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Super Bowl Player Props Public Betting – See How the Public Is Betting the Top 49ers vs Chiefs Player Props

Robert Duff

by Robert Duff in NFL Football

Updated Feb 5, 2024 · 1:14 PM PST

Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes is a popular player prop play in Super Bowl public betting.
Jan 28, 2024; Baltimore, Maryland, USA; Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes (15) celebrates with the Lamar Hunt trophy after the Chiefs' game against the Baltimore Ravens in the AFC Championship football game at M&T Bank Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports
  • Public betting percentages have been released for the most popular Super Bowl 58 player props
  • Patrick Mahomes over 1.5 touchdown passes is the most heavily bet prop, while Travis Kelce is getting the most love in the first touchdown market
  • Check out all the betting percentages for the most wagered on Kansas City Chiefs and San Francisco 49ers player props for Super Bowl 58

Based on the public betting percentages on Super Bowl player props public betting at DraftKings Sportsbook, it appears that people are wagering on history repeating itself in the best NFL player props for the big game between the Kansas City Chiefs and San Francisco 49ers.

For the second successive Super Bowl, Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes going over 1.5 touchdown passes is the most popular Super Bowl player prop. And once again, Chiefs TE Travis Kelce is the people’s choice to score the game’s first TD.

Let’s take a deeper look at how the public betting splits on the DraftKings app are falling on prop bets for the Super Bowl. And if you’re new to sports betting, why not give our handy guide to the types of Super Bowl props you can bet a gander?


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Mahomes Prop Again Dominating Super Bowl Public Betting

It’s certainly understandable why Mahomes is getting the love of the people in the best NFL player props. This will be his fourth Super Bowl game. In two of the three previous contests, he’s gone over 1.5 TD passes.

Super Bowl player prop public betting

In fact, Mahomes has gone over 1.5 TD passes in seven of his last nine NFL postseason games. On the other hand, he’s accomplished this feat just once in three playoff games this season. DraftKings is currently offering -160 odds on Mahomes going over 1.5 TD passes.

It’s 49ers QB Brock Purdy holding down the spot as the second-most wagered Super Bowl player prop in terms of public betting. However, it’s Purdy’s legs, not his arm, that the people are backing. At a betting line of -125, the splits are going with Purdy continuing his successful playoff run. Or should that be runs?

The public betting is backing Purdy to go over 12.5 yards rushing in the Super Bowl. Purdy has certainly unveiled a ground game during the NFL postseason. He rushed for 14 yards in the NFL Divisional Round against Green Bay, and then exploded for 48 yards on five carries in the NFC Championship Game against Detroit.

Add to that the fact that the Kansas City defense is surrendering on average 21.1 yards per game rushing to QBs this season and the public love for this Purdy play is also easy to comprehend.

Public Betting McCaffrey to End Super Bowl Drought

The most recent RB to be named Super Bowl MVP was Terrell Davis of the Denver Broncos in 1998. Yeah, it’s been awhile. Which might make this a fun Super Bowl prop bets play.

Super Bowl player props public betting

Public betting is of the belief that this drought is due to end and that 49ers RB Christian McCaffrey is the perfect person to make it happen. Dual threat McCaffrey has accounted for four TDs in this year’s playoffs. He’s scored 33 TDs in 37 games with San Francisco. In public opinion, McCaffrey should be named regular-season MVP.

In Super Bowl player props public betting on the Super Bowl MVP, McCaffrey at +475 is pulling 21% of handle and 21% of bets. Two-time Super Bowl MVP Mahomes is also getting 21% of handle, but just 14% of bets.

Chiefs TE Kelce is the only other player in double digits (16% of handle, 14% of bets). No TE has ever been awarded Super Bowl MVP.

People Betting Kelce to Score Swiftly

At odds of +650, Kelce is nonetheless getting the most action in public betting splits as the Super Bowl’s first TD scorer. He’s generating 25% of handle and 24% of bets.

Though he’s scored TDs in two of his three Super Bowl appearances, Kelce has never scored the first TD of a Super Bowl game. He did catch a TD pass for Kansas City’s first TD of last year’s big game.

SB anytime TD props

McCaffrey (+340) is the second betting choice in this market. He’s grabbing 15% of handle and 16% of bets. At -225, the 49ers RB is the top choice in the public betting splits to score an anytime TD. He’s also drawing the most action at +225 to score 2+ TDs in the Super Bowl game.

Wagering on TD scorers are common Super Bowl prop bets. Check out our outline of what is a TD prop bet to help with your best prop bets for Super Bowl Sunday while you’re making your bets at the top mobile sportsbook apps.

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