Oilers vs Panthers Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for Game 3

• We’ve made our Oilers vs Panthers prediction for Game 3 of the Stanley Cup Final
• The series is tied 1-1 after two overtime thrillers in Edmonton
• Read below for my Oilers vs Panthers Game 3 prediction and betting pick

The Stanley Cup Final shifts to Sunrise for Game 3 on Monday night, with the Florida Panthers looking to capitalize on home ice after splitting two dramatic overtime contests in Edmonton. Brad Marchand’s double-overtime heroics in Game 2 have given the defending champions momentum heading back to Amerant Bank Arena.

Online sportsbooks have installed Florida as -145 favorites, and I’m backing the Panthers to protect their home ice in the Oilers vs Panthers odds.

Puck drop is set for 8:00 PM ET on TNT, with both teams having shown they can win in clutch moments.

Oilers vs Panthers Prediction for Game 3

Friday’s double-overtime marathon showcased everything that makes playoff hockey special. The Panthers rallied from multiple deficits, including Corey Perry’s gut-punch equalizer with just 17.8 seconds left in regulation, before Marchand delivered in the second overtime. The veteran winger scored a shorthanded goal earlier in the contest and capped it off with his fifth career OT winner.

The advanced metrics reveal Florida’s slight edge at even strength through two games. The Panthers control a 53.13% Corsi For percentage and have generated 76 scoring chances to Edmonton’s 61. More importantly, they’re converting their opportunities at a superior clip. Florida has scored on 11.11% of high-danger chances compared to Edmonton’s 6.45% conversion rate.

Additionally, the Panthers hold a 55.56% goal share at 5-on-5 despite the series being tied. Sergei Bobrovsky has been the difference-maker between the pipes. The Panthers’ netminder posted a .913 save percentage with 2.64 goals saved above expected through two games, becoming just the fifth goalie in NHL history to record 40+ saves in consecutive Stanley Cup Final games.

Meanwhile, Stuart Skinner’s -.84 GSAx and shaky performance early in Game 2 – particularly on Sam Bennett’s opening goal – highlights Edmonton’s vulnerability in net.

Oilers vs Panthers Advanced Playoff Stats

*Advanced metrics are 5-on-5 only and courtesy of Natural Stat Trick.

Special teams could prove decisive in Game 3. Florida boasts the playoffs’ top penalty kill at 86.8%, while Edmonton’s 66% kill rate ranks a dismal 14th. The Panthers have allowed just 2.47 goals against per game these playoffs, which is tops among all 16 playoff teams.

Getting last change at home allows Paul Maurice to dictate matchups against Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl. The Barkov line with Carter Verhaeghe and Sam Reinhart has posted a 61.76% Corsi share in limited action, while Anton Lundell’s trio can handle defensive assignments. With Ryan Nugent-Hopkins listed as a game-time decision, Edmonton’s forward depth could be tested.

Oilers vs Panthers Best Bet

• Panthers Moneyline (-145 at MGM)

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The betting line tells an interesting story. Despite Florida being juiced home favorites, sharp money continues pushing the line their way while public bettors back Edmonton. When the professionals and the public disagree, following the smart money typically pays off.

Florida’s home-ice advantages are substantial. They’re converting chances at nearly double Edmonton’s rate, Bobrovsky has clearly outplayed Skinner, and their elite penalty kill should contain an Oilers power play that’s been feast-or-famine.

The Panthers showed championship pedigree by bouncing back from Perry’s late equalizer to win in double overtime. That resilience, combined with Marchand’s red-hot play (two goals in Game 2), gives them the edge in what should be a tighter, lower-scoring affair at Amerant Bank Arena.

Oilers vs Panthers Odds Game 3

The Panthers sit as -145 home favorites with the total set at 6.5 goals. Edmonton offers plus-money value at +120, while the under carries slight juice at -120.

Odds as of June 9th at BetMGM. US residents can bet on this game with the BetMGM bonus code. Alberta residents should register at Bet99 with a Bet99 promo code.

According to the NHL public betting trends, the majority of bets have landed on Edmonton despite their underdog status. This creates value backing Florida, especially with the line movement toward the Panthers indicating sharp action.

The defending champions have shown they can win tight games at home – they’re 4-3 at Amerant Bank Arena these playoffs and hoisted the Cup on this ice last June.

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