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Chicago Bears vs Washington Commanders Public Betting and Money Percentages for Thursday Night Football Week 5

Robert Duff

by Robert Duff in NFL Football

Updated Oct 5, 2023 · 10:11 AM PDT

Commanders getting edge over Bears in NFL Public Betting splits.
Oct 13, 2022; Chicago, Illinois, USA; Chicago Bears quarterback Justin Fields (1) runs with the ball against the Washington Commanders during the second half at Soldier Field. Mandatory Credit: Matt Marton-USA TODAY Sports
  • Set as 6-point home favorites, the Washington Commanders are also getting the majority of NFL public betting action for their Week 5 TNF game against the Chicago Bears
  • Action is weighted heavily toward the Commanders in both the moneyline and spread splits
  • On the total of 44.5 points, the over is the popular play in the Bears vs Commanders public betting splits

The Chicago Bears haven’t put a crooked number in the win column in nearly a calendar year and as they face the Washington Commanders in the Week 5 TNF game, neither oddsmakers or the Bears vs Commanders betting public splits are seeing that status changing.

Washington is set as a 6-point home favorite against Chicago, losers of 14 games in a row since the Bears last posted a victory on October 24, 2022. As for the people, the moneyline and spread bets are both leaning heavily in favor of the favored Commanders.

Let’s take a look at how the NFL public betting is falling in all categories for this Bears vs Commanders game. Firstly, though, how about a look at the latest Chicago vs Washington betting trends on the game as of Thursday morning?

Bears vs Commanders Betting Percentages

Team Spread ATS Handle% ATS Bet% Total Points O/U Handle% O/U Bet% Moneyline ML Handle% ML Bet%
Chicago Bears +6 28% 24% 44.5 77% 75% +215 18% 7%
Washington Commanders -6 72% 76% 44.5 23% 25% -265 82% 93%

In the Bears vs Commanders odds, the Commanders are -265 moneyline favorites, giving them a 72.60% implied win probability. Kickoff for this game at FedEx Field on Thursday, October 5 is set for 8:15pm ET.

The broadcast is being carried by Prime Video and by DAZN in Canada.

Odds as of October 5 at DraftKings Sportsbook. Be sure to claim a DraftKings promo code to bet on Bears vs Commanders and other Week 5 NFL action.

Spread Bettors Are With Washington 

Whether you’re checking in with the online NFL betting apps , or looking at how the betting public is viewing the outcome of this game, the answer is the same. Everyone is anticipating that the Commanders will be covering in a big way. There’s 72% of handle and 76% of bets backing Washington in the spread splits.

In NFL spreads, the six points that the Commanders are getting is the largest spread on a game between these two teams since Washington was the 9.5-point home chalk in 1999. Chicago went down to a 48-22 defeat in that contest as Washington covered easily.

The Commanders are 6-1 against the spread in the last seven games against the Bears and 8-2 ATS over the past 10 meetings. Chicago is 3-11-1 ATS during the club’s current 14-game losing skid. Chicago is 0-3-1 ATS this season, while Washington is 2-2.

The Bears are 0-6 ATS in their last six road games. Washington is just 3-6 ATS through the last nine games.

Commanders In Control Of Moneyline Action

The people are virtually all-in on a Washington victory when it comes to the moneyline splits. The betting public is putting 82% of handle and 93% of bets on the Commanders in the moneyline splits.

Looking at the Bears vs Commanders prediction, Washington is 8-1 straight up in the last nine games facing Chicago. At home, the Commanders are 7-2 SU in the past contests against the Bears.

Washington is 2-5 SU in the last seven games against an NFC North opponent. However, Chicago is 0-13 SU in the past 13 games facing an NFC squad.

Total Bettors Ignoring Last Season’s Game

Washington and Chicago also clashed on TNF in October of last season and it was a scarier outcome than a trip through a Halloween haunted house. The Commanders scored a late touchdown to win 12-7 and as a certain former President might say, the under paid bigly.

People aren’t seeing history repeating itself, however. On the total of 44.5 points set for this game, the over is being solidly backed. It’s pulling 77% of handle and 75% of bets.

Maybe it’s the long-term history that the betting public is choosing to side with in this instance. In the four meetings prior to last season’s debacle, every Bears vs Commanders game hit on the over. The total has gone over in 12 of Chicago’s last 15 games. However, each of Washington’s last seven home games have hit on the under.

If you’re looking for a play on the Bears vs Commanders player props, Washington’s defense has been surrendering a lot of rushing yards to QBs and Chicago QB Justin Fields likes to run the ball just a bit.


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