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Red Wings vs Lightning Odds, Pick & Prediction (Dec 6)

George Nassios

by George Nassios in NHL Hockey

Dec 6, 2022 · 10:05 AM PST

Tampa Bay Lightning center Steven Stamkos raises hand to crowd
Dec 3, 2022; Tampa, Florida, USA; Tampa Bay Lightning center Steven Stamkos (91) is celebrated after he gets his 1,000th career point prior to the game against the Toronto Maple Leafs at Amalie Arena. Mandatory Credit: Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Detroit Red Wings visit the Tampa Bay Lightning on Tuesday, December 6th
  • Just two points separate the Red Wings and Lightning in the Atlantic Division Standings
  • Check out the Red Wings vs Lightning odds below, plus our pick and prediction for this game

When it comes to surprises in the NHL this season, the New Jersey Devils have stolen the headlines in the Eastern Conference, but don’t sleep on the Detroit Red Wings. The once-proud franchise has missed the playoffs in six straight seasons, but could be on its way back this year.

On Tuesday, December 6th, Detroit faces a stiff test when they visit the Tampa Bay Lightning at Amalie Arena. Puck drop is scheduled for 7:00 pm ET in a game that can be seen on Bally Sports in the United States and Sportsnet in Canada. The Lightning are -225 favorites in the NHL odds in the first meeting of the year between these two sides.

Let’s take a look at the Red Wings vs Lightning odds below, while we delve a little deeper into this matchup and offer our best bet and prediction for this contest.

Red Wings vs Lightning Odds

Game Time Team Puck Line Total Moneyline
Tuesday, December 6th Detroit Red Wings +1.5 (-137) O 6.5 (-107) +180
7:00 PM Tampa Bay Lightning -1.5 (+112) U 6.5 (-114) -225

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With moneyline odds of -225, the Lightning are pretty heavy favorites with an implied win probability of 69.23% to take this one. If Detroit can win or keep this a one goal game, they pay +180 on the puck line. Five of the last six meetings between these two teams have been one-goal games.

Detroit Red Wings Betting Outlook

Slowly, but surely, Steve Yzerman has built this Detroit team back up to respectability. They have increased their point total in each of the past two seasons and currently sit in a playoff spot in the East based on points percentage.

They’re still nowhere to be seen in the Stanley Cup odds, but a spot in the postseason is no longer out of the question.

Detroit has actually won their last three games in a row on the road, outscoring opponents 17-7. There’s been a drastic improvement in the offense from last year, as they average 3.17 goals per game, which ranks 15th in the league. Comparatively, last season, they were 25th in the NHL with 2.77 goals per outing.

As an added incentive, Red Wings head coach Derek Lalonde spent the past four seasons as an assistant coach with the Lightning, where Yzerman also learned the ropes as a front-office executive. You can bet this game means a little extra, especially to Lalonde, who will be coaching against his former squad for the first time.

Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Analysis

Tampa is coming off a playoff-type victory over the Maple Leafs. They defeated last year’s first-round opponent 4-3 in overtime in a game where Steven Stamkos was honored for recording 1,000 career points with the franchise.

The Lightning have gotten on a bit of a roll, winning four of their last five and eight of their last 10.

Red Wings vs Lightning Same-Game Parlay Picks

Pick Odds
Over 6 Goals Regular Time -122
Red Wings Total Goals Over 2.5 -106
PARLAY ODDS  +138

Tampa has scored four or more goals in four of their last five games. Although Connor McDavid seems a lock in the Hart Trophy odds a third of the way through the season, don’t count out Tampa’s wizard, Nikita Kucherov. The Russian winger sits fourth in the league in scoring with 36 points.

Red Wings vs Lightning Pick & Prediction

This isn’t the same Detroit team from the last couple years that was playing meaningless games after the calendar switched to the new year. While they might not have enough to qualify for the playoffs just yet, they’re going to make things interesting.

As we mentioned above, they’ve also played Tampa fairly tightly over the past couple of years and nobody will know their opponent better than the guy who was an assistant to Jon Cooper over the last four years.

Red Wings vs Lightning Recent Results

Date Home-Away Moneyline Puck Line Over/Under
04/19/2022 TB 3 – DET 4 DET DET Over
03/26/2022 DET 1 – TB 2 (OT) TB DET Under
03/04/2022 TB 3 – DET 1 TB TB Under
10/14/2021 DET 6 – TB 7 (OT) DET DET Over
05/02/2021 DET 1 – TB 2 TB DET Under

When it comes to the puck line, Detroit is 9-1 covering in the last 10 matchups between these two, an astounding 90% cover percentage to keep these games within a goal or outright win.

The road team is also 4-1 in the last five meetings between the two squads and with the Red Wings rolling away from home with three straight wins, we see a possible upset in the making here in the Tuesday NHL odds.

If you want a safe prediction, based on the trends, it makes a ton of sense to pick Detroit on the puck line, but we want the opportunity for you to cash in nicely here. Take the Red Wings straight up to win one for their coach against his former team in Tampa on Tuesday night.

Pick: Red Wings ML (+180)

 

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