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Undefeated in Europa League, Espanyol’s Odds Shorten from 47-1 to 33-1

Espanyol vs Ludogrets
Espanyol odds to win the 2020 UEFA Europa League have dropped to 33/1 after thrashing Ludogorets on Matchday 4. Photo from @RCDCEspanyol (Twitter)
  • Espanyol lead Group H and are now down to +3300
  • Sevilla are third favorites and in good shape to go deep in the competition
  • Read our betting preview and pick to win Europa League

After Europa League Group Stage Matchday 4, Espanyol have a 3-1-0 record and are top of Group H. They now have the shortest outright odds they’ve had all competition as they look to have nearly qualified from the group.

Their odds were +5000 on September 20, +4700 on October 25 and now average +3300.  But are they still a good value bet to win the UEL. If not who is? We’ll take a look.

Europa League 2019/20 Odds

Team Odds
Arsenal +500
Manchester United +550
Sevilla +800
AS Roma +2000
Wolverhampton Wanderers +2000
Porto +2500
Espanyol +3300
Lazio +3300
PSV +3300
Borussia Monchengladbach +4000

Odds taken November 9.

With three English clubs in the top five of the listings, the Europa League odds heavily favor the trophy ending up in the hands of a Premier League club. But never discount the Spanish teams who generally have a great record in this competition.

Spanish Eyes on the Prize

This season, in terms of la Liga, Sevilla lead the way on +800 as third favorites and with good reason. They lead Group A with a 100% record, having scored 12 in their four games and have conceded just twice. Wins over Dudelange (twice), APOEL and Qarabag have already assured their passage through to the knockout stages and they look in great shape to go deep into this tournament.

Espanyol too look very well placed to keep the Spanish flag flying in the knockout phase having dropped just two points so far in Group H; their only blip being an opening day draw in Hungary with Ferencvaros. Since then it’s been wins all the way and they look well equipped for knockout soccer. Unlike Sevilla, however, Espanyol are not enjoying a good domestic campaign and find themselves marooned in La Liga’s relegation zone.

They have struggled for goals domestically – six in their 12 games – but have clearly saved their best for the Europa League where they have netted 10 in four games and have conceded just once. How this will translate to the latter of the stages of the tournament when they will also be battling for La Liga points is tricky to say, but even at +3300, they look, to me, highly unlikely to go all the way in the Europa League.

Another All-English Final?

Arsenal – last season’s runners-up – and Manchester United, a club that sees its natural home as the Champions League, will both see the Europa League as a potential source of silverware, especially as neither will be winning this season’s Premier League. As a result, both Unai Emery and Ole Gunnar Solkjaer will be going all out to win this, and if the fixtures fall right, don’t rule out another all-English final. Even Wolves at +2000 are worthy of consideration.

But, for me, Roma are the ones to watch out for as, overall, they look the best equipped to get amongst the English and Spanish teams. They do, however, have to negotiate a very tricky looking Group J, which has quickly turned into a ‘group of death’.

If, and it remains an if, they can negotiate a route past Besiktas and Borussia Monchengladbach, then I think it could set them up nicely for a serious tilt at the knockout phase. Worth noting is they currently sit third in Serie A, having lost just a single game.

Pick: Roma to win the Europa League (+2000)

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