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John Harbaugh Favored to be Next Head Coach Gone After McCarthy Firing

Michael Harrison

by Michael Harrison in NFL Football

Updated Apr 11, 2020 · 12:40 AM PDT

Robert Griffin III John Harbaugh Ravens
Will John Harbaugh be the latest coach to head to the unemployment line? Photo by Keith Allison (Flickr) [CC License]
  • Odds say John Harbaugh is next head coach in line to be fired
  • Would the Ravens actually ax him in the middle of a playoff race?
  • The best bet on who will be given a pink slip first

Despite holding down the final wild card spot in the AFC, following three straight victories, John Harbaugh is the lead contender to be the first head coach to leave his current team.

Would the Ravens actually pull the trigger and jettison their main man of 11 years deep in the throws of a playoff chase?

It seemed a strong possibility until Joe Flacco went down, paving the way for 2018 1st-round pick Lamar Jackson to breathe new life into the team and get them back in post-season contention.

Odds on Next NFL Head Coach to Leave Post

Head Coach Record with current team Odds
John Harbaugh 101-71 +260
Todd Bowles 23-37 +375
Steve Wilks 3-9 +375
Vance Joseph 11-17 +600
Dirk Koetter 19-25 +600
Doug Marrone 15-15 +650
Adam Gase 22-22 +800
Pat Shurmur 4-8 +800
Sean McDermomtt 13-15 +1500

If Ravens falter expect Harbaugh to go

This one seems pretty obvious – if the Ravens manage to sneak into the post-season you’d be hard pressed to expect Harbaugh would be the first coach to go – inevitably, there will be quite a few given pink slips immediately after the regular season ends.

If, however, they stumble down the stretch and miss the playoffs for the fourth straight season, he’s likely donezo.

Lamar Jackson the key for Harbaugh’s employment

Ever since Joe Flacco was sidelined with a hip injury in Week 9, the offense has been humming with 2018 first-round pick Lamar Jackson at the helm.

Baltimore has averaged 28 points per game with Jackson, compared to 23.7 under Flacco.

Flacco hasn’t been medically cleared to play, but it’s one of those delicate situations – do you ride the rookie’s hot hand, or go back to the incumbent veteran?

Suffice to say, if Jackson keeps up his play, Flacco’s injury will mysteriously keep him sidelined longer than usual. (And be quickly cleared up if Jackson struggles.)

Defenders have had their heads on a swivel around Jackson to the tune of 265 rushing yards in his first three starts. That’s resulted in a muddying of the waters when it comes to Harbaugh’s future, thanks to the emergence of the former Louisville star.

Ravens Remaining Schedule

Week Opponent
14 at Chiefs (10-2)
15 vs Buccaneers (5-7)
16 at Chargers (9-3)
17 vs Browns (4-7-1)

Realistically this is probably a 2-2 final quarter to the Ravens’ season. That puts them at 9-7, which should be enough to squeak into the post-season, thereby keeping Harbaugh gainfully employed.

Todd Bowles Sits on the Hottest Seat

This is Todd Bowles’ fourth full season captaining the Jets’ sinking ship, following his initial 10-6 campaign.

The team is in shambles and it’s actually a surprise he hasn’t been fired already. Even though his odds aren’t great for a huge return, he’s the best bet to be the first coach to leave his post.

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