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Manchester City vs Sevilla Odds – UEFA Super Cup Prediction

Ryan Metivier

by Ryan Metivier in Soccer News

Updated Aug 15, 2023 · 12:01 PM PDT

Pep Guardiola speaks to the media
Manchester City manager Pep Guardiola speaks to the media in preparation for Saturday's exhibition game, on Friday, July 22, 2022 at Lambeau Field in Green Bay, Wis. Samantha Madar/USA TODAY NETWORK-Wisconsin Gpg Bayern And Manchester Practice 7222022 0011
  • English giants Man City meet La Liga’s Sevilla in the UEFA Super Cup on August 16
  • Treble-winning Man City, who won last year’s Champions League enter as -270 favorites
  • Read on for UEFA Super Cup prediction and the Manchester City vs Sevilla odds

The UEFA Super Cup kicks off the start of the UEFA club competition season. It pits the winners of the previous season’s Champions League, versus the winners of the previous season’s Europa League. This year the matchup sees Man City (UCL winners) taking on Sevilla (UEL) winners at 3:00 pm EST on Wednesday, August 16, 2023. Read on for the UEFA Super Cup odds and our Manchester City vs Sevilla prediction.

Manchester City vs Sevilla Odds

Matchup Moneyline
Manchester City -270
Sevilla +725
Draw +400

Man City are heavy favorites in the UEFA Super Cup odds at -270, with an implied probability of 72.97% to win. Sevilla comes back at odds of +725. Over 2.5 goals is priced at -160 and the Under is +110. Odds at BetMGM August 15.

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How to Watch Man City vs Sevilla

The 2023 UEFA Super Cup can be seen at 3:00 pm EST August 16 on Paramount+, CBS Sports Network and Univision in the United States, plus DAZN in Canada.

Where Is the 2023 UEFA Cup Final

This year’s UEFA Super Cup will be played in Greece at Georgios Karaiskakis Football Stadium.

Man City Playing In First Super Cup

Pep Guardiola’s Man City reached this game by virtue of their Champions League title last season which saw them defeat Inter Milan 1-0.

But Man City were dominant on all fronts last season winning the Premier League as well as the FA Cup. Erling Haaland also broke the EPL’s record for goals in a season.

This offseason City lost a key contributor in Ilkay Gundogan who departed for Barcelona, but they did bring in Mateo Kovacic and Josko Gvardiol.

The Citizens got the season rolling in much the same fashion as they ended last season. City took the lead over the newly promoted Burnley on Friday just four minutes into the game and were up 2-0 at half, with both goals coming from Haaland. They added to their lead in the 75′ with a Rodri goal, before Burnley pulled on back late in stoppage time in the 94′ minute. That was Burnley’s only shot on target during the game.

Prior to their EPL kick-off, Man City were was also involved in the Community Sheild, where they drew Arsenal 1-1 before going on to lose in penalties.

Sevilla Veterans of Super Cup Competition

Sevilla are the Europa League kings. Despite a poor season domestically and crashing out of the Champions League tournament, they went on to win their tournament-best seventh UEL title. All seven times they’ve played in the Europa League final, they’ve won. Last season they drew AS Roma 1-1 before going on to win in penalties.

Sevilla got their 2023/24 campaign started last Friday as well, hosting Valencia in one of the first games of the Spanish season. Valencia scored first one hour into the match and despite Sevilla drawing level soon after, Javi Guerra put Valencia ahead for good in the 88′ minute for the 2-1 win. Sevilla’s Loic Bade took a red card in the 81′ minute which didn’t help. He will though be availale for the Super Cup.

UEFA Super Cup History

This is the first time Man City will be playing in this competition, having just won their first Champions League title, and having never won the Europa League.

For Sevilla, they are veterans of this cup competition, having won once (2006), but participating five other times (2007, 2014, 2015, 2016, 2020).

You would think that the edge in this sort of competition would typically slant towards the Champions League-winning side, however, that has not been the case in recent years, generally, at least.

Last year the UCL winners Real Madrid did defeat UEL winners Eintracht Frankfurt 2-0. However, the Europa League entry had won in eight of the previous nine years. Atletico Madrid in 2018, the 2017-18 UCL winners are the only other UCL winners outside of Real Madrid in the past ten years.

Both Spain and England have been well-represented in this match. 13 of the 20 teams playing in the game in the past ten years have come from La Liga. Five of the remaining seven have come from the EPL.

Bets on the draw have also been cashing like crazy in this matchup. Six of the past eight have gone to extra-time as well as seven of the past ten.

Man City vs Sevilla Head-to-Head Stats

Man City
28-5-5 Record 13-10-15
1st (EPL) Placing 12th (La Liga)
94 Goals For 47
33 Goals Against 54
89 Points 49
2.34 Points Per Game 1.29

*Stats from domestic leagues last season in the EPL and La Liga

Manchester City vs Sevilla Lineups and Injuries

Here are your projected Man City vs Sevilla lineups based off their Matchday 1 lineups last weekend. Kevin De Bruyne re-aggravated his hamstring injury from the Champions League Final versus Burnley and will be out for some time.

Man City Projected Lineup: Ederson; Lewis, Ake, Akanji, Walker; Rodri, Kovacic; Foden, Alvarez, Silva; Haaland

Injuries & absences: De Bruyne, Dias, Silva

Sevilla Projected Lineup: Bono; Acuna, Gudelj, Bade, Navas; Rakitic, Fernando; Lamela, Suso, Ocampos; En-Nesyri

Injuries & absences: Nianzou, Marcao

Manchester City vs Sevilla Prediction

If you look at the stats earlier and see Sevilla as the 12th place team in La Liga last season, this looks like a huge mismatch. However, they started the season off in horrendous form and were actually in threat of relegation for part of the season. But the things turned around when Jose Luis Mendilibar was named as the new manager and Sevilla salvaged their season. They’re a better team than that 12th place position.

Still, Sevilla haven’t had much luck in this competition having lost their past five Super Cups. They also enter the season with some injuries and players not yet registered so aren’t at full strength. Their record versus Pep’s City is also poor reading at 0-0-4, including two losses during the Champions League Group Stage last year, 4-0 and 3-1.

Man City already missed a chance to claim some early silverware in the Community Shield. Pep will be eager to claim City’s first Super Cup win and we just saw that Haaland is already in top form with two goals last Friday.

For our UEFA Super Cup prediction we’ll go with a City win and Haaland to score in a same-game parlay we created over at Bet365. Want a great UEFA Super Cup bonus. Head over to Bet365 and use this Bet365 bonus code to claim your promo today!

Man City vs Sevilla Picks: Man City to win & Erling Haaland to score (-110) at Bet365

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