- NFL Draft first-round odds by conference have been set for the ACC, Big Ten, Big 12 and SEC
- The over/under for SEC players selected in Round 1 is 11.5
- The NFL Draft will be held from April 27-29 in Kansas City, Mo.
With the NFL Draft three weeks away, odds have been posted on how many first-round picks will come from most of the Power Five conferences.
The SEC, not surprisingly, is expected to have the most first-rounders with an over/under of 11.5. Following the SEC are the Big Ten (8.5), ACC (3.5) and Big 12 (3.5).
The draft will be held from April 27-29 in Kansas City, Mo. There are just 31 selections in the first round as the Miami Dolphins have been forced to forfeit their top pick because of tampering.
NFL Draft First-Round Odds By Conference
|3.5 (O +110 | U -140)
|8.5 (O -240 | U +190)
|3.5 (O -185 | U +150)
|11.5 (O +180 | U -225)
The SEC is by far the conference with the most players expected to go in the first round as seen in the odds above. The total for SEC players is set at 11.5. The Big Ten is the conference expected to have the next-most players chosen with a total of 8.5. The under is favored for the SEC on that total, while the over is juiced to -240 on the Big Ten. Odds as of April 6th at DraftKings.
CJ Stroud Tops Big Ten List
The Big Ten will likely have the first pick in the draft. However, the conference may not have as many first-rounders as the oddsmakers suggest.
Ohio State quarterback CJ Stroud is favored at -330 to be selected by the Carolina Panthers in the NFL Draft odds. The Panthers made a blockbuster trade with the Chicago Bears to move into the top spot.
Stroud completed 66.3% of his passes last season for 3,688 yards with 41 touchdowns and six interceptions.
.@nfldraftscout's comp for C.J. Stroud:
Dak Prescott 💪 pic.twitter.com/gZDG5ygbrW
— NFL on ESPN (@ESPNNFL) March 31, 2023
Stroud is one of the three Ohio State players considered definite first-rounders along with offensive tackle Paris Johnson Jr. and wide receiver Jaxon Smith-Njigba.
Penn State cornerback Joey Porter Jr., Northwestern offensive tackle Peter Skoronski, Iowa defensive end Lukas Van Ness and Illinois cornerback Devon Witherspoon also appear to be first-round locks.
However, there are no sure things beyond those seven – though Maryland cornerback Deonte Banks is likely to crack the top 31 – making the 8.5 number look a bit high.
Pick: Big Ten Under 8.5 +190
ACC May Be Underrated
The 3.5 over/under for the ACC might be a little bit too low.
Boston College wide receiver Zay Flowers, Pittsburgh defensive tackle Calijah Kancey and Clemson defensive end Myles Murphy all seem to be certain first-rounders, though none figure to be picked in the top 10.
Flowers firmly put himself into the first round with a fine senior season. He caught 78 passes for 1,077 yards and 12 touchdowns.
Kancey was the ACC Defensive Player of the Year as he had 7.5 sacks from his interior position. Some compare him to another former Pitt defensive lineman – the Los Angeles Rams’ Aaron Donald, a three-time NFL Defensive Player of the Year.
DT Calijah Kancey (6' 0", 280 lbs) was Pittsburgh's first unanimous All American since Aaron Donald (6' 0", 285 lbs).
Kancey had 14 sacks in his final two seasons at Pitt. Donald had 16.5.
Explosive interior pass rusher. pic.twitter.com/XW8KmrlQQF
— The GOAT House (@GoatHouseNFL) January 28, 2023
Clemson defensive tackle Bryan Bresee could also be selected in the first round and North Carolina wide receiver Josh Downs has been moving up draft boards.
Thus, it’s not that much of a stretch to think the ACC could have five players picked in the first round.
Pick: ACC Over 3.5 +110
SEC Loaded, But How Loaded?
The SEC again has a deep pool of talent set to enter the NFL.
Alabama quarterback Bryce Young is considered the top player available in the draft by ESPN and Pro Football Focus. The Athletic ranks Alabama outside linebacker Will Anderson Jr at #1 while NFL.com has controversial Georgia defensive tackle Jalen Carter as the most-talented player on the board.
All three are first-round locks and figure to be joined by quarterbacks Anthony Richardson of Florida and Will Levis of Kentucky along with offensive tackle Broderick Jones and outside linebacker Nolan Smith of Georgia and Alabama defensive back Brian Branch.
Tennessee offensive tackle Darnell Wright could bring the SEC’s total to nine first-round selections but 11.5 looks lofty even if the under is a low value play.
Pick: SEC Under 11.5 -225