with less than :40 to go 👀
📺: #WASvsTB on NBC
📱: Stream on @NFLPlus + Peacock pic.twitter.com/YFb1x4TrHq— NFL (@NFL) January 13, 2025
Notable dual threat pivots that did work on the Lions include Josh Allen, who had 68 yards on 11 carries and Anthony Richardson who went for 61 on 10 totes. Kyler Murray also put up 45 yards on just five carries.
Daniels on the move has to be in the Commanders’ game plan Saturday.
- Commanders vs Lions Prop Pick: Daniels Over 55.5 rush yards passes (-115); risk 1 unit at DraftKings
Commanders vs Lions Touchdown Scorer Props
| Player | Odds to Score 1st TD | Odds to Score Anytime TD |
|---|---|---|
| Jahmyr Gibbs (DET) | +400 | -245 |
| David Montgomery (DET) | +500 | -155 |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown (DET) | +700 | -120 |
| Jameson Williams (DET) | +9500 | +130 |
| Sam LaPorta (DET) | +1000 | +155 |
| Terry McLaurin (WAS) | +1100 | +110 |
| Brian Robinson Jr (WAS) | +1300 | +150 |
| Jayden Daniels (WAS) | +1400 | +165 |
| Austin Ekeler (WAS) | +1900 | +235 |
| Dyami Brown (WAS) | +2500 | +290 |
| Tim Patrick (DET) | +2500 | +245 |
| Zach Ertz (WAS) | +2500 | +275 |
| Olamide Zaccheaus (WAS) | +3000 | +340 |
Jahmyr Gibbs has been so automatic for the Lions, he’s at a whopping -245 odds to hit the endzone against the Commanders, with David Montgomery (back from a knee injury) and St. Brown both at minus odds.
Terry McLaurin has the best anytime TD odds for the Commanders.
Commanders vs Lions Player Prop #3: Wishing For Williams
Gibbs has scored at least one TD in each of the Lions’ last five games, while Montgomery has at least one major in 10 of his last 11 games. There are two receivers with plus odds to target: McLaurin has scored TDs in six of his last seven, while Jameson Williams has hit paydirt in three of Detroit’s last four games.
Jameson over 2.5 receptions features in John Hyslop’s Commanders vs Lions same-game parlay and he’s my pick to find the end zone in the anytime TD props.
- Commanders vs Lions Prop Pick: Williams anytime TD (+130); risk 1 unit at DraftKings Sportsbook
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Sports Writer & Editor
Having worked in and around sports since 1997, Eric is truly a knowledgeable expert. The two-time journalism grad specializes in all things NBA and NFL. From TSN.ca to CTV's Olympic Broadcast Consortium, Eric's work has appeared in local and national publications alike.
