Ravens vs Chargers Odds, Picks and Prediction for Monday Night Football (Week 12)

• The Ravens are 2.5-point road favorites over the Chargers on Monday Night Football in Week 12
•  Lamar Jackson is 6-2 all-time on MNF, with a 20-to-0 TD-to-INT rate
• Check out the Ravens vs Chargers odds, picks and prediction for MNF

AFC Playoff contenders collide on Monday Night Football as the Baltimore Ravens (7-4) visit the Los Angeles Chargers (7-3). These two teams occupy the AFC’s fifth and sixth seeds, respectively, and oddsmakers are expecting a tightly contested affair in the latest football betting lines.

Baltimore Ravens vs LA Chargers Odds

Baltimore opened as three-point favorites but that line is now down to -2.5. At the current number, the Ravens are garnering the bulk of the support, drawing 66% of the tickets and 57% of the handle. 

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Total-wise, the game opened at 47.5 and has seen major movement per the NFL public betting percentages. The over/under is currently sitting at 50.5, but with 66% of the bets and 72% of the money now on the under, we could see the number dip back down.

Kickoff for this primetime clash is set for 8:15 pm ET from SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, CA, with ESPN and ABC providing the broadcast coverage.

Baltimore’s Offense Goes Hollywood

The Ravens enter play with the fourth shortest Super Bowl odds, while Lamar Jackson boasts the second shortest MVP odds. Jackson is largely responsible for the Ravens number one ranked offense, which produces 430 yards per game.

Lamar leads the NFL with a 117.3 passer rating, and is second in passing touchdowns with 25. He’s also chipped in 584 yards on the ground and two rushing TD, and boasts a spectacular resume on Monday Night Football.

Jared Goff has a 112.1 Passer Rating this season.

Lamar Jackson is at an insane 117.3.

… no one else even has 107. pic.twitter.com/iFETi9Luk0

— John Frascella (Football) (@NFLFrascella) November 21, 2024

Jackson is 6-2 all-time on MNF, with 20 touchdown passes and zero interceptions. He and counterpart Justin Herbert lead the NFL in TD-to-INT ratio, and their play is a big part why we’re looking to back the over in this matchup – more on that later.

As if Jackson wasn’t difficult enough to prepare for, the Chargers must also get set to face Derrick Henry. The league’s leading rusher has scored in every game this season, becoming just the fourth player in NFL history to find the end zone in each of his teams first 11 contests.

The reason we’re not all-in on the Ravens to cover in this spot, is the play of their defense. Baltimore is allowing 25 points per game, and the most passing yards of any team in football. They rank below league average in coverage and pressure rate, while ranking 30th in opposing QB production.

Herbert Leads a Suddenly Potent Attack

That’s music to Herbert’s ears, who’s been playing some of the best ball of his career. He’s gone 246 attempts without an interception, and has accounted for 8 TD in his last four games – all victories.

Despite playing without top tier wide receiver, Herbert is still producing plenty of explosive plays. He has the most yards (695), completions (22) and TD (7) on throws of at least 20+ yards downfield.

Here’s a list of every NFL QB to have a 90+ Passer Rating in every game this season:

– Justin Herbert.

End of list. pic.twitter.com/uaBS3gwsCq

— Ryan DePaul (@RyanDePaul) November 22, 2024

After struggling to score early in the season, LA’s offense has had no issues lately. They’re averaging 28 points per game during their winning streak, and should be able to punch back versus the Ravens in a potential shootout.

The reason to shy away from the over would be the Chargers defense, but Joe Burrow proved last week they can be beaten in the secondary. LA coughed up 3 TD passes and 27 points to the Bengals, and it would have been more if not for multiple missed kicks.

The Chargers enter play as the number one scoring defense, but it’s a bit misleading. They’ve faced only one top-11 passer this season, and that was Burrow who torched them for 356 yards.

Ravens vs Chargers Prediction

Another reason to expect LA to find offensive success is a key absence for Baltimore’s D. Defensive captain and signal caller Roquan Smith has missed practice all week, and seems unlikely to play.

This game also marks another chapter in the Harbaugh Bowl, and while those contests are typically low scoring, both of these teams are going to have trouble getting stops.

The over is 9-2 in Ravens outings this season, including 1-0 indoors. LA meanwhile, has seen back-to-back games soar over the total by an average of 8.5 points per contest.

Ravens vs Chargers Pick: Over 50.5 (-110) at BetMGM