Napoli vs Juventus Odds & Prediction – Serie A Week 18

• It’s Napoli vs Juventus in Serie A  Week 18 on Friday, January 13
• League leaders Napoli have a seven-point lead over second-placed Juve
• Find our Napoli vs Juventus analysis below, where we look at the odds and offer some picks

It’s Napoli vs Juventus on Friday, January 13 in round 18 of Serie A. It’s a 2:45 pm ET kick-off at the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona. Napoli is favored in the odds.

First plays second in Serie A’s game of the week, with Napoli still enjoying a seven-point lead at the top despite losing their first game of the season to Inter Milan on Matchday 16. Second-placed Juve is the league’s in-form team and comes into this off the back of an eight-game winning run.

We preview Napoli vs Juventus, look at the Serie A odds, and offer some analysis, team news, and picks below.

Napoli vs Juventus Odds

Odds as of Jan 12 at Caesars Sportsbook. Use this Caesars Sportsbook promo code to bet on this or other games.

It’s unusual to see Juve as 3/1 outsiders but this is where they are right now, listed at +305 in the Napoli vs Juventus odds with an implied probability of 25%. League-leaders Napoli are odds-on favorites at -110 with an implied probability of 52%. The draw, at +245 has an implied probability of 29%.

Napoli vs Juventus Over/Under and Spread

Oddsmakers are expecting this to be tight and probably low-scoring with over 2.5 goals at evens and the under pitched at -130.

Napoli vs Juventus Preview

Napoli returned to winning ways last weekend with a solid 2-0 away win over Sampdoria, but four days earlier saw their unbeaten record end at the San Siro when Inter beat them 1-0. It was not the return they wanted after a prolonged World Cup/winter break.

The win over Sampdoria, however, plus the fact that AC Milan, Inter, and Lazio all dropped points, increased their lead at the top of Serie A to seven points and dispelled any doubts about their title credentials.

🔜 Running towards our next challenge!

💙 #ForzaNapoliSempre pic.twitter.com/X0Y07m4XoL

— Official SSC Napoli (@en_sscnapoli) January 10, 2023

A Test of Nerve for Napoli

So far it has been a phenomenal season for the Neapolitans, who appear on course for their first title since 1990. The goals have flowed freely as reflected in their outstanding record of scoring 59 goals in their 23 so far in this campaign. As well as leading Serie A, they also have a round-of-16 Champions League tie with Eintracht Frankfurt in February.

The next few weeks will be a test of Luciano Spalletti’s team’s nerve as well as skill, as they have been in a similar position to this twice in recent seasons but have been unable to see the job through.

Napoli vs Juventus Head-to-Head Stats

Juve Win Eight on the Spin

After a miserable start to the season for Juve, during which the fans turned on their team, they have turned things around spectacularly by winning eight games on the bounce. Even more remarkable is that during those games they have not conceded a single goal.

This outstanding run has seen the Old Lady return to its values of old, with a watertight defense being the backbone of the team. This has been typified in their two games since the restart, both of which have been scrappy 1-0 wins that were borne of their ability to win ugly.

As clean as you like from @2DaniLuiz 🚀#GoalOfTheDay pic.twitter.com/8ssH8DaJbw

— JuventusFC 🇬🇧🇺🇸 (@juventusfcen) January 10, 2023

The Old Lady With the Meanest Defense in Serie A

With Federico Chiesa finally returning to the side after a long-term injury in their midweek win over Cremonese, the good news keeps on coming, with Juve head coach Max Allegri also likely to have Paul Pogba, Mattia De Sciglio, Dusan Vlahovic, Leonardo Bonucci, and Juan Cuadrado available again in the next couple of weeks.

With 12 clean sheets from their 17 games so far and just seven goals conceded, the signs are good for Juve as only once in the last 15 seasons has the side with the best defensive record in Serie A not gone on to win it.

Napoli vs Juventus Team Lineups and Injuries

Napoli Projected Lineup: Meret, Di Lorenzo, Kim Min-Jae, Rrahmani, Olivera, Zambo Anguissa, Lobotka, Zielinski, Politano, Osimhen, Kvaratskhelia.

Injuries & absences: None.

Juventus Projected Lineup: Szczesny, Danilo, Rugani, Gatti, McKennie, Rabiot, Locatelli, Miretti, Kostic, Di Maria, Milik

Injuries & absences: Vlahovic, Pogba, Bonucci, Cuadrado, De Sciglio, Bremer.

Napoli vs Juventus Prediction

While it’s understandable that Napoli starts as odds-on favorites, this Juve team is on a roll. They have left their off-field problems behind and with some big names returning from injury, their winning run shows no sign of ending anytime soon.

With Napoli soon likely to start feeling the pressure that comes with a title run-in, for me, the value here is with the Juve win.

Picks: Juventus to win (+305)