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NASCAR 2019 Daytona 500 Odds: Keselowski, Logano & Harvick All Listed as Co-Favorites

David Golokhov

by David Golokhov in Racing

Jan 29, 2019 · 4:32 PM PST

Kyle Busch NASCAR
Is Kyle Busch a good value bet at the 2019 Daytona 500? Photo by Dave Hogg (Wikimedia Commons) [CC License].
  • Brad Keselowksi is working with a new spotter, which could impact his performance
  • Joey Logano has placed sixth or better in four straight years at the Daytona 500
  • Kevin Harvick has placed seventh or worse in seven of the last nine starts at the Daytona 500

The Daytona 500 is one of the most exciting sporting events of the calendar year. Not only is it the most important race to a NASCAR driver, it is also the kickoff to the season. As of right now, three drivers are posted as +900 favorites to win the event. Are any of them a good bet?

2019 Daytona 500 Odds

Player Odds to Win 2019 Daytona 500 (01/29/19)
Brad Keselowksi +900
Joey Logano +900
Kevin Harvick +900
Aric Almirola +1200
Chase Elliott +1200
Denny Hamlin +1200
Clint Bowyer +1400
Kyle Busch +1400
Martin Truex Jr. +1400
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. +1400
Ryan Blaney +1400
Daniel Suarez +2000
Erik Jones +2200
Jimmie Johnson +2200
Alex Bowman +2500
Austin Dillon +2800
Kyle Larson +2800
Paul Menard +4000
William Byron +4000
Daniel Hemric +5000

*Follow the link in the table to see all options

Three Favorites Tied at +900

Taking a look at the betting odds, Brad Keselowski, Joey Logano, and Kevin Harvick are the three drivers who are tied as the favorites to win.

It’s interesting to see Keselowski as one of the favorites as he’s actually never won the Daytona 500. He’s one of three active drivers to have won a championship but not win the Daytona 500. It’s puzzling to see that Keselowski hasn’t picked up the big win as he’s good at restrictor plate races – maybe even the best along with Joey Logano.

Speaking of Logano, how can you not like him in this spot? Since winning in 2015, he’s placed sixth, sixth and fourth, so he’s been right there.

As for Harvick, he’s someone to consider as he did get a win at Daytona 500 in 2007. However, he placed 31st last year and 22nd the year before. Harvick has finished seventh or worse in seven of the last nine starts, so he’s not someone I’m overly keen on as a favorite.

Keselowski’s New Spotter

Keselowski would have to be at the top of almost everyone’s list. We’re talking about a guy who does well at Talladega, has a win at Daytona, and is simply among the best when it comes to restrictor plate races. He’s going to be in most people’s lineups for fantasy and a good option among bettors. However, there is one thing to keep in mind:

Keselowski has a new spotter in Coleman Pressley, who spotted for AJ Allmendinger in 2018. Previously, he was with Joey Meier since 2006. Spotting is quite key at the Daytona 500, so that is one small concern. It’s probably going to be something that keeps me from betting on him. This is one of those things – working with a new spotter – that might take some time and the Daytona 500 is the first race of the year. There could be some growing pains.

Is it Worth Betting the Favorites?

This is such a tough race to handicap. Keselowski was favored last year at +800 but it was Austin Dillon (+4400) who came out of nowhere to win. In 2016, Kurt Busch cashed and while he’s a relatively known name, he was listed at +2500. We did have a run of more obvious winners from 2012-16 but Trevor Bayne (+8000) and Jamie McMurray (+2500) surprised in the years before that.

Of the favorites, I would bet on Logano (+900). Looking a bit further down the list, I would take a flier on Kyle Busch (+1400). He’s won just about everything one can win in NASCAR except for this race and he’s looked like he’s got that fire in his eyes. Adding Martin Truex Jr. should push this team a little harder and that might produce a win at the Daytona 500.

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