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Minnesota Vikings vs Denver Broncos Prediction, Spread & Odds for Sunday Night Football Week 11

Ryan Metivier

by Ryan Metivier in NFL Football

Updated Nov 19, 2023 · 5:13 AM PST

Minnesota Vikings quarterback Joshua Dobbs (15) scores on a touchdown
Nov 12, 2023; Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA; Minnesota Vikings quarterback Joshua Dobbs (15) scores on a touchdown run as New Orleans Saints cornerback Alontae Taylor (1) look on during the second quarter at U.S. Bank Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jeffrey Becker-USA TODAY Sports
  • Sunday Night Football sees Denver hosting Minnesota at 8:20 pm EST on November 19, 2023
  • Josh Dobbs is a 2-0 as a Viking and goes to Denver to face the Broncos who have won three straight
  • Get the Vikings vs Broncos odds, picks, and predictions for Sunday morning here

Two teams riding impressive winning streaks meet on Sunday Night Football in Week 11 action when Minnesota (6-4) travels to Denver (4-5). Minnesota has won five-straight, while Denver is undefeated in three, with Denver listed as 2.5-point favorites in the Vikings vs Broncos odds on SNF.

Vikings vs Broncos Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total
Minnesota +2.5 (-110) +120 Over 42.5 (-115)
Denver   -2.5 (-110) -140 Under 42.5 (-105)

The Denver Broncos are 2.5-point favorites at home in the Vikings vs Broncos odds on SNF. They’re also -140 on the moneyline giving them an implied probability of 58.33. The total on the game is lined at 42.5 points.

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How to Watch Minnesota vs Denver on SNF

Viewers in the United States can watch the Vikings vs Broncos game by tuning into NBC. Canadian viewers can watch by streaming on DAZN.

The weather forecast is calling for a high of 61 and low of 30 degrees at night. There is also a chance of rain, thunderstorms and wind gusts of up to 20 mph which affect the offenses for both teams and the total.

Vikings vs Broncos Head-to-Head History

There’s not much recent history to compare here with the last meeting coming in 2019 with the Vikings winning 27-23 at home. Denver has won three of the past four though, albeit dating back many years. The all-time record between the teams sees Minnesota leading 8-7-0.

Vikings and Dobbs Just Keep Winning

Minnesota started the season just 1-4 and looked dead in the water when starting quarterback Kirk Cousins went down with an Achilles injury.

But Cardinals’ cast-off Josh Dobbs came in at the trade deadline and has led the Vikings to back-to-back wins. Minnesota has now won five in a row, are 6-4 and well in the hunt for the NFC North title with Detroit leading at 7-2.

With Dobbs at QB, Minnesota has won 31-28 and 27-19. He’s thrown for three touchdowns and run in two more on the ground in those two games.

Will Lutz Winning Field Goal Extends Denver Winning Streak

Denver is coming in off a comeback 24-22 road win in Buffalo on Monday Night Football with Will Lutz kicking the game-winning field goal. Denver was aided by two Josh Allen interceptions as well as two lost fumbles by the Bills. They were also aided by a 12th man on the field penalty to Buffalo which allowed Lutz a do-over on the game-winning kick.

They were out-gained 369-300 in total yards, but held a huge advantage in total plays (71-52) and time of possession (37:21-22:39).

The win brings Denver to 4-5 and sees them riding a three-game winning streak after also winning 24-9 over Kansas City and 19-17 over Green Bay.

Vikings vs Broncos Head-to-Head Stats

6-4 / 6-3-1 Record / ATS 4-5 / 3-5-1
12th PPG Scored 15th
10th YPG Offense 23rd
3rd Passing YPG 28th
29th Rushing YPG 12th
14th PPG Allowed 32nd
13th YPG Allowed 32nd
16th Passing YPG Allowed 23rd
10th Rushing YPG Allowed 32nd

*Heading into Week 11

Vikings vs Broncos Prediction

Both teams have been Under teams this season with Minnesota 7-3 to the Under and Denver 5-4.

While Minnesota has been an Under machine overall when looking at NFL team trends, they are 2-0 to the Over their past two games. They’re also scorching hot from an against-the-spread perspective, having gone 5-0 ATS in their past five, all wins.

Since Denver’s defense has tightend up, so too have Under bets been cashing in their games. The Broncos are riding a 4-0 Under run. All three of their ATS wins have also come in their past three games, all wins.

A prime-time game finally went Over the total on TNF, but that still makes the Under 25-8.

When it comes to our Vikings vs Broncos picks we’ll go with the road underdog Vikings. Dobbs has been incredibly efficient with the football this season only throwing five interceptions and none so far with Minnesota. He, as well as tight end TJ Hockenson just had career days last week and star WR Justin Jefferson could make a return.

Brian Flores has the Vikings blitzing at the highest rate in the league (49%) and Russell Wilson has not performed well in that setting this season. The Broncos have also been a poor team to back in a favorites role being 2-10-1 ATS as a favorite in their last 13 games and 7-15-1 ATS as a favorite in their past 23.

Vikings vs Broncos Picks: Vikings +2.5


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