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Crayon 301 Odds, Predictions & Picks 2023

Chris Wassel

by Chris Wassel in Racing

Updated Jul 11, 2023 · 9:55 PM PDT

NASCAR Cup Series driver Martin Truex Jr celebrates with his crew chief James Small
May 1, 2023; Dover, Delaware, USA; NASCAR Cup Series driver Martin Truex Jr (right) celebrates with his crew chief James Small (left) after winning the Wurth 400 at Dover Motor Speedway. Mandatory Credit: Matthew OHaren-USA TODAY Sports
  • NASCAR heads north to New England for the Crayon 301 set to run on Sunday, July 16th, 2023, in Loudon, New Hampshire
  • The contending favorites include Chase Elliott, Kyle Busch, Ryan Blaney, and Joey Logano
  • Below are the Crayon 301 predictions, picks, and betting odds ahead of Sunday afternoon’s race

NASCAR heads back to the New Hampshire Motor Speedway for the twentieth race of the 2023 season. The oval speedway is 1.058-miles and features flatter turns on the straightaways. The race distance totals 318 miles (301 laps). What might happen next?

This weekend’s race is one week after the Quaker State 400 where William Byron won the rain-shortened event as the rain drops became too many for NASCAR to continue.

The table below lists the complete slate of NASCAR Cup Series odds for the Crayola 301 from New Hampshire (win, podium finish, and top-five finish). Under the table, find the Loudon predictions and best bets for this weekend’s NASCAR action.

NASCAR Crayon 301 Odds

Driver Odds to Win Podium Finish Odds  Top Five Odds
Christopher Bell +550 +160 -110
Martin Truex Jr. +650 +180 -120
Denny Hamlin +700 +200 -110
Kyle Larson +900 +250 +110
Kyle Busch +900 +250 +110
Kevin Harvick +900 +250 +110
Chase Elliott +1100 +300 +150
William Byron +1200 +350 +200
Ryan Blaney +1400 +400 +180
Joey Logano +1500 +400 +190
Tyler Reddick +1800 +500 +300
Ross Chastain +1800 +500 +225
Brad Keselowski +2200 +600 +275
Aric Almirola +2200 +600 +275
Bubba Wallace +2800 +800 +350
Daniel Suarez +3500 +1000 +400
Alex Bowman +4500 +1200 +550
Ty Gibbs +5000 +1400 +600
Ryan Preece +5500 +1500 +650
Chris Buescher +6500 +1600 +700

Kyle Busch enters this race yet as a +1000 favorite with Chase Elliott not too far behind. However, the first ten drivers come in at +1800 or shorter. With a track that runs like a superspeedway, the numbers do not fall off dramatically.

NASCAR drivers get around the track with a 75-110-116 stage lap setup when the flag drops for the Sunday evening race beginning again after 2:30 pm ET on USA.



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Odds as of July 11th at DraftKings Sportsbook. Lock in this DraftKings promo code to bet on the Crayola 301 or check out other US betting sites

Christopher Bell and the Toyota’s Like New Hampshire

So, Joe Gibbs Racing finally got rewarded last year in New Hampshire. Christopher Bell took the lead over from Martin Truex Jr. and sped towards victory. Bell also had nearly won in 2021 but Aric Almirola held him off then. There was no containing the No. 20 car in 2022. It does seem the Toyota’s are faster on this mile and a little longer track.

Naturally, Caesars Sportsbook has Bell as the favorite at +500. For one, both Martin Truex Jr. and Denny Hamlin are at +650, and for fun, six drivers are +1000 or shorter. Most bettors will see shorter numbers that even things out somewhat. This week relies on finding racers who drive well on lower-banked track that are shorter.

Crayon 301 Recent Winners

Year Race Winner Pole Position Most Laps Led
2022 Christopher Bell – Joe Gibbs Racing Martin Truex Jr. – Joe Gibbs Racing Martin Truex Jr. – Joe Gibbs Racing
2021 Aric Almirola – Stewart-Haas Racing Kyle Busch – Joe Gibbs Racing Kevin Harvick – Stewart-Haas Racing
2020 Brad Keselowski – Team Penske Aric Almirola – Stewart-Haas Racing Brad Keselowski – Team Penske
2019 Kevin Harvick – Stewart-Haas Racing Brad Keselowski – Team Penske Kyle Busch – Joe Gibbs Racing
2018 Kevin Harvick – Stewart-Haas Racing Kurt Busch – Stewart-Haas Racing Kurt Busch – Stewart-Haas Racing

This race has seen some interesting and crazy moments including the infamous 2021 rain melee that caused a few racers a chance at a win.

Can Chevy Do It Again This Week?

NASCAR Cup Series odds come in with seven drivers at +1000 or better. That includes co-favorites Kyle Larson and William Byron at +600. After that, Denny Hamlin and Martin Truex Jr. lurk with Kyle Busch. Do not forget drivers like Christopher Bell and Ross Chastain however. Ryan Blaney and Joey Logano are the first Ford cars on the list at +1200.

Correlation to flatter tracks Richmond, Gateway, and Phoenix are important here. The key to studying these tracks is to see how speed has been maintained. Do not just look at how well or not so well a driver placed necessarily.

Saturday qualifying begins at 12:50 pm ET. Expect quick track conditions on Sunday but naturally there is a 50-50 chance of rain on Sunday afternoon. This is where watching the weather is important with coin flip like chances of thundershowers. It feels like we say this every week.

Crayon 301 from New Hampshire Predictions & Picks

So, Sunday afternoon might be a wet one again. Saturday may feature raindrops for qualifying and practice. Drivers should proceed with caution.

Who can dodge the possible wet weather and drive the flat track the best? Can Toyota win again or will a Chevy or Ford surge to the front?

Watch the weather again on Sunday early and often.  For head-to-head driver matchups, wait until qualifying to make wagers here. The last few years have been interesting. Look at how Aric Almirola found a way to win two years ago. Is this the year Martin Truex Jr. or Denny Hamlin avoid bad luck and worse pit stops?

Here are our best bets:

  • Top Pick: Martin Truex Jr. to Win (+650)
  • Other Contenders: Christopher Bell (+550), Joey Logano (+1500), Kyle Busch (+900), William Byron (+1200)
  • Longshots:  Aric Almirola (+2200), Daniel Suarez (+3500), Ty Gibbs (+5000)
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