2026-27 NFL MVP Odds Tracker: Josh Allen & Lamar Jackson Lead the NFL MVP Race
By Matt McEwan
Updated:
- NFL MVP odds for the 2026-27 NFL season are available at sports betting apps and prediction markets
- Josh Allen is the early favorite to win NFL MVP
- Track the NFL MVP odds movement over the course of the season for all contenders
Since 1957, the Associated Press has been presenting a Most Valuable Player award to the NFL’s most deserving candidate – also read as the best quarterback in the league based on the way the voters treat it. The odds to win the 2026-27 NFL MVP are available at all sportsbooks and prediction markets (who offer sports event contracts) as we enter Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL season.
With the season now underway, we will see plenty of movement in the NFL MVP futures market week-after-week. You can check out the latest NFL MVP odds available at our most trusted sportsbooks below, with the best odds available in your region surfaced up; the graphs further down the page show each player’s consensus odds to win NFL MVP. The early odds provide great opportunity for those with good foresight, and an understanding of how the media typically votes for the award, to pick off some valuable lines.
Current NFL MVP Odds
Josh Allen is currently the favorite to win the MVP award, with DRaftKings carrying the best odds for betting at +290. A $20 wager on Allen would yield a profit of $58, resulting in a total return of $78 (an implied win probability of 25.6%).
Sitting behind him as the second favorite is Baltimore Ravens signal-caller Lamar Jackson, currently carrying +738 consensus odds. Backing Jackson with a $20 bet would result in a $147.60 profit and a total return of $167.60, giving him an 11.9% implied probability to win the award.
Josh Allen (+250 Consensus)
Josh Allen has started to break away from the field as the MVP favorite after another strong performance in Week 2. The Bills’ QB threw for 248 yards and three touchdowns, while adding another 69 yards and two touchdowns on the ground.
For the season, Allen averages 291 passing yards per game, which is fourth-best in the league, and his 125.8 passer rating is third-best. It’s safe to say he is enjoying Joe Brady taking over the team.
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Lamar Jackson (+738 Consensus)
Jackson sits in the number two spot in the NFL MVP odds, though his odds slipped a bit after a loss to the Saints in Week 2, where he threw a game-ending interception on Baltimore’s final drive. In his defense, Jackson was playing without his top two receivers, Zay Flowers and Ja’Kobi Lane, and it appeared there was some miscommunication with his receiver on the interception.
Jackson’s explosiveness is clearly back, though, which makes him a top contender for MVP.
It shouldn’t be surprising to see a lengthy list of quarterbacks at the top of the NFL MVP odds. After all, it has really become a QB-dominated award. Here is what the top five NFL MVP contenders look like entering the offseason:
Current NFL MVP Favorites
- Josh Allen (+250 consensus odds)
- Lamar Jackson (+738)
- Patrick Mahomes (+838)
- Brock Purdy (+862)
- Joe Burrow (+862)
For the sake of being concise, I have limited the table above to just the top contenders. If you want to see the full list available, click through any of the links in the table and check them out at the sportsbook.
Here are the players who saw their NFL MVP odds improve the most after Week 2:
- Patrick Mahomes: the Chiefs’ QB delivered a vintage Mahomes performance in Week 2, throwing for 382 yards and three touchdowns in an overtime win over the Colts. His MVP odds improved from an average of +1400 to +838 after the big game.
- Brock Purdy: the 49ers signal-caller played another great game in Week 2, and has now seen his odds improve from +1275 to +862.
And here are the players whose odds worsened most notably:
- Justin Herbert: another awful performance in Week 2, this time against the Raiders, has resulted in Herbert’s MVP odds tanking from +2175 to +5750, as he’s barely hanging on in the top 20 contenders.
- Caleb Williams: after an incredible performance in Week 1, Williams was humbled by the Vikings defense in Week 2 and he also went down with a hamstring injury near the end of the game. Without any certainty on how much time he will miss, Williams’ MVP odds faded from +788 to +3000 after Week 2.
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Looking for the latest NFL odds? – Get current spreads, totals, and moneyline odds for all upcoming games this week here.
NFL MVP Odds Movement Analysis
Here are some notes on the NFL MVP odds movement:
- [June 1] After the Rams acquired Myles Garrett in a blockbuster trade, Matthew Stafford’s NFL MVP odds improved from an average of +1400 to +900. While Garrett does not play any offense, those familiar with the award know that team wins are a vital stat in MVP voting.
- [February 9] Just a day after the previous season’s Super Bowl ended, we had NFL MVP odds open up at some sportsbooks. Josh Allen opened as the favorite with +550 odds, while Lamar Jackson was a close second with odds as short as +650. FanDuel and bet365 opened Drake Maye, last year’s runner-up, at +850 and +800, respectively. But DraftKings did not have any other players with odds shorter than +1000.
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NFL MVP Trends & Fun Facts
- A quarterback has won each of the last 13 NFL MVP awards
- Since 2001, only three non-QBs have won the award – all were running backs
- Since 2001, only one player has won NFL MVP without their respective team winning at least 11 games – Adrian Peterson’s Vikings won 10 games in 2012
Of the 69 NFL MVP awards handed out, 48.5 have gone to quarterbacks – Brett Favre and Barry Sanders shared the honors in 1997. Looking to the remaining 20.5, 17.5 of them were running backs, two were defensive players, and one was a placekicker.
