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Lions vs Packers Props – Best Player Props to Bet for Thursday Night Football

John Perrotto

by John Perrotto in NFL Football

Updated Sep 28, 2023 · 11:27 AM PDT

Detroit Lions quarterback Jared Goff (16) celebrates
Detroit Lions quarterback Jared Goff (16) celebrates 20-6 win over Atlanta Falcons at Ford Field in Detroit on Sunday, Sept. 24, 2023.
  • The Lions visit the Packers on Thursday Night Football to begin NFL Week 4
  • Lions quarterback Jared Goff’s passing yardage over/under is 255.5
  • A look at various  Lions vs Packers player props can be found below with picks

The Detroit Lions and Jared Goff visit the Green Bay Packers and Jordan Love on Thursday Night Football in an early-season showdown for first place in the NFC North at 8:15 p.m. ET at Lambeau Field. We’re breaking down the top picks from the game in our Lions vs Packers props here.

Goff is sixth in the NFL with 819 passing yards while Love’s 655 passing yards rank 18th in his first season as the Packers’ starter. Both teams are 2-1 following wins last week as the Lions downed the Atlanta Falcons 20-6 and the Packers rallied from a 17-point deficit to beat the New Orleans Saints 18-17. Read on to see if we’re targeting either of these quarterbacks in our TNF prop picks.

Lions vs Packers Player Props

Passer Completions Passing Yards Passing TDs
Jared Goff (DET) 23.5 (O -115 | U -115) 255.5 (O -105 | U -125) 1.5 (O -125 | U -105)
Jordan Love (GB) 19.5 (O -130 | U +100) 228.5 (O -115) | U -115) 1.5 (O +114 | U -145)
Rusher Rushing Attempts Rushing Yards Rushing + Receiving Yards
Jordan Love (GB) 3.5 (O +105 | U -135) 16.5 (O -120 | U -110) OFF
Receiver Receptions Receiving Yards Longest Reception
Amon-Ra St. Brown (DET) 6.5 (O -105 | U -125) 73.5 (O -115 | U -115) 23.5 (O -110 | U -120)
Sam LaPorta (DET) 4.5 (O +130 | U -166) 42.5 (O -115 | U -115) 17.5 (O -115 | U -115)
Josh Reynolds (DET) OFF 32.5 (O -115 | U -115) 17.5 (O -120 | U -110)
Romeo Doubs (GB) 3.5 (O +105 | U -135) 39.5 (O -120 | U -110) 19.5 (O -115 | U -115)
Jayden Reed (GB) 3.5 (O +124 | U -160) 37.5 (O -115 | U -115) 18.5 (O -110 | U -120)
Luke Musgrave (GB) 3.5 (O +110 | U -140) 35.5 (O -130 | U +100) 16.5 (O -125 | U -105)
Dontayvion Wicks (GB) 1.5 (O -105 | U -125) 16.5 (O -115 | U -115) 11.5 (O -125 | U -105)

The over/under passing yards is 255.5 for Goff and 228.5 for Love. The temperature is expected to be 63 at kickoff with a low of 53 being forecast with partly cloudy skies and calm winds, so there should be no weather concerns affecting tonight’s prop bets.

However, Lions running back David Montgomery (thigh) is questionable as are running back Aaron Jones (hamstring) and wide receiver Christian Watson (hamstring) for the Packers.

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The Lions are favored by 1.5 points and the over/under is 46 in the NFL odds. Amazon Prime Video will stream the game.

Odds as of September 28th at DraftKings.

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Lions vs Packers Props #1: Romeo Doubs Receptions

Love has begun forming a connection with Doubs, the second-year wide receiver, during the early stages of the season.

Doubs was targeted a team-high 12 times in last week’s win over the Saints and caught five passes for 73 yards and a touchdown. Love and Doubs also connected for a pair of TDs in the season-opening win over the Chicago Bears.

Through three games, Doubs shares the team lead in targets with rookie wide receiver Jayden Reed as both have 20. Doubs has 11 receptions for 129 yards and three touchdowns and nine of his catches have gone for first downs.

The Lions are a mediocre 19th in the NFL in pass defense. That should bode well for Doubs, whose 3.5 receptions total comes at the enticing price of +105 in the NFL props.

  • Lions vs Packers Prop Picks: Romeo Doubs Over 3.5 Receptions +105 (1 units)  

Lions vs Packers Props #2: Jared Goff Touchdown Passes

In quarterback Jared Goff’s three seasons with the Lions, he has performed better at home at Ford Field than on the road. That trend has continued through the early portion of this season as Goff has a 105.4 passer rating in games in Detroit and a 95.1 mark away from home.

The splits were also significant the previous two seasons. In 2021, Goff had a 99.5 rating at home and 80.7 away. Last year, the numbers were 109.3 and 87.4.

Goff, who has NFL MVP odds of +4500, has thrown interceptions in each of the last two games after going 383 attempts in a row without a pick. That was the third-longest streak in NFL history.

Though the weather should not be a factor, look for Goff to have trouble in Green Bay against a Packers defense that is a solid 10th in the league against the pass.

  • Lions vs Packers Prop Picks: Jared Goff Under 1.5 Touchdown Passes -105 (1 unit)

Lions vs Packers Touchdown Scorer Props

Player Odds to Score 1st TD Odds to Score Any TD
AJ Dillon (GB) +550 -115
Aaron Jones (GB) +650 +105
David Montgomery (DET) +700 +105
Jahmyr Gibbs (DET) +750 +120
Amon-Ra St. Brown (DET) +800 +125
Christian Watson (GB) +850 +155
Sam LaPorta (DET) +1100 +200
Romeo Doubs (GB) +1200 +105
Josh Reynolds (DET) +1400 +245
Luke Musgrave (GB) +1500 +285

AJ Dhillon has the shortest odds in the TNF touchdown props above at -115 to find the endzone.

Lions vs Packers Props #3: Luke Musgrave Anytime Touchdown

Love has been solid in taking over for Aaron Rodgers, a four-time NFL MVP, as the Packers quarterback. He has seven touchdown passes and only one interception through three weeks.

Love has thrown scoring passes for four different receivers. One Packers player who hasn’t found the end zone yet is rookie tight end Luke Musgrave despite being tied with Doubs for the team lead with 11 receptions.

The time seems right for Musgrave to score his first touchdown in the Lions vs Packers picks.

  • Lions vs Packers Prop Picks: Luke Musgrave Anytime Touchdown Scorer +285 (0.5 unit)

TNF Prop Bet Record: 3-6 (-4.0 units)

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