Champions League Picks & Predictions for Tuesday, Feb 18: AC Milan vs Feyenoord, Bayern Munich vs Celtic & More

• The Champions League resumes today with the second leg in four round-of-24 matches
• All four teams are odds-on favorites to both win and advance
• See the UCL picks, score predictions, and best bets for Feb 18, including Bayern Munich vs Celtic

A quarter of Champions League round-of-24 matches are on tap on Tuesday, starting with AC Milan hosting Feyenoord at 12:45 pm ET, followed by a trio of games at 3:00 pm ET. Tuesday’s games will be the second leg of the two-game, aggregate-goals matchups, and all four of the first-leg games ended in one-goal victories, meaning there is everything to play for today. The table below sets out the three-way moneyline odds, odds to advance, plus score predictions and my best bet for all four games on Feb. 18.

Champions League Predictions & Picks (Tuesday, Feb. 18)

German heavyweights Bayern Munich is the biggest favorite of the day at -550 on the three-way moneyline. AC Milan is also a heavy favorite to win, sitting at -265 against Feyenoord. The narrowest odds come from Benfica vs Monaco in Lisbon, where the home side is -115 to win. In the fourth matchup, Italian side Atalanta is a -205 favorite to win against Belgium’s Club Brugge.

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Sascha Paruk’s UCL betting record: 3-2 (+2.4 units). All wagers one unit unless expressly stated otherwise.

AC Milan vs Feyenoord Best Bet – Feyenoord +1.5 (-110) at bet365

Prior to the first leg between these teams, I was adamant that the wrong team was favored. Feyenoord was catching +230 odds to win at home last Wednesday before pulling off a 1-0 victory over the Italians. It’s true that, at least once they fell behind early, Milan controlled the majority of possession and finished the night with more XGF (0.57 vs 0.50).

That’s likely to be even truer with the second leg in Milan but I still don’t think the Dutch team is getting the respect it deserves. Or, perhaps more accurately, Milan is getting too much. I Rossoneri are sitting just sixth in Serie A (11-8-5, +12 GD) and have been far from dominant at the San Siro, going 6-6-1 in 13 domestic games.

Milan went 3-0-1 at home in the UCL group stage, but only one of those victories was by multiple goals. This is a low-scoring team that will be facing a hunkered-down opponent that only needs a draw to advance.

Bayern Munich vs Celtic Prediction – Celtic to score (-123) at BetMGM

I was a little too high on the Scots heading into the first leg, predicting a 2-2 draw and picking Celtic or draw double-chance as my best bet at +195. Bayern’s 2-1 away victory moved their Champions League title odds to +800, fifth-best of the 24 remaining teams.

But my best bet today is still a fade of the Bayern Munich defense. Die Roten are coming off a defensively-impressive 0-0 draw at Bayer Leverkusen on the weekend. They have allowed 12 goals in nine UCL matches this season, though, which includes conceding to massively-overmatched teams Dinamo Zagreb (9-2) and Shakhtar Donetsk (5-1), both games in Germany.

In the Bundesliga, they have been prone to conceding late goals from lesser sides, as well. They allowed two stoppage-time goals to Holstein Kiel on Feb. 1 (4-3 win), and an 88th-minute tally to Wolfsburg on Jan. 18 (2-1 win).

Celtic have scored at least one goal in 12 straight games, all competitions, and finished the group stage with 13 games in eight matches.

Atalanta vs Brugge Best Bet – Atalanta -1.5 (+125)

The other Italian side in action today, Atalanta, has been a force of nature in Serie A. While they only sit third in the table (15-6-4), they have a +28 goal differential through just 25 games, which is second only to Inter (+34). In the UCL group stage, they were the best team that didn’t get a bye to the round of 16, finishing with 15 points (4-3-1) and a massive +14 goal differential in eight games. That was the second-best goal difference among the 36 teams that started the competition, trailing only Barcelona (+15) by a single tally.

Brugge didn’t fair well in its UCL away matches, going 1-2-1 with multi-goal defeats at both Man City (3-1) and AC Milan (3-1) who, as I’ve already mentioned, are not an offensive powerhouse.

Atalanta is, and I love getting them at plus-money to get the multi-goal victory that they need to advance (at least without extra time).