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NFL Win Totals Betting – Best Over/Under Picks for 2022 NFL Season

Robert Duff

by Robert Duff in NFL Football

Updated Jul 7, 2022 · 7:38 AM PDT

NFL head to head win total odds
Jun 13, 2022; Englewood, CO, USA; Denver Broncos quarterback Russell Wilson (3) during mini camp drills at the UCHealth Training Center. Mandatory Credit: Ron Chenoy-USA TODAY Sports
  • These are the best NFL win totals to exploit during the 2022 regular season to make a solid score with your pro football betting
  • Three of the four AFC West teams are projecting to hit double digits in wins
  • Is this the year the Pittsburgh Steelers finally hit rock bottom?

When it comes to NFL betting strategies betting on NFL win totals, can be one of the best tools to employ for fun and profit during the NFL regular season.

There are win totals posted for the 2022 NFL regular season on almost every team at all of the major online sports betting sites. Could three AFC West teams really get to double digits in wins? After decades of success, the Pittsburgh Steelers look to be a team in transition. Is this the year the Steelers finally bottom out?

There are other questions that are worthy of exploring. NFL win totals are an ideal time to line shop. You never know when you’ll find a bargain price or a contrarian viewpoint from a sportsbook.

Without further ado, let’s break down some of the best NFL win total wagers worth pursuing this season.

AFC West 2022 Win Total Odds

Team Win Projection Over Odds Under Odds
Denver Broncos 10 -110 -110
Kansas City Chiefs 10.5 -115 -105
Las Vegas Raiders 8.5 -110 -110
Los Angeles Chargers 10 -130 +100

Odds as of July 7th at Caesars Sportsbook. See the available Caesars Sportsbook promo code for betting on the NFL here 

How much will the Kansas City Chiefs be missing All-Pro wideout Tyreek Hill? Was Kansas City’s slow start to the 2021 NFL season an aberration, or a sign of what is to come for this team?

As long as quarterback Patrick Mahomes is in the prime of his career, write off the Chiefs at your own peril. However, based on the NFL strength of schedule formula devised by SBD editor-in-chief Matt McEwan, Kansas City will be playing the NFL’s toughest schedule this season. Can the Chiefs get over 10.5 wins while running that gauntlet? If you don’t think so, Caesars is offering -105 odds on KC going under 10.5 wins.

It’s the Las Vegas Raiders who are left on the outside in this division. The Raiders are set with a win total of 8.5. Last year, Las Vegas went 10-7 and made the playoffs. They’ve added WR Devante Adams from Green Bay. DraftKings is offering +100 odds on the Raiders going under 8.5 wins.

Can Wilson Drive Denver?

Russell Wilson once beat the Denver Broncos in the Super Bowl. He’s now tasked with getting them back in the playoffs. NFL win totals on the Broncos are sitting a 10. But if you’re unconvinced that Wilson has anything left in the tank, DraftKings is showing +100 odds on Denver going under 10 wins.

In two years at the helm of the Chargers, Justin Herbert has shown plenty of evidence that he’s the future of this division. Los Angeles is also set at 10 wins. Both Caesars (+110) and DraftKings are displaying value in betting the under.

Picks: Las Vegas Raiders over 8.5 wins (-110); Denver Broncos under 10 wins (+100)

AFC North 2022 Win Total Odds

Team Win Projection Over Odds Under Odds
Baltimore Ravens 9.5 -145 +125
Cincinnati Bengals 9.5 -125 -105
Pittsburgh Steelers 7.5 +105 -125

It would be great to include the Cleveland Brown in this debate. However, these agents of chaos are off the board. Baker Mayfield is gone to Carolina, Deshaun Watson is in limbo and Jacoby Brissett is now the #1 QB on Cleveland’s depth chart. Yikes.

Speaking of yikes, the Steelers actually looked at film on Mitch Trubisky and decided that he was the guy to replace Ben Roethlisberger. Steelers coach Mike Tomlin has never endured a losing season. He’s made the playoffs the past two seasons.

Is this the year the former streak ends? If you think so, Barstool Sportsbook is offering a -106 betting line on Pittsburgh going under 7.5 wins.

Picks: Pittsburgh Steelers under 7.5 wins (-106)

NFC 2022 Win Total Odds

Team Win Projection Over Odds Under Odds
Green Bay Packers 11 -110 -110
Philadelphia Eagles 9 -145 +120
San Francisco 49ers 10 -115 -106

First of all, the Packers. Aaron Rodgers won’t be winning the Super Bowl but he will be romping through the dismal NFC North once more will feeling.

The Eagles are the flip side to the Chiefs. In McEwan’s formula, Philadelphia is getting the softest touch. That’s traditionally a ticket to the postseason. Caesars Sportsbook has set Philadelphia’s win total at 9. Take that play,

The 49ers are a roller-coaster team. Last year, they went to the NFC Championship Game. Three years ago, it was a Super Bowl appearance. In between, there was a 6-10 campaign. Are they trading QB Jimmy Garoppolo or keeping him? The uncertainty must be maddening for the San Francisco players.

The 49ers are +100 at DraftKings to go under 10 wins. Grab that price.

Picks: Green Bay Packers over 11 wins (-110); Philadelphia Eagles over 9 wins (-145); San Francisco 49ers under 10 wins (+100)

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