- Alan Page (1971) and Lawrence Taylor (1986) were the two defensive players to win the award
- Mark Moseley (1982) was the lone kicker to win an MVP, after he nailed an NFL-high 20 field goal attempts – he attempted 21 – for Washington
- Jim Brown won the first two MVP awards in 1957 and 1958
- The most recent RB to be named MVP was Adrian Peterson in 2012
NFL MVP Winners (Last 10)
| Year | NFL MVP | Pos | Team | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Matthew Stafford | QB | Rams | 12-5 |
| 2024 | Josh Allen | QB | Bills | 13-4 |
| 2023 | Lamar Jackson (2) | QB | Ravens | 13-4 |
| 2022 | Patrick Mahomes (2) | QB | Chiefs | 14-3 |
| 2021 | Aaron Rodgers (4) | QB | Packers | 13-4 |
| 2020 | Aaron Rodgers (3) | QB | Packers | 13-3 |
| 2019 | Lamar Jackson | QB | Ravens | 14-2 |
| 2018 | Patrick Mahomes | QB | Chiefs | 12-4 |
| 2017 | Tom Brady (3) | QB | Patriots | 13-3 |
| 2016 | Matt Ryan | QB | Falcons | 11-5 |
Matthew Stafford is the reigning NFL MVP, as he won his first MVP award following the 2025-26 NFL season. We have seen first-time MVP winners in back-to-back seasons now.
Teams with Most NFL MVP Winners
| NFL Team | Number of MVP Winners | Most Recent MVP Winner |
|---|---|---|
| Green Bay Packers | 10 | Aaron Rodgers (2021) |
| Indianapolis Colts | 9 | Peyton Manning (2009) |
| San Francisco 49ers | 5 | Steve Young (1994) |
| Los Angeles Rams | 5 | Kurt Warner (2001) |
| Cleveland Browns | 4 | Brian Sipe (1980) |
Thanks to Aaron Rodgers’ most recent NFL MVP award, the Packers have taken over as the team with the most NFL MVPs. The Colts had five MVP winners during their time in Baltimore – Johnny Unitas accounted for three – but Peyton Manning provided four more when they moved to Indianapolis.
You may be a little surprised to see Cleveland on here, but keep in mind the NFL MVP has been awarded since 1957. Jim Brown won the first two and added a third in 1965.
Thanks to the Greatest Show on Turf, the Rams are the only team to win the award in three consecutive seasons – Brett Favre won it for the Packers in three straight, but he shared the award in 1997 with Barry Sanders.
Teams with No NFL MVP Winners
| Teams with no MVP Winners | Notable Players with “MVP-Type” Seasons |
|---|---|
| Arizona Cardinals | Larry Fitzgerald/Carson Palmer/Kurt Warner/Jake Plummer |
| Houston Texans | Arian Foster/Andre Johnson/JJ Watt |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | Mark Brunell/Fred Taylor/Maurice Jones-Drew |
| New Orleans Saints | Drew Brees/Alvin Kamara |
| New York Jets | Curtis Martin/Joe Namath |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Brad Johnson(?)/Tom Brady |
Patrick Mahomes was the first Kansas City Chief to ever win the NFL MVP award in 2018, and Lamar Jackson became the first ever Raven to win it in 2019.
The city of Baltimore did get to see five MVPs when they had the Colts, though.
We have a similar page for every NFL player award, as well as all team futures as well. You can check them out on our NFL futures page. You can also look back at previous seasons’ MVP odds below.
Archived MVP Odds:
Who is the current favorite to win NFL MVP?
NFL MVP odds for the 2026 NFL season are widely available, and Josh Allen is the early favorite.
Where can I bet on NFL MVP?
All the main sports betting apps offer NFL MVP betting, including BetMGM, DraftKings, FanDuel, Caesars, bet365, and theScore Bet among others.
How often do MVP odds change?
NFL MVP odds are changing daily. We may not see significant movement on a random day in the offseason, but money being bet could force some movement. The biggest odds movement comes during the season, specifically after games are played, and around injury news.
Has a rookie ever won NFL MVP?
A rookie has won NFL MVP just once in the history of the award, and it was Jim Brown back in 1957.
Can non-quarterbacks win the MVP
Yes, non-quarterbacks can win NFL MVP, but they just don’t win it very often. A QB has won each of the last 12 MVP awards. Adrian Peterson was the last non-QB to win the award in 2012.
What's the best strategy for betting on MVP futures?
The best strategy for betting MVP futures is to pick a quarterback who: (1) plays in an offense that will score points, (2) plays on a team that will win at least 11 games, and (3) will not be outshined by their running back or any wide receiver.
Where can I find the best MVP odds?
You can find the best NFL MVP odds available by using SBD’s NFL MVP futures tracker. You will get the best odds on every player from the sportsbooks available in your region, and also get to see the line trends.
Editor-in-Chief; Sports Betting Expert
With nearly a decade working in the industry, Matt is a seasoned sports betting veteran. He got his start with SBD in 2016 and worked his way up the ladder to become the Editor-in-Chief. Along the way he has done everything from reviewing sportsbooks to creating proprietary sports betting tools.