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2026-27 NFL MVP Odds Tracker – Josh Allen & Lamar Jackson Open as Favorites

Matt McEwan

By Matt McEwan

Updated:


  • NFL MVP odds for the 2026-27 NFL season are available at select sports betting apps
  • Josh Allen is the early favorite to win NFL MVP
  • Track the NFL MVP odds movement over the course of the season for all contenders

Since 1957, the Associated Press has been presenting a Most Valuable Player award to the NFL’s most deserving candidate – also read as the best quarterback in the league based on the way the voters treat it. The odds to win the 2026-27 NFL MVP are surprisingly quite available as we enter the offseason and lead up to the 2026-27 NFL season.

While I do not foresee a ton of immediate movement coming in the current NFL MVP odds – probably won’t see much until free agency nears – you can check out the latest NFL MVP odds available at our most trusted sportsbooks below, with the best odds available in your region surfaced up; the graphs further down the page show each player’s consensus odds to win NFL MVP. The early odds provide great opportunity for those with good foresight, and an understanding of how the media typically votes for the award, to pick off some valuable lines.

NFL MVP Odds

PlayerNFL MVP Odds
Josh Allen+550
Lamar Jackson+650
Patrick Mahomes+1000
Justin Herbert+1000
Joe Burrow+1000
Drake Maye+1000
Dak Prescott+1300
Matthew Stafford+1400
Jordan Love+1500
Caleb Williams+1500
Brock Purdy+1800
Jayden Daniels+2000
Trevor Lawrence+2000
Jalen Hurts+2200
Sam Darnold+2800
Baker Mayfield+2800
Jared Goff+3500
Bo Nix+3500
Jaxson Dart+4500
CJ Stroud+4500

Josh Allen is currently the favorite to win NFL MVP this season with as short as +550 odds. All sportsbooks list Allen as the favorite, and the longest odds you can find at the moment are +600 at FanDuel. Allen’s +600 odds means he has a 14.3% chance to win the award. A $20 bet on Allen at his current price would stand to profit $120 and return $140.

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The Bills QB has opened as the favorite after a pretty up-and-down season last year. Allen was incredible at times but certainly struggled through some turnover-filled games, namely against the Falcons, Dolphins, and Texans. Buffalo just fired Sean McDermott after their season ended, and have named Joe Brady, who served as their OC last year, as their new head coach. Sportsbooks must believe Brady is going to bring a more offensive-first approach to the team, and ensure Allen’s heroics aren’t wasted any longer.

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Lamar Jackson opening with the second-best odds is a little surprising, as he struggled through one of his worst seasons as a pro last year. Jackson missed time due to injuries, and he attempted to play through the injuries as well, but he never really looked like the MVP-caliber QB we know him to be outside of the first couple weeks of the season.

It shouldn’t be surprising to see a lengthy list of quarterbacks at the top of the NFL MVP odds. After all, it has really become a QB-dominated award. Here is what the top five NFL MVP contenders look like entering the offseason:

  1. Josh Allen (+575 consensus odds)
  2. Lamar Jackson (+700)
  3. Drake Maye (+925)
  4. Joe Burrow (+1000)
  5. Justin Herbert (+1050)

Here are some of the players whose opening odds this year really differ from their opening odds last season:

  • Drake Maye: the Patriots QB, who will be entering his third season in the league, was the runner-up for MVP last season, but he was not expected to compete for the award. His opening MVP odds last year were +5250, but his great season has catapulted him up into the top contenders at opening this year. Maye is given the third-best odds at average +925 odds.
  • Dak Prescott: many people had written Dak Prescott and the Cowboys off last year, especially after they traded Micah Parsons before the regular season. Prescott’s average MVP odds were +3000 at opening last year, but following a really strong first year under head coach Brian Schottenheimer, Prescott opened with average odds of +1300 this year.
  • Matthew Stafford: sportsbooks expected very little from Stafford last season, opening his MVP odds at +4500. However, he went on to win MVP, enjoying an amazing season, statistically speaking. Stafford now opens with +1400 odds, which is still a little long for what we’ve become used to seeing the reigning MVP open at.
  • Caleb Williams: the Bears had already named Ben Johnson their new head coach prior to last season’s NFL MVP odds opened, and Williams was slotted in as a bit of a darkhorse at +3150 odds. But after a solid first season with his new head coach, Williams is now among the top ten contenders at opening this year, being given consensus odds of +1650.
  • CJ Stroud: the Texans QB opened last season with +2150 MVP odds, firmly entrenched as a bit of an outside contender. However, few quarterbacks finished last season looking worse than Stroud did. He was horrific against the Steelers and Patriots in the playoffs, leading to many calling for Davis Mills to enter those games. After the late-season struggles, Stroud opens this year with much worse +5250 MVP odds.
  • Sam Darnold: most people spent last season waiting for Seattle’s decision to let go of Geno Smith in favor of Sam Darnold to implode. But that never really happened, as Darnold led Seattle to a Super Bowl championship. The result is Darnold’s opening odds improving from +6000 last year to +2750 this year.
  • Kyler Murray: though Murray wasn’t really seen as a top contender for MVP at last year’s opening odds, being given +3750 odds, he was given a reasonable chance. With his status as a starting QB in jeopardy entering the offseason, Murray has opened with +12250 odds to win MVP this year.

For the sake of being concise, I have limited the table above to just the top contenders. If you want to see the full list available, click through any of the links in the table and check them out at the sportsbook.

*NFL MVP odds above will be updated every 1-2 hours from the top sportsbooks, including but not limited to DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM; if you’re not already registered with DraftKings, get the best DraftKings promo code available when signing up. At the moment, you are just seeing odds from DraftKings while our feeds are switched over to the new year.

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Looking for the latest NFL odds? – Get current spreads, totals, and moneyline odds for all upcoming games this week here.

NFL MVP Odds Movement Analysis

Here are some notes on the NFL MVP odds movement:

  • [February 9] Just a day after the previous season’s Super Bowl ended, we had NFL MVP odds open up at some sportsbooks. Josh Allen opened as the favorite with +550 odds, while Lamar Jackson was a close second with odds as short as +650. FanDuel and bet365 opened Drake Maye, last year’s runner-up, at +850 and +800, respectively. But DraftKings did not have any other players with odds shorter than +1000.
  • A quarterback has won each of the last 13 NFL MVP awards
  • Since 2001, only three non-QBs have won the award – all were running backs
  • Since 2001, only one player has won NFL MVP without their respective team winning at least 11 games – Adrian Peterson’s Vikings won 10 games in 2012

Top Contenders by Position

Sports Betting Dime

Both Jaxon Smith-Njigba and Jonathan Taylor had their moments this season as legitimate NFL MVP contenders last year, but it was Puka Nacua, Jahmyr Gibbs, Christian McCaffrey, and Bijan Robinson who opened as the top contenders among non-QBs. It should be noted they are all an extremely distant +15000, though.

Of the 69 NFL MVP awards handed out, 48.5 have gone to quarterbacks – Brett Favre and Barry Sanders shared the honors in 1997. Looking to the remaining 20.5, 17.5 of them were running backs, two were defensive players, and one was a placekicker.

  • Alan Page (1971) and Lawrence Taylor (1986) were the two defensive players to win the award
  • Mark Moseley (1982) was the lone kicker to win an MVP, after he nailed an NFL-high 20 field goal attempts – he attempted 21 – for Washington
  • Jim Brown won the first two MVP awards in 1957 and 1958
  • The most recent RB to be named MVP was Adrian Peterson in 2012

Last 10 NFL MVP Winners

Year NFL MVP Pos Team Record
2025 Matthew Stafford QB Rams 12-5
2024 Josh Allen QB Bills 13-4
2023 Lamar Jackson (2) QB Ravens 13-4
2022 Patrick Mahomes (2) QB Chiefs 14-3
2021 Aaron Rodgers (4) QB Packers 13-4
2020 Aaron Rodgers (3) QB Packers 13-3
2019 Lamar Jackson QB Ravens 14-2
2018 Patrick Mahomes QB Chiefs 12-4
2017 Tom Brady (3) QB Patriots 13-3
2016 Matt Ryan QB Falcons 11-5

Matthew Stafford is the reigning NFL MVP, as he won his first MVP award following the 2025-26 NFL season. We have seen first-time MVP winners in back-to-back seasons now.

