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Serena Williams Enters Quarterfinals as +140 Favorite to Win Wimbledon Women’s Singles

David Golokhov

by David Golokhov in Tennis

Updated Apr 11, 2020 · 5:47 PM PDT

Wimbledon Betting
Is Serena Williams the best bet to win it all out of the remaining players at Wimbledon? By Kat Shann (Flickr) [CC License]
  • Serena Williams is just one of four players seeded in the Top 32 to make it to the quarterfinals
  • Williams is the only player remaining who has even played in a Wimbledon final, let alone won it
  • Williams is 1-1 against Johanna Konta, 4-1 against Elina Svitolina and 9-2 against Simona Halep

The women’s side of Wimbledon continues to be tough sledding for the top seeds as No. 1 Ashleigh Barty and No. 3 Karolina Pliskova lost on Monday. Now Serena Williams is favored to win the grand slam as her average Wimbledon odds sit at +140 (a drop from +550 prior to the round of 16). Is she a good bet to win it all?

2019 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Odds

Player 2019 Wimbledon Odds
Serena Williams +145
Simona Halep +250
Johanna Konta +450
Elina Svitolina +900
Alison Riske +1200
Barbora Strycova +2500
Karolina Muchova +2500
Shuai Zhang +3300

*Odds taken 07/08/19

Few Seeded Players Remain

You’d think that there would be some value to being a seeded player at Wimbledon. Apparently, it’s the kiss of death as only a few seeds remain. Of the 32 seeds in the tournament, only four remain: No. 7 Simona Halep, No. 8 Elina Svitolina, No. 11 Serena Williams and No. 19 Johanna Konta.

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Each of the four seeds has what should be an easy matchup in the quarters as each will play an unseeded player.

None are ranked higher than Barbora Strycova, who is the No. 67 player in the world, while the other three players are not even inside the top 100.

Serena Williams Has Looked Strong

Williams has clearly taken a step back from competition this season as this is just her seventh tournament. She was just 9-3 in singles play before Wimbledon. However, she’s looked quite crisp as she’s only lost one set along the way. She’s mostly smoked the competition too, losing an average of 7.5 games per match.

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The good news is that nobody left in the field has won Wimbledon before. Halep and Konta have only ever made it as far as the semis while Svitolina has never been past the fourth round. That should give Williams an edge.

Williams Mostly Owns the Competition

Williams has only faced Konta twice, going 1-1 against her, but she has looked strong against the other two likely opponents. Williams has owned Halep in their meetings, winning nine of the 11 matchups. As for Svitolina, she’s 4-1 against her, although they’ve never met on grass.

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How’s the Rest of the Big Three Looked?

Halep has had a relatively easy time of things as she’s dropped just one set to date. However, she’s mostly played nobody – even if she was the one that ended 15-year-old Coco Gauff’s run. Svitolina just beat No. 24 Petra Martic but needed three sets against Maria Sakkari and advanced past Margarita Gasparyan due to a retirement.

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Meanwhile Konta has mostly played similar to the other two players: she won two matches in straight sets but dropped the first set in each of her last two matches. She’s played tough competition, though, knocking off No. 9 Sloane Stephens and No. 6 Petra Kvitova in her latest two wins.

What’s the Best Bet?

This is a tricky spot but I feel like Williams is worth a look. I don’t like the price tag as I feel she’s no better than a coin flip to win Wimbledon and women’s tennis is highly unpredictable. At the same time, Williams has more experience than anyone left and she has mostly good head-to-head records.

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Her toughest match should be against Konta, who will have the home crowd behind her. If she can beat Konta, I like her chances to win the tournament outright.

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