South Point 400 Odds, Predictions, and Best Bets
- The NASCAR Playoff Chase enters the final segment with the South Point 400 set to run on Sunday, October 16th, 2022
- Several contenders include Chase Elliott, Kyle Larson, Denny Hamlin, and potentially Joey Logano
- Below are the South Point 400 betting odds and trends ahead of Sunday afternoon
NASCAR heads to Las Vegas, Nevada, for race number 33 of the 2022 season. The Las Vegas Motor Speedway Course is a 1.5-mile intermediate course. The race distance totals about 400 miles over 267 laps. Now, who will be able to negotiate the Vegas course and can someone automatically advance to the finale in Phoenix?
The first race of segment three is a week after the Bank Of America Roval 400, where Christopher Bell found a way to slingshot past everyone to gain his entrance into the Round of 8.
Here are the South Point 400 odds.
South Point 400 Odds
| Driver | Odds to Win | Podium Finish Odds | Top Ten Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Denny Hamlin | +550 | +155 | -305 |
| Chase Elliott | +800 | +230 | -225 |
| Christopher Bell | +900 | +255 | -200 |
| Ross Chastain | +900 | +255 | -200 |
| Kyle Larson | +900 | +255 | -200 |
| Tyler Reddick | +900 | +255 | -200 |
| Ryan Blaney | +1000 | +285 | -186 |
| William Byron | +1100 | +315 | -175 |
| Kyle Busch | +1200 | +350 | -162 |
| Martin Truex Jr. | +1200 | +350 | -162 |
| Joey Logano | +1600 | +450 | -139 |
| Bubba Wallace | +1600 | +450 | -139 |
| Kevin Harvick | +2500 | +700 | -112 |
| Daniel Suarez | +4000 | +1100 | +115 |
| Chase Briscoe | +4000 | +1100 | +115 |
| Austin Cindric | +6600 | +1600 | +115 |
| Austin Dillon | +8000 | +1800 | +200 |
| Ty Gibbs | +8000 | +1800 | +200 |
| Brad Keselowski | +8000 | +1800 | +200 |
| Erik Jones | +8000 | +1800 | +190 |
| Aric Almirola | +10000 | +2000 | +325 |
Odds as of October 12th at Barstool Sportsbook. Get the Barstool Sportsbook bonus code.
Hamlin enters this race as a solid +550 favorite to win, followed by Chase Elliott at +600. After Kyle Larson, Christopher Bell, Ross Chastain, and Tyler Reddick are all +900. This is an intermediate course where drivers can lead huge chunks of the race.
NASCAR drivers will start their engines on the 1.5-mile, 80-80-107 stage lap setup when the flag drops for the Sunday afternoon race beginning around 2:30 pm ET on NBC Network.
Denny Hamlin Advanced, Kyle Larson Did Not
Yes, this was a shocker. With Denny Hamlin looking solid on points, it was assumed that Kyle Larson would be safe. Then, disaster happened. Larson’s No. 5 car broke a toe hinge making it next to impossible to shift properly. He limped his car as Larson lost time in bunches. Eventually, Chase Briscoe was able to get enough points to pass Larson in the standings. The unthinkable happened. Kyle Larson was eliminated.
Now, Kyle Larson is third at Caesars this week at +700. Denny Hamlin is still +550 at Caesars but Ross Chastain is at +950. The Caesars Sportsbook odds are just a reshuffling of some of the top drivers.
Who wins the October 16th race at Las Vegas? The “Round of 8” begins Sunday. Watch for those Toyota drivers.
South Point 400 Recent Winners
| Year | Race Winner | Pole Position | Most Laps Led |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | Denny Hamlin – Joe Gibbs Racing | Kyle Larson – Hendrick Motorsports Racing | Denny Hamlin – Joe Gibbs Racing |
| 2020 | Kurt Busch – Chip Ganassi Racing | Kevin Harvick – Stewart-Haas Racing | Denny Hamlin – Joe Gibbs Racing |
| 2019 | Martin Truex Jr. – Joe Gibbs Racing | Clint Bowyer – Stewart-Haas Racing | Joey Logano – Team Penske |
| 2018 | Brad Keselowski – Team Penske | Erik Jones – Joe Gibbs Racing | Martin Truex Jr. – Furniture Row Racing |
The Playoff Chase Has New Bumps
Sports bettors still love Chase Elliott. However, it will be interesting to see what Christopher Bell can do this round. The segment sets up well with Las Vegas, Homestead, and Martinsville. These are tracks Bell performs well on. The Joe Gibbs Racing driver has improved in the NASCAR Cup Series odds. Remember, the two Joe Gibbs drivers are set up to advance. Now, can the Toyotas deliver on the late speed they had early in the season?
Ross Chastain has been quite fast here in testing but so have eliminated drivers Tyler Reddick and Kyle Larson. Even Joey Logano has won twice on the track but not in the Fall. The September and October version races a bit different than the early season version. Keep that in mind for Sunday. See where drivers qualify first.
South Point 400 Predictions & Picks
The weather expects to be pleasant Sunday with sun and temperatures nearing 80.
Next-Gen intermediate racing featured more cautions than usual in the first race. More of the same is possible this time around.
Finally, look at Joe Gibbs Racing for the race win at +185. It is a different wrinkle of betting as Toyota has looked the strongest in Vegas at the two fastest races (2019 and 2021). Finally, do not sleep on Martin Truex Jr.
Here are our best bets:
- Top Pick: Denny Hamlin to Win (+550 – Barstool)
- Other Contenders: Ross Chastain (+900), Tyler Reddick (+900), Joey Logano (+1600), Martin Truex Jr. (+1200)
DRAFTKINGS SPORTSBOOKBET $5 & GET $200 INSTANTLY & A NO SWEAT NBA SGP EVERY DAY!
- FANDUEL SPORTSBOOK
BET $5 & GET $150 GUARANTEED!
- BETMGM SPORTSBOOK
GET UP TO $1,500 BACK IN BONUS BETS!
- CAESARS SPORTSBOOK
GET UP TO $1,000 BACK - ON CAESARS!
A journalist veteran for over two decades, Chris has taught the gamut of fantasy hockey sports online from injuries to news to prospects, and more. He has bet on several sports and written sports betting articles about the NBA, MLB, NCAA football, the NFL, and NHL for USA Today.
