Finland vs France Odds & Prediction – UEFA World Cup Qualifying Group Stage Matchday 10
- France and Finland matchup in Helsinki on Tuesday, November, 16th
- Finland can secure a World Cup playoff place with a positive result
- Read below for the latest Finland vs France odds, statistics and a pick
The Helsinki Olympic Stadium hosts Finland versus France on Tuesday, November, 16th. While France have secured their spot in next year’s World Cup, there’s still plenty to play for in UEFA’s Group D. Finland are yet to confirm their playoff berth with the unbeaten Ukrainians breathing down their neck.
France hammered Kazakhstan 8-0 last time out to book their place in Qatar. Didier Deschamps’ team have been far from their best in this qualifying campaign, though.
Despite going down to 10 men in the first half, Finland managed to take all three points against Bosnia and Herzegovina to hold onto second spot in the group. Ukraine is just two points behind the Finns going into the final round of fixtures.
Finland vs France Odds
| Matchup | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Finland vs France | FIN +1 (-150) | FRA -1 (-130) | FIN +425 | FRA -145 | DRAW +290 | Ov 2.5 (+105) | Un 2.5 (-125) |
Odds as of Nov 15 at DraftKings
Finland Search for Inspiration
France secured a routine 2-0 win with a brace from Antoine Griezmann when these sides met earlier in the group stage. Unsurprisingly, Les Bleus have won nine of their 10 previous meetings with Finland. History is on the side of the world champions, but Finland recorded a historic win over the French in a friendly in November 2020.
That’s just one of several slip-ups for France over the last 18 months, and the result will give the underdogs hope heading into Tuesday’s match. It was even the first time they had scored against France since 1992.
Kylian Mbappe is only the 12th player in history to receive a 10/10 rating from L’Equipe after his four goals for France 😎🇫🇷 pic.twitter.com/PgpVOC8BBG
— ESPN FC (@ESPNFC) November 14, 2021
Their matchup in July 2021 returned to the usual pattern between the teams. France dominated possession, and kept Finland to just three attempts on goal, none of which were on target. This Finland side is well-drilled defensively and is used to having to play on the break, but they were unable to pose much of a threat when these teams last met.
Potential France Rotation
Deschamps will be keen to finish the group stage strongly. This is their last competitive match before the World Cup, representing an opportunity to build on their recent form. At the same time, though, rotation is inevitable with nothing to play for. N’Golo Kante is unlikely to feature considering his injury issues over the last few months, and it wouldn’t be a surprise to see Theo Hernandez, Karim Benzema or Dayot Upamecano given the night off.
U23 Leaders – Tackles Won & Interceptions, Top 5 Leagues ⚔️:
🇫🇷 Aurélien Tchouaméni – 184
🏴 Aaron Wan-Bissaka – 156
🇫🇷 Mahdi Camara – 145
🇦🇷 Cristian Romero – 140
🇧🇷 Emerson – 137
🇫🇷 Anthony Caci – 136
🏴 Declan Rice – 134Regardless of age, Tchouaméni is 2nd overall. 😯 pic.twitter.com/vqr4HjIVKm
— Football Wonderkids (@fbwonderkids) April 29, 2021
France’s team is still going to be markedly more talented than the Finns. Deschamps has remarkable depth at his disposal with Aurélien Tchouaméni, Kurt Zouma and Matteo Guendouzi all in line to get significant minutes.
Beyond the selection, bettors will be wondering how engaged France will be for this match. They have already failed to win three times in the group, and they were unimpressive at the Euros. If they are anything but fully committed, Finland have a real chance at getting the result they need.
Finland vs France Qualifying Statistics
| LLWW | Form | DDWW |
| 10 | Goals scored | 16 |
| 8 | Goals conceded | 3 |
| 10 yellows, 1 red | Cards | 8 yellows, 1 red |
| 75 | Shots | 110 |
| 25 | Corners | 51 |
France Add Another Win
While their XI may be weaker than usual, bringing in fringe players could also help France’s motivation. Deschamps introducing names like Tchouaméni and Guendouzi means adding players with something to play for from a personal perspective.
Jukka Raitala has been sent off. #WCQ2022 #BIHFIN pic.twitter.com/SC8REhArip
— Football24/7 (@foet247europa) November 13, 2021
Finland are in line to name the same team which beat Bosnia and Herzegovina apart from the suspended Jukka Raitala. They don’t look to have enough firepower to trouble a France defense that has conceded just three goals in the group. It’s tempting to take France to win in a shutout at +155.
Instead, we’ll settle for France on the moneyline. There’s also value on Wissam Ben Yedder to score anytime at +200 – he’s scored 10 times already this season and he could be in line for a start if Benzema and/or Griezmann rest.
Pick: France moneyline (-145)
Sam Cox is a freelance writer and sports junkie, who has spent the past several years immersed in the online gaming industry. He has worked with 888sport, Oddschecker, and Colossus Bets to name a few. Based in the UK, Sam also runs Franchise Sports with his brother.
