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Inter Milan vs AC Milan Odds & Prediction – Coppa Italia Semifinals Leg 2

George Nassios

by George Nassios in Soccer News

Updated Apr 18, 2022 · 5:44 PM PDT

Inter Milan's Ivan Perisic celebrates with Marcelo Brozovic
Inter Milan's Ivan Perisic, right, celebrates with Inter Milan's Marcelo Brozovic after scoring his side's opening goal during the Serie A soccer match between Inter Milan and AC Milan at the San Siro Stadium, in Milan, Italy, Saturday, Feb. 5, 2022. (AP Photo/Antonio Calanni)
  • This season’s fourth edition of the Milan Derby takes place on Tuesday, April 19th
  • Inter Milan and AC Milan tied 0-0 in their Coppa Italia first leg semi-final last month
  • See the Inter Milan vs AC Milan odds, best bets  & predictions for the Coppa Italia second leg

It’s the fourth and last clash in the Derby della Madonnina on Tuesday, April 19th, with a spot in the Coppa Italia final on the line. Kickoff is set for 3:00 pm ET at San Siro. The Nerazzurri are slight favorites in the Inter Milan vs AC Milan odds.

Both sides have been playing excellent soccer of late, with the Rossoneri having not lost a single match in 2022. Inter drew AC Milan 0-0 in the first leg of their semi-final on March 1st. A big task lies ahead for Simone Inzaghi’s squad.

We preview Inter Milan vs AC Milan below and give you our best bet and prediction of this massive encounter in Italy.

Inter Milan vs AC Milan Odds

Team Odds
Inter Milan +106
AC Milan +265
Draw +230

Odds as of April 18th at Barstool Sportsbook.


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Oddsmakers have listed Inter as slight favorites at +106 which gives them an implied win probability of 48.54%. They are the home team for this match and will be at risk of losing on away goals if they concede. The away goals rule still stands in Coppa Italia competition.

If you’re new to betting the Beautiful Game and want to know how to bet on soccer, our page offers help on how to approach the sport generally.

Over/Under and Spread

The total for Tuesday’s matchup is set at 2.5, with the over paying out at +106. Barstool offers the opportunity to move the total around, so over 3.5 pays out at +280. The odds for under 2.5 goals are -130.

AC Milan have clean sheets in their last seven games coming into this match. They have combined with their opponent to score under 2.5 goals in eight consecutive matches.

Inter Milan vs AC Milan Coppa Italia 2nd Leg Prediction

Having failed to win any of the three previous derby encounters this season, one might assume that Inter would be the underdogs, but expect Inzaghi’s side to be on the front foot. With the away goals rule still in effect, the Nerazzurri are well aware of the importance that they strike first as the home side.

Three winless derbies marks Inter’s worst such run against AC Milan since 2005. Expect them to use those results as motivation against the Rossoneri.

Although these two sides have consistently been amongst the best in Italian football for years, it’s been an entire decade since either side have won the competition.

Inter Milan Betting Outlook

Inter’s last loss in any competition was to Sassuolo in Serie A action on February 20th. Since then, they’ve won five of nine matches, outscoring their opponents 14-3 with six clean sheets.

Scoring has come from all over the lineup with 17 different players having found goal in Serie A this season. Lautaro Martinez leads the team with 15 goals this season, and scored the deciding marker in a 3-1 win over Spezia in Inter’s last match.

Marcelo Brozovic has been arguably the best player for Inzaghi’s side this year. An absolute destroyer in the midfield, he opened his Serie A account with an absolute rocket on Friday.

YouTube video

AC Milan Locking Out Opponents

Stefano Pioli’s side have done a marvelous job keeping opposition striker’s at bay. Their run of seven consecutive clean sheets in all competitions actually started in the first leg of this semi-final, a 0-0 draw with Inter.

They have conceded only one goal in their three Coppa Italia matches so far. Incredibly they are top of the table in Serie A, although their top scorer, Rafael Leao, is only tied for 19th in the league in goals.

Although they are two points up on Inter in the league, the Nerazzurri do have a game in hand so they are battling in the Serie A odds with the title still very much up for grabs.

Inter Milan vs AC Milan Statistics


Inter Milan
AC Milan
W-W-W-D-D Recent Form (All Competitions) W-D-D-W-W
3 Coppa Italia Games Played 3
5 Coppa Italia Goals Scored 7
2 Coppa Italia Goals Conceded 1
2-0 (vs AS Roma) Biggest Coppa Italia Win 4-0 (vs Lazio)
Alexis Sanchez (2) Leading Coppa Italia Scorer Olivier Giroud (3)
13 Coppa Italia Finals 14
7 Coppa Italia Wins 5


Not only is Olivier Giroud the top scorer for AC Milan in the Coppa Italia this season, but he has also made the most significant mark in the Milan derby matches this year. The Frenchman bagged a late brace in a 2-1 come from behind win over Inter on February 5th.

Dutch defender, Stefan De Vrij, came in late in the second half against Spezia after dealing with a minor injury, but is a candidate to be drafted back into the starting side in this crucial contest.

Inter Milan vs AC Milan Projected Lineups and Injuries

Inter Milan Projected Lineup: Handanovic; De Vrij, Skriniar, Bastoni; Dumfries, Barella, Brozovic, Calhanoglu, Perisic; Martinez, Dzeko

Inter Milan Injuries: None

AC Milan Projected Lineup: Maignan; Calabria, Kalulu, Tomori, Hernandez; Tonali, Bennacer, Messias, Kessie, Leao; Giroud

AC Milan Injuries: Ibrahimovic, Kjaer, Romagnoli, Florenzi

Inter Milan vs AC Milan Pick

Inter knocked out AC Milan in the quarterfinals of the Coppa Italia last year. Nevertheless, this tournament has not been kind to the Nerazzurri recently as they’ve been eliminated at this stage in each of their last four Coppa Italia semi-final ties. Will that difficult streak continue?

What Inter do have going for them is almost a clean bill of health across the whole squad. While AC Milan has been in spectacular form of late, Inter will be amped up to make sure they get at least one victory over their city rivals this season.

Expect the run of clean sheets to stop here and Inter to advance to their first Coppa Italia final since 2011.

Pick: Inter Milan Moneyline (+106)

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