Expert NFL Picks Against the Spread for Week 10

• See our top NFL ATS picks for Week 10
• Our best Week 10 NFL picks include picks on six different teams
• Read on for our expert NFL picks against the spread for Week 10 below

This week’s expert NFL picks against the spread have a lot in common. That’s because of the 12 picks, they are coming on just six different teams. Our experts have zeroed in on the likes of the Cowboys, Seahawks, Browns and Titans for some of their top NFL Week 10 picks.

Our Week 9 ATS picks went 6-3-3, meaning season-long, our experts are 55-35-6.

Each week we’ll make our top picks against the spread and keep track of our records throughout the season. Read on for this week’s top NFL ATS picks.

Expert NFL Picks Against the Spread Week 10

Odds as of November 11. Check out this Barstool Sportsbook promo code to bet on the NFL this weekend

The most popular picks in the table above come on the Browns, Cowboys, Seahawks and Titans.

Matt McEwan

• Browns (+4.5) at DraftKings Sportsbook

Just as we saw with the Titans vs Chiefs in Week 9, this Browns team has the formula (running the ball well) to hang with the Dolphins explosive offense. Lengthy spells on the sideline can really throw an offense out of its groove, which is exactly what I foresee happening here.

The Browns average 5.0 yards per carry (eighth-best in NFL) and the Dolphins allow 4.6 YPC (19th). Will it be enough to win? I don’t know about that. But I’ll gladly take the 4 points.

Nick Chubb decided to dress up as the best RB in football for Halloween 🎃

But it doesn’t count when you go as yourself 💀 pic.twitter.com/r5bfvl4R0P

— PFF CLE Browns (@PFF_Browns) November 1, 2022

• Cowboys (-4) at Barstool Sportsbook

Dak Prescott’s second game back (vs the Bears) looked much better than his first (vs the Lions). Dallas put up a season-high 442 yards against Chicago in Week 8 and Dak posted a 114.5 passer rating, while adding 34 yards and a touchdown on the ground. Add in a defense that has allowed the third-fewest points and tenth-fewest yards, and this is looking to be a very complete Cowboys team.

Their opponent in Week 10 is far from complete. The Packers are 27th in points scored and cannot stop the run, allowing 4.8 YPC. The Dallas pass-rush will frustrate Aaron Rodgers all afternoon as the Cowboys run away with this one.

• Seahawks (+3) at PointsBet

Seattle’s one weakness this season has been their inability to stop the run. They allow 4.8 YPC and have given up the sixth-most rushing yards in the league. However, Tampa Bay cannot run the ball. They’re last in rushing yards and yards per carry.

I don’t believe the Bucs’ lucky Week 9 win over the Rams means Tom Brady and company are back. This is a 4-5 team who hasn’t beaten anyone good since Week 1. The Seahawks are playing very good football right now and should be favored here, in my opinion.

Ryan Metivier

•  Seahawks (+3) at Barstool Sportsbook

The Buccaneers finally got another win last week, but that brings them to just 4-5 on the year. And they may have won, but they beat another team struggling just as bad as they are in the Rams. And it took a late drive at the end of the game to eek out a 16-13 win.

The Bucs’ offense has reached 20 points just four times this season and average just 18 PPG. They’ll likely need to get up and over 20 in Germany early Sunday morning against the fourth-highest scoring offense this year in Seattle, who average 26.8 PPG.

The Bucs are one-dimensional and don’t run the ball. Brady is still putting up passing yards but it’s not turning into points. Geno Smith is on fire, he has two of the top 23 receivers in the league (total yardage) in Tyler Lockett and DJ Metcalf and the leader in the OROY odds in running back Kenneth Walker.

They may also have the added bonus of apparently a huge fan base in Germany with a supporters’ group called “The 13th Man”.

Apparently Seattle has a huge fan base in Germany. Called, “the 13th man”. Who would’ve thought lol

— Joseph (@Jospitta) November 9, 2022

• Titans (-2.5) at DraftKings Sportsbook

Two teams devoid of much scoring meet here with the 3-5 Broncos visiting the 5-3 Titans. Both struggle to score, with Denver scoring only 15.1 PPG and Tennessee scoring only slightly better at 18.6 PPG.

Denver’s overall defense may look strong ranking second, but against the run they’re only 21st. Bad news against the league’s leading rusher in Derrick Henry. Homefield, Henry and the Broncos’ complete overall ineptitude puts me on the Titans.

• Cowboys (-4) at Barstool Sportsbook

The Packers are 3-6 and just lost 15-9 Detroit last week. Aaron Rodgers threw three picks against a Lions’ D ranked 29th in passing defense.

Now he’ll go up against a Dallas unit that ranks first in sacks (33), third in turnover-differential (+6) and 13th in interceptions (7). LT David Bakhtiari is questionable and WR Romeo Doubs is out, further limiting Green Bay’s already stagnant offense.

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Zach Reger

• Browns (+4) at FanDuel Sportsbook

Fading the Dolphins against the spread in back-to-back weeks does not feel pretty, but it worked last week. The Dolphins’ defense cannot stop the run, and the Browns have the top rushing tandem in the league with Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt. Cleveland is off the bye, so they have had two weeks to prepare for this game. Give me the Browns to keep this one close.

• Saints (-1.5) at FanDuel Sportsbook

The Steelers are off the bye, and the Saints were just embarrassed on Monday Night Football. Regardless, the Steelers will not be able to move the ball against the New Orleans defense. Even with TJ Watt coming back, the Saints’ offense should get enough points to pull out the victory.

• Jaguars (+9.5) at FanDuel Sportsbook. Claim your FanDuel Sportsbook promo code for this weekend here

The Chiefs were in a battle last Sunday Night as they came back and won against the Titans. Kansas City has also been known to win games they should but not cover. Being favored by 9.5 is too many points against a Jaguars team that has looked explosive at times on offense. Jacksonville has also been in every game they have played this season. Their largest defeat of the season was by eight points against the Eagles in Week 4. They have never lost by more than one possession, and that should continue on Sunday.

Bob Duff

• Browns (+4) at DraftKings Sportsbook

The 6-3 Dolphins are 6-0 straight up and 4-2 against the spread in games started and finished this season by quarterback Tua Tagovailoa.

However, in the past two weeks, while Miami has won, the Dolphins were hard-pressed to stave off two really bad teams in the Detroit Lions and Chicago Bears. They failed to cover against Chicago. After Cleveland’s MNF dismantling of the Bengals, there’s every evidence that the Browns could prove a handful for Miami.

• Titans (-2.5) at DraftKings Sportsbook

Denver is coming off the bye week. Tennessee is returning home from a hard-fought overtime loss at Kansas City.

Considering those two scenarios, maybe you could make a case for the Broncos pulling the upset here. Well, maybe you could make that case if hadn’t seen any Broncos games this season.

• Cowboys (-4) at Barstool Sportsbook

Dallas is 6-1 over the past seven games. The lone loss suffered by the Cowboys was at unbeaten Philadelphia.

Green Bay is 8-1 SU and 7-2 ATS in the last nine games against Dallas. However, the last three times that the Cowboys have covered against the Packers, all three games were played at Lambeau Field. It’s the first time Dallas is favored at Green Bay since 2009.

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