Canadiens vs Capitals Game 5 Prediction, Pick & Props to Bet (Apr. 30)

• The Capitals can close out their first-round series with a win over Montreal Wednesday night in Game 5 at the Capital One Center

• Washington leads the series 3-1 and is 1.5-goal favorites, but hasn’t won a playoff series since 2018

• Can Montreal keep things alive? I’ve got your close look at the best props for Wednesday, plus a prediction and final pick for Game 5

After a Game 4 comeback victory, the East top seed Washington Capitals (48-38 ATS) can eliminate the Montreal Canadiens (49-37) with a win Wednesday night.

The Capitals are 9-1 in their last 10 games at home and have outscored Montreal 14-11 in the series.

I know Washington fans are worried, but I’m all set with a prediction, special picks and some prop bets you should consider for Wednesday night.

Canadiens vs Capitals Prediction Game 5

I predict the Capitals will close it out with a strong performance. Montreal led 2-1 entering the third period of Game 4, but Washington seized back the momentum and pulled away to win 5-2. All of Montreal’s momentum from a Game 3 win is gone.

Another reason why I am predicting a Caps win is the fact that Canadiens’ starting keeper, Sam Montembeault, is probably out with a lower-body injury. His replacement, Jakub Dobes, broke down late. He’s 3-3-2 in his last 10 games played with a goals against average of 3.05.

Washington has had terrible first-round performances lately. They were swept in the first round by the Rangers in 2024, lost 4-2 to Florida in 2022, lost 4-1 to Boston in 2021, and 4-1 to the Islanders in 2020. In 2019, the Caps were up 3-2 on Carolina but lost the series in double overtime in game 7. That’s the last potential series-clinching game Washington played.

Tonight is about ending that frustration.

Canadiens vs Capitals Picks

• Capitals -1.5 (+135 at BetMGM)

• Over 6 (-110 at BetMGM)

Game 4 looked like a rout on the scoreboard thanks to a pair of empty net goals, and I am thinking the exact same thing is going to happen tonight. Washington will have a late lead, and the Canadiens will pull their goalie, because who cares if you lose by 1 goal or 2 or 3 in an elimination game? That’s the reason I like the over Wednesday too. It’ll be a late cover.

Montreal’s issue is an offense that has suddenly vanished. After 40 Montreal shots in Game 3, Washington goalie Logan Thompson made 16 saves on just 18 shots by Montreal in Game 4. Thompson, who had to come out of Game 3 with an injury, probably isn’t 100 percent, but he was barely tested in Game 4.

Canadians vs. Capitals Props to Bet

I found a bunch of prop bets on BetMGM for Canadiens vs Capitals that I like.

0-0 at end of first period (+375 at BetMGM)

Neither team scored in the first period of Game 4, and neither even had that good of a scoring chance. There have been three goals scored in the first period of this series. I like this prop because both teams will come out cautious early.

Dylan Strome anytime goal scorer (+210 at BetMGM)

Strome has two goals and five assists this series, and in 15 career games against Montreal, he has lit the lamp seven times. He’s had at least one point in 13 of his last 14 games against Montreal, which is a big reason to bet this prop. He’s also scored a goal in six of the last 10 home games.

Nick Suzuki over 2.5 shots (+140 at BetMGM)

Montreal needs to find offense from someone tonight, and Suzuki is due to break through. He’s scored at least one goal in four of Montreal’s last five games in Washington. He only had one shot in Game 4, but had three in Game 3 and seven in Game 1. Suzuki averages right at 2.2 shots per game this season. This is a good bet for him tonight.