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Newcastle vs Liverpool Prediction, Odds, Lineups – Premier League Picks (Feb 18)

Gary Gowers

by Gary Gowers in Soccer News

Updated Feb 17, 2023 · 12:19 PM PST

Leicester vs Liverpool
Liverpool's Mohamed Salah celebrates with teammates after scoring his side's second goal during the English Premier League soccer match between Liverpool and Newcastle United at Anfield stadium in Liverpool, England, Thursday, Dec. 16, 2021. (AP Photo/Jon Super)
  • It’s Newcastle vs Liverpool in the English Premier League on Saturday, February 18
  • The Toon are in fourth while the Reds come into this off the back of victory in the Merseyside Derby
  • Find our Newcastle vs Liverpool prediction below, where we look at the odds and offer some picks

It’s Newcastle vs Liverpool at St James’ Park on Saturday, February 18 in the EPL, with kickoff at 12:30pm ET, with the Toon slightly favored in the Newcastle vs Liverpool odds.

Newcastle’s season has been outstanding but a recent run of draws has seen them slip to fourth. For Liverpool, after a very poor run – especially away from home – their win over Everton on Monday came as a massive boost.

We preview our Newcastle vs Liverpool picks, look at the odds, and offer some analysis, team news, and predictions below.

Newcastle vs Liverpool Odds

Matchup Moneyline
Newcastle +160
Liverpool +170
Draw +250

Odds as of Feb 17 at DraftKings Sportsbook. Use this DraftKings Sportsbook promo code to bet on this or other games.

The bookmakers have the Toon as plus money favorites but with just ten cents separating the two in the Newcastle vs Liverpool odds. Newcastle are listed at +160 for the win, with a probability of 38.5%, while the Reds are listed at +170 with a win probability of 37%.  The draw, at +250 offers the best odds and is implied at 28.6%.

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Newcastle vs Liverpool Over/Under and Spread

The bookies are expecting goals in this one, and there have been some Newcastle/Liverpool classics over the years, with under 2.5  goals on offer in plus money at +105, while the over is on offer at a less-attractive -130.

Newcastle vs Liverpool Preview

It took half a season to have an effect, but the Saudi takeover of Newcastle is now in full swing and the multi-millions already spent have produced a team that’s now in the hunt in the Premier League odds for a top-four finish and a place in next season’s Champions League.  In addition to currently being fourth in the Premier League, Eddie Howe’s men also have upcoming an EPL Cup Final against Manchester United on February 26.

Ironically, some of the heroes of this Newcastle team are players who were there before the revolution, like Joelinton and Miguel Almirón, but another big spending spree no doubt awaits in the summer that will continue the club’s meteoric but unsurprising rise.

The Toon Are Flying but Two Without a Win

In the here and now, despite losing just a single EPL game all season, the Toon have gone two games without a win – drawing at home against West Ham and away at Bournemouth – and are in need of a win to regain some momentum. As a result, a noisy and passionate St James’ Park awaits Jurgen Klopp’s men.

With their EFL Cup final just one week away, this will be a chance for Howe’s players to earn themselves a place in the Wembley showpiece, so we can expect a high-tempo, high-energy performance from the Toon as we analyze our Newcastle vs Liverpool prediction.

Massive Merseyside Derby Win for Liverpool

Liverpool’s season has been riddled with inconsistency and prior to Monday night’s win over Everton, they had been on a horrible run, which included away defeats at Brighton, Wolves, and Brentford. They have now dropped to 9th in the table and are currently nine points adrift of the Champions League places.

But the 3-0 win in the Merseyside Derby has lifted spirits at Anfield, not only because of the emphatic scoreline but also because of the performance level. Jurgen Klopp described it as a return to the type of football that has brought them so much success over recent years and will demand the same at St James’ Park.

Reds Back in the Game?

In addition to them being buoyed by the win over Everton, Liverpool also welcomed Diogo Jota, Virgil van Dijk, and Roberto Firmino back into their matchday squad on Monday – a massive fillip for them ahead of the run-in.

But this remains a huge game for Klopp’s men as it could determine their direction of travel for the remainder of the campaign. Another win and the fight is on for fourth spot but defeat will make it a very difficult road to Champions League soccer next season.

Newcastle vs Liverpool Team Lineups and Injuries

Newcastle Projected Lineup: Pope, Trippier, Schar, Botman, Burn, Almiron, Longstaff, Joelinton, Saint-Maximin, Wilson, Gordon.

Injuries & absences: Willock, Guimaraes, Maquillo, Krafth, Targett.

Liverpool Projected Lineup: Alisson, Alexander-Arnold, Gomez, Van Dijk, Robertson, Bajcetic, Fabinho, Henderson, Salah, Nunez, Gakpo.

Injuries & absences: Konate, Luiz Diaz, Alcantara.

Newcastle vs Liverpool Head-to-Head Stats

NEWCASTLE
VS
LIVERPOOL
10-11-1 (4th) EPL record 9-5-7 (9th)
35 / 13 Goals for / against 36 / 28
14.2 Shots per game 16.7
78.8 Passing accuracy (%) 83.3
52.1 Possession (%) 59.3
WDWWDD Form guide (all comps) LWDLLW

Stats from WhoScored.com

Newcastle vs Liverpool Prediction

St James’ Park has been a fortress this season with the Toon looking unbeatable on their own turf – even against the elite teams – but among those games have been a few too many draws. With Klopp not wanting the Reds to lose momentum after Monday’s win, the value here is definitely with the draw.

Newcastle vs Liverpool Pick: Newcastle and Liverpool to draw (+250) 

 

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