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Steelers vs Browns Player Props – Best Bets for TNF (Week 12)

Eric Rosales

By Eric Rosales in NFL Football

Published:


George Pickens runs by defender
Nov 17, 2024; Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, USA; Pittsburgh Steelers wide receiver George Pickens (14) runs after a catch against Baltimore Ravens safety Kyle Hamilton (right) during the second quarter at Acrisure Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Charles LeClaire-Imagn Images
  • It’s an all-AFC North battle when the Steelers visit the Browns on TNF
  • George Pickens has both the highest reception and receiving yards totals for all Pittsburgh pass catchers
  • See all the Steelers vs Browns player props including passing, rushing, receiving, and TD scores for TNF

TNF’s Week 12 offering feels like a typical AFC North showdown between the Pittsburgh Steelers and Cleveland Browns. Pittsburgh, a 3.5-point road favorite in the Steelers vs Browns odds, is chasing down a division crown, while Cleveland is into extended garbage time and awaiting a top draft pick this summer. Still, there’s money to be made here in the prop betting market, and we’ve got some top picks to share. Catch the full list of Steelers vs Browns player props below.

Steelers vs Browns Player Props

Passer Completions Passing Yards Passing TDs
Jameis Winston (CLE) 19.5 (O -105 | U -125) 216.5 (O -115 | U -115) 1.5 (O +215 | U -290)
Russell Wilson (PIT) 16.5 (O -110 | U -120) 183.5 (O -115 | U -115) 0.5 (O -220 | U +170)
Rusher Rushing Attempts Rushing Yards Longest Rush
Najee Harris (PIT) 14.5 (O -105 | U -125) 67.5 (O -125 | U -105) OFF
Nick Chubb (CLE) OFF 51.5 (O -120 | U -110) 13.5 (O -115 | U -115)
Jaylen Warren (PIT) 9.5 (O +100 | U -130) 36.5 (O -115 | U -115) 13.5 (O -120 | U -110)
Jerome Ford (CLE) 4.5 (O -120 | U -110) 14.5 (O -120 | U -110) OFF
Russell Wilson (PIT) 3.5 (O -130 | U +100) 11.5 (O -115 | U -115) 13.5 (O -120 | U -110)
Jameis Winston (CLE) 2.5 (O -130 | U +100) 8.5 (O -110 | U -120) 5.5 (O -125 | U -105)
Receiver Receptions Receiving Yards Longest Reception
George Pickens (PIT) 4.5 (+110 | U -145) 58.5 (O -125 | U -105) 24.5 (O -120 | U -110)
Jerry Jeudy (CLE) 3.5 (O -125 | U -105) 47.5 (O -115 | U -115) 19.5 (O -120 | U -110)
David Njoku (CLE) 4.5 (O -125 | U -105) 45.5 (O +100 | U -130) 18.5 (O -105 | U -125)
Cedric Tillman (CLE) 3.5 (O -125 | U -105) 44.5 (O -115 | U -115) 19.5 (O -115 | U -115)
Elijah Moore (CLE) 3.5 (O +115 | U -150) 34.5 (O -115 | U -115) 15.5 (O -115 | U -115)
Pat Freiermuth (PIT) 1.5 (O -205 | U +155) 17.5 (O -120 | U -110) 11.5 (O -120 | U -110)
Calvin Austin III (PIT) 1.5 (O +105 | U -135) 14.5 (O -115 | U -115) 11.5 (O -110 | U -120)
Jaylen Warren (PIT) 2.5 (O +130 | U-170) 14.5 (O -115 | U -115) 9.5 (O -110 | U -120)
Darnell Washington (PIT) 1.5 (O +115 | U -150) 11.5 (O -115 | U -115) 8.5 (O -110 | U -120)
Jerome Ford (CLE) 1.5 (O -165 | U +125) 11.5 (O -115 | U -115) OFF
Najee Harris (PIT) 1.5 (O -105 | U -125) 8.5 (O -110 | U -120) 7.5 (O -105 | U -125)
Nick Chubb (CLE) OFF 3.5 (O -110 | U -120) 3.5 (O -115 | U -115)

George Pickens is clearly Russell Wilson’s favorite target and the numbers reflect that, as he’s tied for the highest receptions (4.5) and yards prop (58.5) among all pass catchers. 

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For Cleveland, tight end David Njoku matches Pickens for the highest reception total, while Nick Chubb has a rush total of 51.5 yards in today’s NFL player props.

Steelers vs Browns Player Prop #1: Pickens Receptions

George Pickens is far and away the best receiver the Steelers have, and Russell Wilson is not shy targeting him. In four starts since taking over from Justin Fields, Pickens has seen an average of 8.25 targets per contest.

He has also topped his 4.5 reception line three times in those four games, missing the fourth by a single catch.

It’s not looking pretty in Cleveland, with 40-degree temperatures and rain expected to fall, but Pittsburgh’s run game is suspect, and they’ll need to still throw to move the ball down the field.

Pickens is the likely recipient of those targets – I’m willing to take a flier with plus odds on the Over as well.

  • Steelers vs Browns Prop Pick: Pickens OVER 4.5 receptions (+110); risk 1 unit at DraftKings

PIT vs CLE Player Prop #2: Chubb Rushing Yards

Props to the Cleveland workhorse back for even getting back onto the field after surgery for a torn ACL and meniscus. However, his return hasn’t sparked the Browns’ offense, and Chubb is still working his way back to his dominant self.

In four games, he’s averaged 3.1 yards a pop, and has crossed the 51.5 line set at DraftKings one time — by a half yard.

Pittsburgh is one of the elite defenses in the NFL, and they are run stuffers, allowing just 90.8 yards per game, the fourth-best mark in the league.

Even with conditions calling for more Chubb work, it’s tough sledding Thursday night.

  • Steelers vs Browns Prop Picks: Chubb UNDER 51.5 rushing yards (-110); risk 1 unit at DraftKings

Steelers vs Browns Touchdown Scorer Props

Player Odds to Score 1st TD Odds to Score Any TD
Najee Harris (PIT) +450 +105
Nick Chubb (CLE) +550 +145
George Pickens (PIT) +950 +200
Jaylen Warren (PIT) +1000 +230
Pat Freiermuth (PIT) +1300 +310
David Njoku (CLE) +1300 +300
Cedric Tillman (CLE) +1300 +300
Browns D/ST +1500 +380
Steelers D/ST +1500 +340
Elijah Moore (CLE) +1700 +390
Jerome Ford (CLE) +1800 +450

No players have minus odds to find the endzone Thursday, with Najee Harris with the best odds at +105, followed by Chubb at +145. Perhaps more interesting is the fact that the Browns and Steelers D/ST ranked inside the Top 10 odds to score any TD, ahead of live bodies like Mike Williams, Elijah Moore and Jerome Ford.

Steelers vs Browns Player Prop #3: Harris Anytime TD

Harris looks like the logical pick for his work within the division: he’s punched in a major five times in the last six Pittsburgh road games against AFC North opponents.

While Chubb hasn’t been a great runner, he could be critical goal line back: he has scored at least one touchdown in six of his last eight appearances with the Browns as home underdogs.

  • Steelers vs Browns Prop Picks: Harris anytime TD (+105); risk 1 unit at DraftKings Sportsbook

Last week: 0-3

This season: 9-17, -8.81 units

Eric Rosales
Eric Rosales

Sports Writer & Editor

Having worked in and around sports since 1997, Eric is truly a knowledgeable expert. The two-time journalism grad specializes in all things NBA and NFL. From TSN.ca to CTV's Olympic Broadcast Consortium, Eric's work has appeared in local and national publications alike.

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