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NFL Public Betting & Money Percentages for Rams vs 49ers MNF

Chris Amberley

by Chris Amberley in NFL Football

Updated Mar 16, 2023 · 1:34 PM PDT

Jimmy Garoppolo escapes the pocket
Sep 25, 2022; Denver, Colorado, USA; San Francisco 49ers quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo (10) drops back in the second quarter against the Denver Broncos at Empower Field at Mile High. Mandatory Credit: Isaiah J. Downing-USA TODAY Sports
  • 74% of the spread bets and 61% of the ATS money in the Rams vs 49ers public betting splits for the Week 4 Monday Night Football game are backing the Rams
  • Over 42 is drawing 63% of the over/under handle and 61% of the total money, but the line has moved down from its opener
  • Read below for all of the Rams vs 49ers public betting splits for tonight’s MNF showdown

Week 4 on the NFL calendar wraps up with a rematch of the 2021 NFC Championship Game on Monday Night Football. The reigning Super Bowl champion Rams (2-1, 1-0 away) travel to San Francisco to face the 49ers (1-2, 1-0 home).

These two arch rivals squared off three times last season, with San Francisco covering in each matchup. Bettors don’t seem too concerned with past history however, as LA is drawing the majority of the action in the NFL public betting trends as short road underdogs.

Rams vs 49ers Betting Splits

Game Spread ATS Handle % ATS Bet % Total O/U Handle % O/U Bet % Moneyline ML Handle % ML Bet %
Los Angeles Rams +1.5 61% 74% O 42 61% 63% +105 68% 82%
San Francisco 49ers -1.5 39% 26% U 42 39% 37% -125 32% 18%

Splits from DraftKings Sportsbook. Claim the DraftKings Sportsbook promo code to bet on MNF, and get Cooper Kupp boosted to +150 to score a TD in tonight’s game.

The Rams are currently 1.5 point ‘dogs, in a contest that features a total of 42. The public is on not only LA to cover, but on the moneyline as well, but the big money bettors are in total disagreement in both of those markets.

 

 

Rams vs 49ers ATS Betting Splits

74% of the spread wagers are currently backing the Rams, but those bets make up only 61% of the ATS handle. That’s a clear indication that the big money players are on the other side, which will give us a classic sharps versus squares scenario.

That was the case last night when the public was all over the Chiefs, yet the line moved from KC -2 to begin the week, to Tampa Bay -2 by kickoff.

Tonight’s MNF spread opened up at San Francisco -1, but has moved half a point in their favor at most online sportsbooks, and a full point at some of the most prominent books in Vegas.

Both the Rams and Niners are 1-2 against the spread this season, while Los Angeles is just 9-11 ATS during the regular season since Matthew Stafford took control of the offense. Stafford threw six picks last year against the 49ers, putting over 0.5 interceptions in the Rams vs 49ers player props squarely in play tonight.

Rams vs 49ers Total Betting Splits

When it comes to the total, bettors are once again throwing out past history between these two squads. Two of last year’s three meetings produced 41 points or less, and the only contest that exceeded 42 points needed overtime to do so.

Nevertheless, 63% of the over/under tickets and 61% of the money wagered on the total is backing over 42 points on Monday Night Football. Tonight’s total actually opened half a point higher, but has fallen throughout the week.

One explanation to explain the line move is the health of the LA offensive line. As noted in the Rams vs 49ers injury report, that unit is extremely banged up. That doesn’t bode well for their offensive ceiling given the strength of San Francisco’s defense. The Niners grade out as the third best defense per DVOA, and generate the most pressure on opposing QB’s in the NFL.

Rams vs 49ers Moneyline Splits

The moneyline splits are even more extreme in LA’s favor than the spread splits. 82% of the straight up wagers are backing the Rams, but those tickets only account for 68% of the moneyline handle. That indicates the 18% of moneyline bets on San Fran are likely a result of sharp action, as they account for 32% of the moneyline handle.

If LA is going to pull off the upset, as predicted in the Rams vs 49ers picks, they’ll have to weather an early storm. Last season, the Niners raced out to a 31-7 lead at home, before cruising to a 21-point victory.

For all his flaws, Jimmy Garoppolo has excelled against Sean McVay’s team. Jimmy G is 6-1 all-time versus the Rams, including 6-0 in the regular season.

 

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