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Inter Milan vs AC Milan Odds & Prediction – Serie A Round 24

John Dillon

by John Dillon in Soccer News

Feb 4, 2022 · 7:19 AM PST

Inter Milan vs AC Milan
Inter Milan's Edin Dzeko, left, Venezia's Luca Fiordilino, center, and Venezia's Michael Cuisance vie for the ball during a Serie A soccer match between Inter Milan and Venezia at the San Siro stadium in Milan, Italy, Saturday, Jan. 22, 2022. (AP Photo/Luca Bruno)
  • Table-topping Inter hosts third-placed Milan in the Milan Derby at 12:00 pm ET on Saturday
  • Leaders are unbeaten in16 Serie A matches while city rivals have stuttered in last two games
  • See all the odds, best bets and predictions for Inter Milan vs AC Milan in Serie A Round 24

Inter Milan can strike a major blow against rivals AC Milan in the Italian title race when they clash in the nation’s biggest derby on Saturday.

In first place, Inter has 53 points – four ahead of Milan which is third, behind second-placed Napoli on goal difference.

Furthermore, Inter has taken the lead in Serie A on the back of a stunning 16-game unbeaten streak in which it has won 13 times and drawn on three occasions.

Inter  Milan vs AC Milan Odds

Matchup Spread Moneyline Total
Inter Milan vs AC Milan INT -0.75 (+102) | ACM +0.75 (-121) INT -127 | ACM +375 | DRAW +275 Ov 2.5 (-148) | Un 2.5 (+126)

Odds as of February 4 at Barstool

Meanwhile, Milan has stuttered and has not won in its last two league matches.

The meeting of the two major clubs from Italy’s leading football city is known as the “Derby Della Madonnina.” Altogether, this is the 230th staging of the fixture.

Inter Extends Stretch On Top

Milan briefly led the table earlier in the season last December. However, Inter took command midway through the same month and has since remained on top of the table in top of the Serie A odds.

At Barstool Sportsbook, the oddsmakers, therefore, rate Inter as the favorite for a home win at the San Siro Stadium at -127.

Milan, meanwhile, is rated at +350 with the draw attractively priced at +375. The game kicks off at 12 noon ET.

These games are nearly always tight. So the prop offer of +750 for predicting a correct score of 1-0 to Inter certainly looks the most promising here.


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Previously, there was a 1-1 draw the last time these teams met in Milan’s “home” derby – with the stadium shared by the two clubs.

Inter firstly took the lead through an 11th-minute penalty from Hakan Calhanoglu.

Inter has lost just once in the last 11 meetings.

But Milan further drew level within six minutes thanks to an own goal from Inter center-back Stefan De Vrij.

Inter, however, certainly has the upper hand in this rivalry in recent times. It has lost just once in the last 11 meetings.

Indeed, it had won four straight times against Milan before last Autumn’s draw.

Simone Inzaghi is doing a superb job as Inter coach and it has lost only once in the league this season – with 16 wins and five draws.

It is, furthermore, unbeaten at home. Markedly, its unbeaten run at home stretching back into last season now stands at 28 matches – with 25 wins on its turf.

So the side certainly looks in good shape as it attempts to win back-to-back titles for the first time since 2009-10.

Inter Milan vs AC Milan Statistics

Inter Milan
AC Milan
16 Wins 15
5 Draws 4
1 Losses 4
53 Goals 43
17 Goals Against 25
40 Yellow Cards 42
0 Red Cards 2
10 Clean Sheets 8

Last time out before the World Cup international break there was a 2-1 winner at home against Venezia with goals from Nicola Barella and Edin Dzeko.

That 90th-minute winner from Dezeko displayed the team’s willingness to battle right until the end.

Milan Draw With Juventus

Meanwhile, Milan drew 0-0 with Juventus in its most recent Serie A date.

That followed a disappointing 2-1 defeat home by small mid-table outfit Spezia – which ended a run of three straight wins.

Altogether, Milan has won 15 times with four draws and four defeats.

Although this is an away game being played on its own soil, Milan’s record on the road this season is, comparatively, an impressive one.

It has lost just once while recording eight wins and two draws.

There have, furthermore, been three defeats at home – which represents an oddity as it plays this away match on its own patch.

You can either treat that as a twist of irony or a suggestion that the mentality of being the visiting side suits Milan better.

If they can channel that idea this time, around, they could claim at least a point.

There have been complaints this season from both teams about the condition of the San Siro pitch.

Coach Inzaghi has added a touch of daring to Inter’s style since he replaced Antonio Conte

Some of it has been re-laid recently. However, some sections have simply been painted green to cover up muddy patches.

Coach Inzaghi has added a touch of daring to Inter’s style since he replaced Antonio Conte. So they are Serie A’s leading scorers with 53 goals.

However, he has also now added more defensive steel.

Indeed, the team has recorded seven clean sheets in its last nine league games – with only two goals conceded during that spell.

Milan, meanwhile, is softer at the back and has conceded 25 times while hitting 43 goals.

In conclusion, Inter’s stunning run of form means it should claim a narrow win against its great rivals.

Pick: Inter Milan to win 1-0 (+750)

Barstool Sportsbook

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