NFL Public Betting & Money Percentages for Rams vs 49ers MNF
By Chris Amberley in NFL News
Updated: March 16, 2023 at 1:34 pm EDTPublished:
- 74% of the spread bets and 61% of the ATS money in the Rams vs 49ers public betting splits for the Week 4 Monday Night Football game are backing the Rams
- Over 42 is drawing 63% of the over/under handle and 61% of the total money, but the line has moved down from its opener
- Read below for all of the Rams vs 49ers public betting splits for tonight’s MNF showdown
Week 4 on the NFL calendar wraps up with a rematch of the 2021 NFC Championship Game on Monday Night Football. The reigning Super Bowl champion Rams (2-1, 1-0 away) travel to San Francisco to face the 49ers (1-2, 1-0 home).
These two arch rivals squared off three times last season, with San Francisco covering in each matchup. Bettors don’t seem too concerned with past history however, as LA is drawing the majority of the action in the NFL public betting trends as short road underdogs.
Rams vs 49ers Betting Splits
| Game | Spread | ATS Handle % | ATS Bet % | Total | O/U Handle % | O/U Bet % | Moneyline | ML Handle % | ML Bet % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Rams | +1.5 | 61% | 74% | O 42 | 61% | 63% | +105 | 68% | 82% |
| San Francisco 49ers | -1.5 | 39% | 26% | U 42 | 39% | 37% | -125 | 32% | 18% |
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The Rams are currently 1.5 point ‘dogs, in a contest that features a total of 42. The public is on not only LA to cover, but on the moneyline as well, but the big money bettors are in total disagreement in both of those markets.
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Rams vs 49ers ATS Betting Splits
74% of the spread wagers are currently backing the Rams, but those bets make up only 61% of the ATS handle. That’s a clear indication that the big money players are on the other side, which will give us a classic sharps versus squares scenario.
That was the case last night when the public was all over the Chiefs, yet the line moved from KC -2 to begin the week, to Tampa Bay -2 by kickoff.
Tonight’s MNF spread opened up at San Francisco -1, but has moved half a point in their favor at most online sportsbooks, and a full point at some of the most prominent books in Vegas.
TODAY'S THE DAY. pic.twitter.com/diw5VYcug5
— Los Angeles Rams (@RamsNFL) October 3, 2022
Both the Rams and Niners are 1-2 against the spread this season, while Los Angeles is just 9-11 ATS during the regular season since Matthew Stafford took control of the offense. Stafford threw six picks last year against the 49ers, putting over 0.5 interceptions in the Rams vs 49ers player props squarely in play tonight.
Rams vs 49ers Total Betting Splits
When it comes to the total, bettors are once again throwing out past history between these two squads. Two of last year’s three meetings produced 41 points or less, and the only contest that exceeded 42 points needed overtime to do so.
Nevertheless, 63% of the over/under tickets and 61% of the money wagered on the total is backing over 42 points on Monday Night Football. Tonight’s total actually opened half a point higher, but has fallen throughout the week.
#MNF MOOD 😤 pic.twitter.com/f0cn1ehTrK
— San Francisco 49ers (@49ers) October 3, 2022
One explanation to explain the line move is the health of the LA offensive line. As noted in the Rams vs 49ers injury report, that unit is extremely banged up. That doesn’t bode well for their offensive ceiling given the strength of San Francisco’s defense. The Niners grade out as the third best defense per DVOA, and generate the most pressure on opposing QB’s in the NFL.
Rams vs 49ers Moneyline Splits
The moneyline splits are even more extreme in LA’s favor than the spread splits. 82% of the straight up wagers are backing the Rams, but those tickets only account for 68% of the moneyline handle. That indicates the 18% of moneyline bets on San Fran are likely a result of sharp action, as they account for 32% of the moneyline handle.
If LA is going to pull off the upset, as predicted in the Rams vs 49ers picks, they’ll have to weather an early storm. Last season, the Niners raced out to a 31-7 lead at home, before cruising to a 21-point victory.
For all his flaws, Jimmy Garoppolo has excelled against Sean McVay’s team. Jimmy G is 6-1 all-time versus the Rams, including 6-0 in the regular season.
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Sports Writer
As SBD's resident Swiss Army Knife, Chris covers virtually every sport including NFL, PGA, NBA, MLB, NCAAB, NCAAF and the Olympics. A true grinder, he'd rather pick off small edges in the player props market than swing for the fences with a 5-leg parlay.