NFL Divisional Round Playoffs Public Betting Splits for Sunday: Bucs vs Lions & Chiefs vs Bills
- The Detroit Lions are pulling 77% of moneyline bets as 6-point home favorites over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in NFL public betting splits
- There’s 78% of spread handle backing the 2.5-point underdog Kansas City Chiefs at the Buffalo Bills
- See all of the NFL public betting splits and money percentages for Sunday’s NFL Divisional Round games in the story below
The betting line is leaning towards this being the year when the Buffalo Bills finally get the better of the Kansas City Chiefs in the NFL playoffs, but the NFL public betting splits are suggesting that the people aren’t buying it.
The Bills, losers to the Chiefs in the NFL postseason in two of the previous three years, are 2.5-point favorites over Kansas City in the Chiefs vs Bills odds for their NFL Divisional Round game on Sunday, January 21. However, NFL public betting splits are showing that spread handle and bets and moneyline handle are all strongly supporting the underdog Chiefs.
It’s the Detroit Lions who are a 6-point home pick over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in the Lions vs Buccaneers picks for Sunday’s other game. As for the people, NFL public betting spread splits are with the underdog Buccaneers, while it’s favored Detroit getting the lion’s share of the moneyline action.
Let’s take a look at how the NFL public betting splits are falling in both of Sunday’s NFL Divisional Round playoff games as of Sunday morning.
Buccaneers vs Lions Public Betting
| Team | Spread | ATS Handle% | ATS Bet% | Total Points | O/U Handle% | O/U Bet% | Moneyline | ML Handle% | ML Bet% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | +6 | 52% | 53% | 49.5 | 30% | 29% | +220 | 36% | 23% |
| Detroit Lions | -6 | 48% | 47% | 49.5 | 70% | 71% | -278 | 64% | 77% |
Perhaps inspired by the Los Angeles Rams covering in Detroit on Wild Card Weekend as 3.5-point road underdogs, the people are stocking up on Buccaneers wagers in the NFL public betting spread splits. At a betting line of +6 in the Buccaneers vs Lions odds, Tampa Bay is getting 52% of handle and 53% of bets.
Tampa Bay is 2-3 against the spread in the last five games against Detroit. The Buccaneers have covered in each of the club’s past two visits to Ford Field. Overall, though, the Buccaneers are just 4-11 ATS in the last 15 meetings with the Lions. That includes a 20-6 home loss earlier this season.
Detroit and Tampa Bay are the NFL’s best cover teams this season. Both are 12-6 ATS. The Buccaneers are an NFL-best 8-1 ATS as a road team. Detroit is 5-4 ATS at home.
As for the moneyline splits, Detroit at -278 is drawing 64% of handle and 77% of bets. The Lions are 7-1 straight up in their last eight homes. Overall, Tampa Bay is 6-1 ATS in the past seven games.
The total of 49.5 points is seeing massive action on the under. It’s pulling 70% of handle and 71% of bets. Three of the last four Tampa Bay vs Detroit games have gone under. The under was also the play to make in four of the last five games played by the Buccaneers. However, seven of the last 10 games played by the Lions hit on the over.
Chiefs vs Bills Public Betting
| Team | Spread | ATS Handle% | ATS Bet% | Total Points | O/U Handle% | O/U Bet% | Moneyline | ML Handle% | ML Bet% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas City Chiefs | +2.5 | 78% | 67% | 45.5 | 22% | 20% | +120 | 67% | 46% |
| Buffalo Bills | -2.5 | 22% | 33% | 45.5 | 78% | 80% | -173 | 33% | 54% |
It’s the Chiefs that the people still seem to love over the Bills in NFL public betting splits for this great AFC rivalry. Kansas City getting points is sparking plenty of swift action on Patrick Mahomes and company. Underdog Kansas City is pulling 78% of handle and 67% of bets in the spread splits.
The Chiefs, though, are just 1-3 ATS in the last four games facing Buffalo. Buffalo won 20-17 at KC this season. Kansas City is 4-3-1 ATS as an away team this season. But the Chiefs are 1-0 ATS as an away underdog.
Buffalo is 5-4 ATS as a home team and as the home chalk. The Bills are 0-3 ATS in their last three home games facing the Chiefs. They are 4-2 ATS overall in their last six games.
Moneyline players are displaying divided loyalties. There’s 67% of handle backing the Chiefs at +120, while 54% of bets are with the favored Bills at -173.
Mahomes. Allen. Part VII.
📺: #KCvsBUF — Sunday 6:30pm ET on CBS
📱: Stream on #NFLPlus pic.twitter.com/XnQQApVno6— NFL (@NFL) January 19, 2024
The Bills are the hottest team left in the NFL players, with a 6-0 straight up slate through their past six games. Buffalo is also 6-1 SU in the team’s last seven home games. Kansas City is 4-1 SU over the last five games and 10-2 SU in the past 12 road games.
As for the total of 45.5 points, the NFL betting public is confident that it will go under. The over is the play on 78% of handle and 80% of bets.
In the last 20 games between these two teams, the under has come in 13 times, including five of the last six games played at Buffalo. Four of KC’s last six games facing AFC East opponents also went under. But the over is 6-3 in Buffalo’s past nine games against teams from the AFC West.
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An industry veteran, Bob literally taught the course on the history of sports at Elder College. He has worked as a Sports Columnist for Postmedia, appeared as a guest on several radio stations, was the Vice President of the Society For International Hockey Research in Ontario, and written 25 books.
