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Colombia vs Jamaica Odds & Prediction – Women’s World Cup Round of 16

Ryan Metivier

by Ryan Metivier in Soccer News

Updated Aug 7, 2023 · 6:01 PM PDT

Colombia forward Catalina Usme (11) celebrates
Aug 9, 2016; Manaus, Brazil; Colombia forward Catalina Usme (11) celebrates with forward Diana Ospina (4) during the first round match against United States in the Rio 2016 Summer Olympic Games at Arena da Amazonia. Mandatory Credit: Erich Schlegel-USA TODAY Sports
  • One of the final two Round of 16 matchups at the Women’s World Cup sees Colombia meeting Jamaica on Tuesday
  • Las Chicas Superpoderosas are +105 favorites to defeat the Reggae Girlz
  • See all of the Colombia vs Jamaica odds and our top predictions for the match here

Two surprises from the Group Stages meet in the Round of 16 with 25th ranked Colombia who topped Group G, meeting 43rd ranked Jamaica who finished second in Group F. Read on for the Women’s World Cup odds and our top Colombia vs Jamaica predictions here.

Colombia vs Jamaica Odds

Matchup Moneyline To Advance
Colombia +105 -200
Jamaica +225 +150
Draw +300 N/A

At +105, Colombia are the favorites, giving them an implied probability of 48.78% to win on Tuesday. The Jamaicans are listed at +225, with only an implied probability of 30.77%. The total of 2.5 is heavily juiced to the Under at -221. As this is the knokcout rounds and extra-time or penaltiea could come into play, the odds for Colombia to advance by ay means are listed at -200. Odds from August 7 at Bet365.

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How to Watch Colombia vs Jamaica

Viewers can watch this Colombia vs Jamaica Women’s World Cup match on Foxsports.com, Telemundo, Peacock, Fox Sports 1, the Fox Sports App and on fuboTV. In Canada, it can be seen on TSN.

Colombia Tops Group G

Colombia were the surprise winners of Group G, going 2-0-1.

They beat South Korea 2-0, beat Germany 2-1 and then lost to Morocco 1-0. In that final game versus Morocco, the Moroccans scored off their missed penalty in the first half stoppage time. While Colombia hit the post in the second half, they were unable to draw level.

They’ve reached the Round of 16 for the second time in their history.

Colombia vs Jamaica Head-to-Head Stats

Colombia
VS
Jamaica
25th FIFA Ranking 43rd
2-0-1 Record 1-2-0
4 / 2 Goals For / Against 1 / 0
2.5 / 3.4 xG / xGA 1.5 / 4.1
37 / 12 Shots / On Target 29 / 6
13 Corners 11
50.33% Average Possession 33.66%

After the Group Stages, Jamaica lost their overall xG battle, 4-1 – 1.5. Colombia did as well, 3.6 – 2.5.

Of the knockout round teams these two actually have some of the lowest xGs of anyone.

Jamaica is 16th at 1.5 and Colombia is 15th at 2.5. Overall Jamaica’s xG was only better than the Argentina, the Philippines and Vietnam in the tournament.

Morocco’s 3.0 is the next lowest after Colombia’s 2.5.

From an xGA perspective, neither is great either with Colombia ranking 15th overall (3.6) and Jamaica 17th (4.1).

Jamaica Advances to First Knockout Round

Jamaica finished second in Group F, one of the surprises of the tournament as the 43rd-ranked nation, coming second behind France.

They drew France 0-0, beat Panama 1-0 and drew Brazil 0-0 in their final game which put the nail in Brazil’s tournament as they needed a win.

This is the first time the Reggae Girlz have advanced out of the group stages. Their only previous World Cup appearance was in 2019.

Colombia vs Jamaica Scoring Props

Four Colombians lead the scoring odds in the Women’s World Cup props.

The most favored player is Colombia’s Catalina Usme at +140. She’s the team captain, all-time scorer for Colombia and has one goal in the tournament.

Next is Ivonne Chacon (+220), Linda Caicedo (+220) who has two goals and Elexa Bahr (+260).

Khadija Shaw at +260 is the first Jamaican listed who is their all-time scorer.

Next up are Colombians Leicy Santos at +300, Mayra Ramirez at +300 and Jamaicans Jody Brown (+375) and Cheyna Matthews (+400).

Colombia vs Jamaica Lineups and Injuries

Here are your projected starting Colombia vs Jamaica lineups based off last game’s starting XI.

Colombia Projected Lineup: Perez; Vanegas, Arias, Carabali, Arias; Montoya, Bedoya Durango; Santos, Usme, Caicedo; Ramirez

Injuries & absences: None

Jamaica Projected Lineup: Spencer; Blackwood, C Swaby, A Swaby, Wiltshire; Sampson; Brown, Spence, Primus, Williams; Shaw

Injuries & absences: None

Colombia vs Jamaica Prediction

Jamaica has a clear identity. They’ll likely park the bus and look to counter. They’ve held minimal possession numbers of 27%, 47% and 27%. To be fair, those 27-percents came versus France and Brazil so would be expected. But even in their win over Panama they were still out-possessed.

Overall they’ve put only six shots on target in three games.

Which is fine. it’s worked. But Colombia should hold possession here. as they average 50.33% and were only out-possessed by Germany, having 58% and 61% in the other games.

But neither France or Brazil could break down the Reggae Girlz defense, and Colombia will be a step down.in offensive talent.

For totals bets, Under 2.5 totals for Jamaica are 3-0. There’s been one goal scored combined in their three games

For Colombia, Under 2.5 is 2-1, and there’s been six goals scored combined in their three games.

This looks like a very tight game where the Under, though heavily juiced at -210, is the play.

To get a better price, you could look to Under 1.5 (+150), both teams to score ‘no’ at -175 or even the draw at a tempting +300 as there looks to be little between these teams. I don’t see many goals here, so for the best value, my Colombia vs Jamaica pick is Under 1.5.

Colombia vs Jamaica Picks: Under 1.5 (+150)

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