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Updated Stanley Cup Odds After Second Round of 2021 NHL Playoffs – How to Find Value in Final Four Teams

Brady Trettenero

by Brady Trettenero in NHL Hockey

Updated Jun 11, 2021 · 6:35 AM PDT

Updated Stanley Cup odds 2021 NHL Playoffs - Golden Knights, Lightning, Canadiens
Vegas Golden Knights right wing Mark Stone (61) celebrates after the Vegas Golden Knights defeated the Colorado Avalanche in Game 3 of an NHL hockey Stanley Cup second-round playoff series Friday, June 4, 2021, in Las Vegas. (AP Photo/John Locher)
  • Updated 2021 Stanley Cup odds have been released ahead of the NHL Playoffs Semifinals
  • The Golden Knights are the favorites, while the Habs are the largest longshot
  • See the updated Stanley Cup odds for the final four teams along with betting analysis below

There are only four NHL teams remaining in the quest for hockey’s ultimate prize. Updated Stanley Cup odds have been released for the final four teams ahead of the 2021 NHL Playoffs Semifinals. Round 3 gets underway on Sunday, June 13th.

The Vegas Golden Knights are favored to win their first-ever Stanley Cup, while the Montreal Canadiens are the biggest longshots. The Tampa Bay Lightning are available at plus-money to repeat as champions.

We layout the updated Stanley Cup odds for the final four teams and provide betting advice.

2021 Stanley Cup Odds

Team Odds at DraftKings
Vegas Golden Knights +110
Tampa Bay Lightning +175
New York Islanders +650
Montreal Canadiens +850

Odds as of June 11th

Knights In Shining Armour

The Golden Knights are favored to win Lord Stanley after defeating the previous favorites, the Colorado Avalanche, in Round 2. Vegas beat Colorado in only six games after requiring seven games to get past Minnesota in Round 1. The Golden Knights have now made the Conference Finals in three of their first four seasons in the league.

The Golden Knights have a Vezina Trophy contender in Marc-Andre Fleury and one of the best defensive forwards in Mark Stone. Their biggest problem last year was a lack of goal-scoring against a defensively stout Dallas team. The Knights are more balanced this time around with 10 different players having multiple goals.

This could be the year the Knights take that final step, but you have to consider their path to the championship. They have to solve both Carey Price and (likely) Andrei Vasilevskiy before capturing Lord Stanley. We saw this offense get frustrated last postseason going up against Thatcher Demko in Round 2 before being thwarted by Anton Khudobin in the Conference Finals.

Will the Lightning Repeat? 

The Lightning are right behind the Knights in the updated Cup odds after winning their opening two playoff series in convincing fashion. The Bolts took down the Panthers in six games during the opening round before requiring just five games to take down the Hurricanes in Round 2. The Lightning defeated the Islanders in the Semifinals last year and will need to repeat that process again this year.

This Lightning team is very similar to the one that won the Stanley Cup in 2020. Brayden Point and Nikita Kucherov are once again leading the way offensively, while Andrei Vasilevskiy has been a rock in goal. Not to mention, workhorse blueliner Victor Hedman just earned his fifth straight Norris Trophy nomination.

The Lightning are set up nicely to become the first back-to-back Cup champions since the Penguins accomplished the feat in 2016 and 2017. The +175 price is a gift considering the Bolts rank top-five in both offense and defense. You also have to keep in mind that their power play is operating at 41.7% efficiency and has almost been unstoppable this postseason.

Habs Are Intriguing Longshot 

The Montreal Canadiens are the biggest longshots in the updated Cup odds after pulling off upsets in their opening two playoff rounds. The Habs defeated the Maple Leafs in seven games in Round 1 before sweeping the Jets in the second round. The main reason to consider a longshot wager on Montreal is goalie Carey Price, who leads the postseason with a .935 save percentage.

The Habs have won seven straight games and haven’t trailed at any point since Game 4 of the first round against Toronto. They’re the most rested club entering the third round and lead all remaining teams with only 2.18 goals allowed per game. Montreal doesn’t have a Kucherov-type superstar, but rather a solid group of scorers, including Tyler Toffoli and Nick Suzuki.

The Canadiens have won five of six all-time meetings against Vegas, although the two teams haven’t played since January 2020. The Canadiens aren’t an offensive juggernaut, but they don’t need to be with Price playing at this elite level. Tampa Bay might be the best overall Cup bet entering Round 3, but the Habs are the top value play.


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