Andreeva vs Chwalinska Picks, Predictions & Odds for French Open Final

• Eighth-seeded Mirra Andreeva will take on qualifier Maja Chwalinska in the Women’s French Open Final 
• Andreeva is the trying to become the first Russian since Maria Sharapova to win at Roland Garros
• See my Andreeva vs Chwalinska picks and prediction, plus the latest odds, below

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The ultimate Cinderella story hits the clay at Court Philippe Chatrier as qualifier Maja Chwalinska squares off against 8th-seeded Mirra Andreeva in the French Open Women’s Singles Final.

While Andreeva’s pedigree and devastating tournament form make her the clear chalk to lift the trophy, Chwalinska’s remarkable run—including wins over four seeded opponents—presents a fascinating narrative for bettors digging for value.

At the start of the tournament, her French Open championship odds were at +35000, with a 0.3% chance of winning. They are now at +350 with one match to go.

This highly anticipated championship clash gets underway Saturday, June 6, 2026, at 9am ET.

Shnaider vs Chwalinska goes Thursday morning at 10:30am ET from Court Philippe Chatrier, with truTV and TNT providing the broadcast coverage.

Andreeva vs Chwalinska Picks & Prediction

• Andreeva -5.5 Games (+100 at best365)

Andreeva has amassed a sturdy 4,181 total WTA ranking points, completely dwarfing Chwalinska’s 693. This massive gulf in overall production indicates that the World No. 8 possesses the firepower to completely dictate the geometry of the court from the opening serve.

Andreeva has covered -5.5 games in all five of her matches in Paris, with game margins of +7, +6, +7, +9, and +8.

Her quarterfinal demolition of 18th-seeded Sorana Cîrstea (6-0, 6-3) saw her convert all six break points, while her semifinal rout of 15th-seeded Marta Kostyuk (6-1, 6-3) featured five breaks of serve and a 68-49 points-won advantage.

Andreeva’s first-serve win percentage has been elite throughout—74%, 75%, 62%, 74%, and 66%—and her second-serve win rate of 73% against Kostyuk in the semis was particularly dominant.

Tournament Path Comparison

Chwalinska, meanwhile, has shown tremendous heart but her margins have tightened as the competition level has risen.

After a comfortable 6-4, 6-0 win over Elise Mertens and a 6-3, 6-2 dispatch of Diane Parry, her last three matches produced margins of just +2 (vs Maria Sakkari, three sets), +4 (vs Anna Kalinskaya, tiebreak), and +3 (vs Diana Shnaider, tiebreak).

She needed tiebreaks to win the opening set in both her quarterfinal and semifinal. While her 7-of-8 break point conversion against Kalinskaya was spectacular, that kind of clutch efficiency is extremely difficult to replicate against an opponent of Andreeva’s caliber who has dropped just 26 games in five matches.

Without any historical head-to-head encounters to suggest Chwalinska has a specific stylistic counter, I expect Andreeva’s heavy topspin and pace to overwhelm the underdog.

Chwalinska will likely struggle to maintain depth on her groundstrokes, leading to short balls and easy put-aways for the favorite. I project Andreeva will secure the necessary breaks of serve early, keeping her foot on the gas to cover the spread by a comfortable margin.

Andreeva vs Chwalinska Odds

Odds as of June 5. Get a bet365 bonus code to wager on all tennis matches.