Upcoming Match-ups

Updated NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year Odds After Week 10 – Mac Jones Closing in on Favorite Ja’Marr Chase

John Perrotto

by John Perrotto in NFL Football

Updated Nov 15, 2021 · 12:55 PM PST

Mac Jones celebrates TD
New England Patriots quarterback Mac Jones (10) celebrates after a touchdown by Rhamondre Stevenson during the second half of an NFL football game against the Cleveland Browns, Sunday, Nov. 14, 2021, in Foxborough, Mass. (AP Photo/Michael Dwyer)
  • Bengals wide receiver Ja’Marr Chase is the even-money favorite for 2021 NFL OROY
  • Patriots quarterback Mac Jones is the second choice and his odds are improving
  • All the OROY odds can be found below with analysis on the tightening race

Cincinnati Bengals wide receiver Ja’Marr Chase remains the favorite to win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year, but New England Patriots quarterback Mac Joes is closing fast.

Chase’s odds are now +100 after the Bengals had a bye this past weekend. They had been -145 going into Week 10.

Meanwhile, Jones helped his OROY chances by leading the Patriots to a 45-7 rout the visiting Cleveland Browns on Sunday. He went from +325 to +130 in the NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year odds with that performance.

2021 NFL OROY Odds

Player Odds
Ja’Marr Chase (Bengals) +100
Mac Jones (Patriots) +130
Najee Harris (Steelers) +1200
Kyle Pitts (Falcons) +5000
Justin Fields (Bears) +5000
DeVonta Smith (Eagles) +5000
Trey Lance (49ers) +5000
Javonte Williams (Broncos) +10000
Elijah Moore (Jets) +10000
Rondale Moore (Cardinals) +10000
Trevor Lawrence (Jaguars) +10000
Elijah Mitchell (49ers) +10000
Kadarius Toney (Giants) +10000
Zach Wilson (Jets) +15000
Rashod Bateman (Ravens) +15000
Jaylen Waddle (Dolphins) +15000
Pat Freiermuth (Steelers) +15000
Rashawn Slater (Chargers) +15000
Creed Humphrey (Chiefs) +15000

Odds as of November 15th at FanDuel

Jones Has Patriots Rolling

Jones threw three touchdown passes as the Patriots (6-4) stretched their winning streak to four games with the blowout of the Browns. He completed 19 of 23 attempts for 198 yards.

After the Browns scored a touchdown on their first possession, Jones was at his best. He drove the Patriots 83 yards in 15 plays for the tying score while completing all six passes for 55 yards.

Jones became the first Patriots rookie quarterback with three or more touchdown passes since Drew Bledsoe had four in Week 18 of the 1993 seasons against the Miami Dolphins. Jones also became the first rookie in franchise history to have at least three TD passes in a game without an interception.

Through 10 games, Jones has completed 69.0% of his passes for 2,333 yards. He has 13 touchdowns and seven interceptions while posting a passer rating of at least 85 eight times.

Chase’s Production Has Dipped

Chase is the deep threat the Bengals had been searching for as he is averaging 19.0 yards a catch.

In all, Chase has 44 receptions for 835 yards and seven touchdowns in nine games.

Chase’s reunion with quarterback Joe Burrow, his teammate during the 2019 national championship season at LSU, has proven to be quite fruitful.

The Bengals are also 5-4 following three seasons of at least 10 losses and six consecutive losing seasons. Chase has obviously helped turn things around in Cincinnati.

However, the Bengals have lost their last two games and Chase has just nine receptions combined for 81 yards and a TD during the skid. Perhaps NFL defensive coordinators are figuring out how to scheme for Chase.

Here Comes Harris

The only other real contender for OROY at this point is Pittsburgh Steelers running back Najee Harris.

Harris has rushed for 646 yards and four touchdowns on 176 carries. He also has 44 receptions for 317 yards and two scores.

Consistency is becoming one of Harris’ hallmarks. He has surpassed 90 yards from scrimmage in six of the last seven games for the Steelers (5-3-1).

Jones Poised to Chase Down Chase

Jones seems poised to overtake Chase in the OROY race. Jones plays the glamour position on a surging team that makes plenty of appearances on national TV while Chase is playing for a fading team that is rarely in the spotlight.

Thus, Jones looks like the play here before his odds go any lower.

And if you’re looking for a longshot, Atlanta Falcons tight end Kyle Pitts at +5000 is enticing. Pitts has become one of quarterback Matt Ryan’s favorite receivers and his targets should remain high with wide receiver Calvin Ridley out indefinitely.

Author Image