Teams with Most NFL MVP Winners

NFL Team Number of MVP Winners Most Recent MVP Winner
Green Bay Packers 9.5 Aaron Rodgers (2021)
Indianapolis Colts 8.5 Peyton Manning (2009)
San Francisco 49ers 5 Steve Young (1994)
Los Angeles Rams 5 Kurt Warner (2001)
Cleveland Browns 4 Brian Sipe (1980)

Thanks to Aaron Rodgers’ most recent NFL MVP award, the Packers have taken over as the team with the most NFL MVPs. The Colts had five MVP winners during their time in Baltimore – Johnny Unitas accounted for three – but Peyton Manning provided four more when they moved to Indianapolis.

You may be a little surprised to see Cleveland on here, but keep in mind the NFL MVP has been awarded since 1957. Jim Brown won the first two and added a third in 1965.

Thanks to the Greatest Show on Turf, the Rams are the only team to win the award in three consecutive seasons – Brett Favre won it for the Packers in three straight, but he shared the award in 1997 with Barry Sanders.

Teams with No NFL MVP Winners

Teams with no MVP Winners Notable Players with “MVP-Type” Seasons
Arizona Cardinals Larry Fitzgerald/Carson Palmer/Kurt Warner/Jake Plummer
Houston Texans Arian Foster/Andre Johnson/JJ Watt
Jacksonville Jaguars Mark Brunell/Fred Taylor/Maurice Jones-Drew
New Orleans Saints Drew Brees/Alvin Kamara
New York Jets Curtis Martin/Joe Namath
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Brad Johnson(?)/Tom Brady

Patrick Mahomes was the first Kansas City Chief to ever win the NFL MVP award in 2018, and Lamar Jackson became the first ever Raven to win it in 2019.

The city of Baltimore did get to see five MVPs when they had the Colts, though.


We have a similar page for every NFL player award, as well as all team futures as well. You can check them out on our NFL futures page. You can also look back at previous seasons’ MVP odds below.

Archived MVP Odds:

Who is the current favorite to win NFL MVP?

NFL MVP odds for the 2026 NFL season have already opened, and Josh Allen is the early favorite.

Where can I bet on NFL MVP?

All the main sports betting apps offer NFL MVP betting, including BetMGM, DraftKings, FanDuel, Caesars, bet365, and theScore Bet among others.

How often do MVP odds change?

NFL MVP odds are changing daily. We may not see significant movement on a random day in the offseason, but money being bet could force some movement. The biggest odds movement comes during the season, specifically after games are played, and around injury news.

Has a rookie ever won NFL MVP?

A rookie has won NFL MVP just once in the history of the award, and it was Jim Brown back in 1957.

Can non-quarterbacks win the MVP

Yes, non-quarterbacks can win NFL MVP, but they just don’t win it very often. A QB has won each of the last 12 MVP awards. Adrian Peterson was the last non-QB to win the award in 2012.

What's the best strategy for betting on MVP futures?

The best strategy for betting MVP futures is to pick a quarterback who: (1) plays in an offense that will score points, (2) plays on a team that will win at least 11 games, and (3) will not be outshined by their running back or any wide receiver.

Where can I find the best MVP odds?

You can find the best NFL MVP odds available by using SBD’s NFL MVP futures tracker. You will get the best odds on every player from the sportsbooks available in your region, and also get to see the line trends.

Matt McEwan
Matt McEwan

Editor-in-Chief; Sports Betting Expert

With nearly a decade working in the industry, Matt is a seasoned sports betting veteran. He got his start with SBD in 2016 and worked his way up the ladder to become the Editor-in-Chief. Along the way he has done everything from reviewing sportsbooks to creating proprietary sports betting tools.

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