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Chargers vs Eagles Odds, Lines, Picks, and Predictions for Week 9 Matchup

Bryan Thiel

by Bryan Thiel in NFL Football

Updated Nov 6, 2021 · 9:00 AM PDT

Justin Herbert, entrance, Los Angeles Chargers
Los Angeles Chargers quarterback Justin Herbert enters the field before an NFL football game against the New England Patriots Sunday, Oct. 31, 2021, in Inglewood, Calif. (AP Photo/Jae C. Hong )
  • The Los Angeles Chargers (4-3) travel to Philadelphia to take on the Eagles (3-5) in Week 9
  • 2021 Record: 4-2; +1.6 units
  • Kickoff is set for 4:05 pm EST Lincoln Financial Field

After a wild back-and-forth win against the Cleveland Browns in Week 5, the Chargers are on a bit of a slide. They dropped Week 6 to the Ravens, and then following their bye, stumbled against the Patriots.

The Eagles snapped a two-game slide with a lopsided win over the Lions.  It took a bit of the sting out of a comeback that just fell short against Bucs and an afternoon mostly spent chasing the Raiders. They’re still way back in the NFC East and the Wild Card race.

With both in need of a win entering Week 9, they’ll meet at Lincoln Financial Field at 4:05 pm EST.

Chargers vs Eagles Odds

Team Moneyline Spread Total
Los Angeles Chargers -130 -2.0 (-110) Ov 49.5 (-110)
Philadelphia Eagles +110 +2.0 (-110) Un 49.5 (-110)

Odds as of November 6th at DraftKings

Philly may have stumbled out to an awkward 3-5 start, but against the spread the Eagles are 3-1 over their last four. This is after opening the season just 1-3 ATS.

NFL public money dropped the spread to 2.5 in most places after it opened at 3.0. At DraftKings however, the spread has moved all the way down to LAC -2.0 for the road favorite.

Chargers vs Eagles Injury Report

The Eagles have been without safety Anthony Harris for two weeks now. But when Friday’s final injury report was released, it was good news for both Harris and the Eagles.

While the Chargers dodged a bullet with their star QB, they weren’t so lucky with their defensive backs.

Week 9 Injury Report

Chargers Injury, Status Eagles Injury, Status
Michael Davis, CB Hamstring, Out JJ Arcega-Whiteside, WR Ankle, Out
Alohi Gilman, S Ankle, Doubtful N/A N/A
Justin Jackson, RB Quad, Out N/A N/A
Asante Samuel Jr, CB Concussion, Out N/A N/A

Justin Herbert injured his throwing hand last Sunday against the Patriots, but he was back to a full participant by Thursday.

Missing both Michael Davis and Asante Samuel Jr though, is troubling. There is an answer, as Tevaughn Smith played well in Weeks 3 and 4 and has logged 35+ snaps in five-straight weeks.

Justin Herbert’s Recent Slump

Herbert was taking the NFL by storm through the first five games of his season. But he struggled significantly against the Ravens, and despite a solid start coming out of the bye week, disappointed in the second half against New England.

Herbert admitted afterwards that both defenses did things that he didn’t anticipate. Things like that can be expected from a young QB, but they’ve got to be ironed out quickly if LA wants to stay ahead of the Chiefs.

Justin Herbert: First Six Games vs Last Two

Weeks 1-5
VS
Weeks 6,8
67.2% Completion Percentage 54.1%
315 Passing Yards per Game 209
13 Touchdowns 3
3 Interceptions 3
9 Sacks 5
104.7 Rating 67.3

While left tackle is typically the big-money position on the offensive line, it’s the protection at right tackle that’s likely contributed to Herbert’s struggles. Storm Norton allowed four pressures on 45 pass block snaps in Week 6. He allowed eight pressures on 40 passing snaps against the Patriots.

Over the past two games, Herbert has gone 6-for-12 when targeting receivers at medium depth and 4-for-8 when going deep. While the deep shots are in line with what he produced over his first five games (9-for-20), his medium passing accuracy was higher, clocking in at 55%.

The Ravens and Patriots also took away the quick passing game from Herbert. He’s thrown just eight attempts at or behind the line of scrimmage in those two games, with just one attempt against New England. He had 26 attempts through the first five weeks.

Eagles’ D Can Be Exploited

While Philly’s pass defense is middle of the road in passing yards allowed and yards-per-attempt, they’re first in a category that could kickstart LA’s offense. The Eagles have allowed opponents to connect on 74.3% of their passes.

They’ve also allowed the 11th-most first downs, despite only allowing 50% of receptions to turn into a first down. That’s seventh-best in the league. In another weird twist, the Eagles are actually allowing the lowest yards-per-reception rate in the league at 9.5.

There’s yards to be had if Mike Williams, Keenan Allen and Austin Ekeler can go to work in the middle of the field.

Chargers vs Eagles Prediction

So long as LA isn’t hiding something more sinister with Herbert’s hand injury, it’s tough to see this being as close as the line suggests. The Eagles are a surprising 0-3 at home this season, and offensively it’s hard to see them keeping up with the Chargers. Even if LA is down two starting corners.

Considering how small the spread is, taking the value there rather than Chargers outright is the call.

The Pick: LA Chargers -2.0 (-110), 1 unit

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