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Toyota/Save Mart 350 Odds, Predictions, and Picks

Chris Wassel

by Chris Wassel in Racing

Jun 8, 2022 · 6:15 PM PDT

NASCAR Cup Series driver Kyle Larson on the track
May 15, 2022; Kansas City, Kansas, USA; NASCAR Cup Series driver Kyle Larson (5) races during the AdventHealth 400 at Kansas Speedway. Mandatory Credit: Amy Kontras-USA TODAY Sports
  • Sonoma, California is next on the NASCAR schedule as the Toyota/Save Mart 350 is set to run on Sunday, June 12th, 2022
  • Several contenders include  Martin Truex Jr., Kyle Larson, Chase Elliott, and Kyle Busch.
  • Below are the Toyota/Save Mart 350 odds and betting trends ahead of Sunday afternoon’s race

NASCAR heads out to Sonoma, California for race number 16 of the 2022 season. The race comes from the Sonoma Raceway. The 1.949-mile track does not include the carousel this time around. Kyle Larson is co-favored this week with Kyle Busch at +800 odds in the NASCAR Enjoy Illinois 300 odds. Can Ross Chastain crash the Hendricks/Gibbs battle  this week and not into other Joe Gibbs’ racers.

This is one week after the Enjoy Illinois 300, where Joey Logano held off Kyle Busch in overtime to win on the inaugural track right near the “Gateway Arch”.

Let’s dive into these Toyota/Save Mart 350 odds and figure out which drivers are the best bets.

Toyota/Save Mart 350 Odds

Driver Odds to Win Odds to Finish Top Three Odds to Finish Top Ten
Chase Elliott +600 +190 -265
Kyle Larson +750 +235 -210
Kyle Busch +1000 +295 -162
A.J. Allmendinger +1000 +295 -162
Ross Chastain +1000 +295 -162
Martin Truex Jr. +1000 +295 -162
Austin Cindric +1400 +400 -130
Christopher Bell +1600 +475 -125
Ryan Blaney +1600 +475 -125
Denny Hamlin +1600 +475 -125
Kurt Busch +1600 +475 -125
Chase Briscoe +1800 +525 -115
Joey Logano +1800 +525 -115
Tyler Reddick +1800 +525 -115
Alex Bowman +2500 +650 +100
William Byron +2500 +650 +100
Daniel Suarez +2500 +650 +100
Kevin Harvick +4000 +1000 +180
Erik Jones +5000 +1200 +190
Brad Keselowski +8000 +1600 +250
Aric Almirola +10000 +2000 +290

Odds as of June 9th at the Barstool Sportsbook.


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NASCAR drivers will run on the 1.949-mile Sonoma Raceway (Single Chute) when the flag drops for the Sunday afternoon race beginning around 4:00 pm ET.

Chase Elliott is a Favorite at Sonoma BUT…

Elliott is a favorite according to Barstool at +600 for this week’s 110-lap race at Sonoma.

Currently, Elliott stands as a favorite most everyone else and is just +450 at Caesars. Teammate Kyle Larson is listed at +600. Some shorter odds exist on Caesars Sportsbook, as even Martin Truex Jr. is +850 (+1000 at Barstool). Two of the top four Joe Gibbs’ drivers are at +850 or shorter at Caesars too.

Now, what occurs on the road course this Sunday afternoon?

The idea is that Hendrick Motorsports went 1-2 last year here at Sonoma. Just think that Larson was able to dominate most of the race and had plenty of distance on Chase Elliott. At +750, Kyle Larson has very slight value which is not normal.

Toyota/Save Mart 350 Recent Winners

Year Race Winner Pole Position Most Laps Led
2021 Kyle Larson – Hendrick Motorsports Racing Kyle Larson – Hendrick Motorsports Racing Kyle Larson – Hendrick Motorsports Racing
2020 No Race – COVID N/A N/A
2019 Martin Truex Jr. – Joe Gibbs Racing Kyle Larson – Chip Ganassi Racing Martin Truex Jr. – Joe Gibbs Racing
2018 Martin Truex Jr. – Furniture Row Racing Kyle Larson – Chip Ganassi Racing Martin Truex Jr. – Furniture Row Racing
2017 Kevin Harvick – Stewart-Haas Racing Kyle Larson – Chip Ganassi Racing Martin Truex Jr. – Furniture Row Racing

The race is 110 laps in all. This is truly a getaway race as next week, the drivers are off.

Can Martin Truex Jr. Win at Sonoma?

Sports bettors have seen Martin Truex Jr. stay in the top-ten all season. The Joe Gibbs Racing driver still ranks well in the NASCAR Cup Series odds and is tied for third in the race odds. Furthermore, though Larson and Elliott are rightful favorites, Truex Jr. is one to reckon with.

Now, he reunites with Cole Pearn, his crew chief when he won the NASCAR Championship. The rumor is Truex Jr. is considering retirement. Expect a good showing this week.

Toyota/Save Mart 350 Predictions & Picks

This 1.949-mile track will be fun again without the carousel. Expect more speed and an exciting finish.

The weather expects to be warm on Sunday with temperatures rising into the 70s. The last thing to keep an eye on is drivers like Ross Chastain and Denny Hamlin. Their ability to drive fast is well documented but do they remember last week?

Finally, for top-ten picks, there are Ryan Blaney, Kyle Busch, and Kurt Busch as well. There will be a few more picks closer to Sunday’s race after qualifying on Saturday.

The stage format is 25-30-55 for laps.

Here are our best bets:

  • Top Pick: Kyle Larson to Win (+750)
  • Other Contenders: Martin Truex Jr. (+1000), Ross Chastain (+1000), Ryan Blaney (+1000), Alex Bowman (+2500)
  • Longshots: Erik Jones(+6000 plus top-ten alert), Kevin Harvick (+3500 also look at top-ten value)


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