Best Steelers vs Ravens Player Props to Bet on Wild Card Weekend

• The Steelers face the rival Ravens on Wild Card Weekend
• Lamar Jackson has fewer than nine carries in three of his past four starts vs Pittsburgh
• Keep reading for the best Steelers vs Ravens player props to bet tonight

An AFC North slugfest is on deck tonight in the second game of Wild Card Weekend. Bitter rivals Pittsburgh and Baltimore will meet for the third time this season, with each side owning a victory at home. This contest will be played in front of the Ravens faithful, and without Zay Flowers. Lamar Jackson’s number one target is out, but there are still plenty of big names highlighting tonight’s NFL player props, including Derrick Henry, George Pickens, Mark Andrews and Russell Wilson.

Steelers vs Ravens Player Props

Wilson has a passing yards prop of 207.5, 9 yards less than Jackson. Lamar is much more likely to throw 2 TD passes, and owns the second highest rushing yards over/under at 48.5, behind only Henry.

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Steelers vs Ravens Prop #1: Lamar Jackson Rush Attempts

Jackson is one of the game’s most dangerous rushers, but there’s a pair of reasons he’ll likely fall short of his rushing attempts prop.

Baltimore is a heavy 9.5-point favorite in the Steelers vs Ravens odds. That suggests game script will be in their favor, and Lamar and company are more likely to run out the clock out by feeding Henry. With a potential mega-showdown with the Bills looming, they’ll want to preserve Jackson in bubble wrap if they jump out in front.

Even if game script doesn’t go Baltimore’s way, the Steelers have done an excellent at job at limiting Lamar’s rushing production historically.

Did You Know? 🤔

Lamar Jackson has NEVER scored a rushing touchdown against the Steelers

•He’s thrown 1+ INT in 6 straight vs. Pittsburgh—9 total

•Since 2019, LJ is just 2-4 against them

Is the rivalry in his head, or do the Steelers just know how to contain him? pic.twitter.com/8T9KdcZIRO

— Anthony Cervino (@therealNFLguru) January 9, 2025

He’s carried the ball fewer than nine times in three of his past four starts versus them. Lamar averages less rushing attempts and rushing yards against Pittsburgh than any other team he’s faced more than four times.

The Steelers have surrendered the third fewest rushing yards to enemy QBs this season, behind only the Dolphins and Vikings.

• Pick: Lamar Jackson Under 8.5 Rush Attempts (+100)

Steelers vs Ravens Prop #2: Calvin Austin Receiving Yards

For the first 11 weeks of the season, the Ravens pass defense was abysmal. Over the last seven weeks, the tables have turned, helping them rise in the Super Bowl 59 odds.

Baltimore has gone from 32nd in pass defense to second. They’ve improved from 30th in expected points added (EPA) per drop back to first. They’ve also done a create job at limiting big plays.

Ravens' updated defensive ranks since their Week 11 switch at safety:

1st in scoring defense
1st in total defense
1st in pass defense
1st in yards per play
1st in EPA per playhttps://t.co/NUs0lnpRbp

— Jonas Shaffer (@jonas_shaffer) January 6, 2025

The Ravens rank 10th in explosive pass play rate allowed over the last seven weeks, after ranking 32nd in Weeks 1 through 11.

That last stat is particularly concerning for Calvin Austin backers. He’s the ultimate boom or bust receiver. Austin averages over 15 yards per reception, but has been held to two catches or less seven times.

Last time out he saw just one target, and produced only 2 receiving yards versus Baltimore back in November.

• Pick: Calvin Austin Under 26.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

Steelers vs Ravens Touchdown Props

Switching to the touchdown props market, Henry is a huge -210 favorite to find the end zone. He did so 16 times this season, but there’s little value at his current price.

Steelers vs Ravens Prop #3: Isaiah Likely Anytime TD

Isaiah Likely on the other hand, is a nice buy to catch a TD. Flowers’ injury opens up plenty of opportunity in the passing game, and Likely should capitalize. He’s a big body in the red zone, with excellent hands.

The lack of Flowers should encourage more two tight end sets from Baltimore, meaning more playing time for Likely. He’s a threat to score from anywhere on the field, with multiple 40+ yard receptions this season.

• Pick: Isaiah Likely Anytime TD (+260)