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Ons Jabeur vs Aryna Sabalenka Odds & Prediction – Wimbledon Semifinals

Robert Duff

by Robert Duff in Tennis

Updated Jul 12, 2023 · 8:22 PM PDT

Aryna Sabalenka will become the WTA's top player if she beats Ons Jabeur in the Wimbledon SF
Jul 12, 2023; London, United Kingdom; Aryna Sabalenka celebrates winning her match against Madison Keys (USA) on day ten of Wimbledon at the All England Lawn Tennis and Croquet Club. Mandatory Credit: Susan Mullane-USA TODAY Sports
  • Aryna Sabalenka is a -155 favorite over Ons Jabeur in their Wimbledon women’s singles semifinal on Thursday, July 13
  • Jabeur was a Wimbledon finalist last year
  • Sabalenka is the only woman to reach the semifinals of each of the past four Grand Slam tournaments

As she faces Ons Jabeur in the semifinals, Aryna Sabalenka is looking like the one to beat for the Wimbledon women’s singles title. This is her fourth straight appearance in a Grand Slam final four. She’s the favorite to win the tournament and a favorite in the Jabeur vs Sabalenka odds

Jabeur, though, won’t be easily overcome. She was a Wimbledon finalist last year.

If Sabalenka defeats Jabeur, she’ll overtake Iga Swiatek as the #1-ranked player in the WTA. Oddsmakers are anticipating both of these outcomes. It’s Sabalenka who’s set as the -155 favorite in this match.

Ons Jabeur vs Aryna Sabalenka Odds

Player Spread Moneyline Total
Ons Jabeur (TUN) +1.5 (-105) +122 O 22.5 (-105)
Aryna Sabalenka (BEL) -1.5 (-125) -155 U 22.5 (-125)

At +122, Jabeur is given an underdog betting line in the Wimbledon odds. The spread is -1.5 in favor of Sabalenka. The over/under on the match total is set at 22.5 games. This match is slated for 10:30 am ET on Thursday, July 13.

Odds as of July 12 at Caesars Sportsbook. Be sure to claim this Caesars Sportsbook promo to make your Sabalenka vs Jabeur picks for Wimbledon.


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Sabalenka is the +135 favorite in the Wimbledon odds. You’ll get a +200 betting line on Jabeur to win it all.

Sabalenka Has Keys to Victory

American Madison Keys came into the Wimbledon quarterfinals with a 9-0 record on grass this season, but it mattered little to her Belarussian opponent. World #2 Sabalenka whipped the 25th-seeded Keys in straight sets 6-2, 6-4.

Sabalenka, the reigning Australian Open champion, is 17-1 in majors this year, equaling a mark set in 2015 by Serena Williams. The match with Keys was about two players with power games. The average rally per set was just 2.78 shots. There were 62 rallies the ended in less than four shots.

Sabalenka hit 17 winners while committing only 14 unforced errors.  The Belarussian won the last four games to take the match. In the fourth round against Ekaterina Alexandrova, Sabalenka won the final eight games of the match.

Sabalenka and Swiatek are the only WTA players with 40 victories on court this year.

Jabeur Wins Rematch With Rybakina

In a rematch of last year’s Wimbledon women’s singles final, this time the outcome went Jabeur’s way. As is usually the case when Jabeur and Elena Rybakina clash on court, it took three sets to determine the outcome. Despite squandering set point in the first set, the Tunisian rallied to win 6-7(5-7), 6-4, 6-1.

It was the first rematch of a previous year’s final at Wimbledon since Serena and Venus Williams faced each other in successive finals in 2008-09.

Jabeur vs Sabalenka Match History

Year Tournament Surface Score Winner
2022 WTA Finals (R1) Indoor Har 3-6, 7-6(7-5), 7-5 Sabalenka
2021 WTA Wimbledon (QF) Outdoor Grass 6-4, 6-3 Sabalenka
2021 WTA Abu Dhabi (R16) Outdoor Hard 6-2, 6-4 Sabalenka
2020 WTA Roland Garros (R32) Outdoor Clay 7-6(7-5), 2-6, 6-3 Jabeur

Jabeur is on a history-making mission. Already, she’s been the first Arab woman to reach the final of a Grand Slam event. She’s still looking to become the first from an Arab nation to earn a Grand Slam title. Last year, Jabeur also reached the final of the US Open.

Jabeur vs Sabalenka Head-to-Head

Ons Jabeur
Aryna Sabalenka
28 (Aug. 27, 1994) Age 25 (May 4, 1998)
Ksar El Hellar, Tunisia Birthplace Minsk, Belarus
5-6 Height 5-11
4 Career WTA Singles Titles 13
2 (June, 26, 2022) Career-Best Ranking 2 (Aug. 22, 2021)
6 Current Ranking 2
$10,022,628 Career Earnings $17,115,459
21-9 2023 Won/Loss Record 40-7
1 WTA Main Draw Head-to-Head Wins 3

Sabalenka has beaten Jabeur three times in four meetings. That includes a straight-set triumph in the 2021 Wimbledon quarterfinals. Jabeur’s only win between the two came on the clay courts at the 2020 French Open. In the Wimbledon semifinal for the second successive year, world #6 Jabeur is 33-12 in her career on grass and 6-2 in 2023.

Jabeur vs Sabalenka Prediction

Sabalenka is 33-17 on grass since 2017, including a 6-1 mark this year. Jabeur was especially sharp against Rybakina, smacking 42 winners.

Jabeur has enough variety in her repertoire to throw the hard-hitting Sabalenka off her game. But the Belarussian has been remarkably solid when playing on fast surfaces. She’ll figure out Jabeur in time to ultimately take the match in three sets.

Jabeur vs Sabalenka Picks:

  • Sabalenka to win (-155)
  • Sabalenka 2-1 (+310)

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