Biggest Losers of 2022 NHL Free Agency, Based on Stanley Cup Futures
- 2022 NHL Free Agency is winding down, with most of the big names finding new homes
- Several NHL teams have seen their Stanley Cup odds worsen throughout the course of free agency
- Read below to see the biggest losers of 2022 NHL Free Agency, based on the betting market
2022 NHL Free Agency is winding down, with top UFAs such as Johnny Gaudreau, Claude Giroux and John Klingberg inking deals with new teams. There were also some huge trades that overshadowed the free agent signings.
The Stanley Cup odds were constantly being updated at sportsbooks during the free agency period. The betting market can give us a general idea of which teams came out on the losing end of free agency.
The table below sets out the current Stanley Cup odds for all 32 teams, plus their Cup odds prior to the start of NHL free agency.
2022-2023 Stanley Cup Odds
| Team | Current Odds | Previous Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Colorado Avalanche | +450 | +500 |
| Carolina Hurricanes | +1000 | +1100 |
| Toronto Maple Leafs | +1000 | +900 |
| Florida Panthers | +1100 | +1000 |
| Tampa Bay Lightning | +1200 | +1000 |
| Edmonton Oilers | +1600 | +2000 |
| Calgary Flames | +1600 | +1800 |
| Vegas Golden Knights | +1600 | +1000 |
| Pittsburgh Penguins | +1700 | +2000 |
| New York Rangers | +1700 | +2000 |
| Minnesota Wild | +1800 | +1800 |
| Boston Bruins | +2700 | +2500 |
| St. Louis Blues | +3000 | +2500 |
| New York Islanders | +3000 | +3000 |
| Los Angeles Kings | +3500 | +3500 |
| Washington Capitals | +4000 | +3500 |
| Nashville Predators | +4500 | +4500 |
| Dallas Stars | +4500 | +4500 |
| Vancouver Canucks | +5000 | +4500 |
| Ottawa Senators | +5000 | +5500 |
| Detroit Red Wings | +5500 | +7000 |
| Winnipeg Jets | +6000 | +5000 |
| New Jersey Devils | +6500 | +6000 |
| Columbus Blue Jackets | +7500 | +10000 |
| Philadelphia Flyers | +7500 | +6000 |
| Anaheim Ducks | +7500 | +8000 |
| Buffalo Sabres | +8500 | +7500 |
| Montreal Canadiens | +10000 | +15000 |
| San Jose Sharks | +10000 | +10000 |
| Seattle Kraken | +10000 | +10000 |
| Chicago Blackhawks | +20000 | +10000 |
| Arizona Coyotes | +30000 | +25000 |
Odds taken July 13 (noon EST) and Aug 1 at FanDuel Sportsbook.
Blackhawks Tanking for Bedard
No team saw a bigger drop in the Stanley Cup odds drop during NHL free agency than Chicago, who faded from +10000 to +20000. The Blackhawks were already extreme longshots heading into the free agency period, but now they only have just 0.5% implied probability to win it all.
Thank you Kirbs ❤️ Good luck in Montreal! pic.twitter.com/Wnu681qQYS
— Chicago Blackhawks (@NHLBlackhawks) July 7, 2022
Chicago didn’t qualify RFA Dylan Strome and traded youngster Kirby Dach to Montreal. During the NHL Draft, the Blackhawks shipped leading goalscorer Alex DeBrincat to Ottawa. With Chicago’s brightest stars out of the Windy City, Patrick Kane trade rumors are running rampant.
The 2023 NHL Draft features a generational talent in Conor Bedard, which is likely why the Hawks are fine with finishing at the bottom of the standings. Chicago did sign UFA’s Max Domi and Andreas Athanasiou, but those players aren’t of the same skill-caliber as the departed young stars.
Golden Knights’ Armor Pierced
Out of the top-10 contenders in the Stanley Cup odds, the Golden Knights were the team that saw their odds worsen the most. Vegas faded from +1000 to +1600 during NHL Free Agency as they failed to make a big splash while also losing their best goalscorer.
Max-imum winds detected, with Max Pacioretty and Dylan Coghlan (@dylancoghlan15) landing in Carolina. 👀🌪 #NHLFreeAgency pic.twitter.com/AcS3JkWo2W
— NHL (@NHL) July 14, 2022
Vegas traded sniper Max Pacioretty to the Carolina Hurricanes in exchange for future considerations. While VGK completed the trade to free up cap space, it marks the second straight offseason the Knights lost an NHL all-star without gaining anything in return (Marc-Andre Fleury, 2021).
It’s not surprising oddsmakers are skeptical about the Golden Knights entering 2022-23 considering Vegas missed the postseason for the first time in franchise history last season. The Knights were able to re-sign Reilly Smith, but this roster has only gotten worse since the end of 2021-22.
Jets, Canucks Losers in Canada
The updated Stanley Cup odds suggest that several Canadian NHL teams took a step backward during the free agency period. The Jets were the biggest fallers, as they faded from +5000 to +6000. The Canucks, meanwhile, saw their Cup odds lengthen from +4500 to +5000.
Central Division foe turned friend 🤗 pic.twitter.com/Y3v9Dp39IN
— Winnipeg Jets (@NHLJets) July 14, 2022
Winnipeg and Vancouver both missed the playoffs last season, and their drop in the Cup odds reflects what they didn’t do during NHL Free Agency. Neither team signed a high-impact free agent, while other Canadian teams like Edmonton and Ottawa bolstered their Cup odds with big moves.
The Stanley Cup odds still suggest that the Maple Leafs are Canada’s best shot at ending the country’s 29-year drought. Toronto did fade from +900 to +1000 during free agency, but replacing Jack Campbell and Petr Mrazek with a new goalie tandem of Illya Samsonov and Matt Murray is a bold move that could lead to varying results.
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Brady is the lead NHL and College Football editor at Sports Betting Dime, where he specializes in betting odds and data-driven analysis. Brady has over 10 years experience working in sports media, with work published by outlets such as ESPN, CBS Sports, Yahoo! Sports and Fox Sports.
