Over/Under NFL Draft Position Picks & Best Bets for 2026

• The first round of the NFL Draft kicks off Thursday, April 23rd
• The Raiders hold the first overall pick, followed by the Jets and Cardinals
• See the over/under draft position for plenty of top prospects along with my best bets

The NFL Draft is finally upon us, and the Las Vegas Raiders are on the clock Thursday evening. The NFL draft odds clearly have them taking quarterback Fernando Mendoza first overall, but what will happen after that is totally up in the air with plenty of possibilities.

SBD’s final NFL mock draft has been tabulated using only betting odds, and the second choice is Edge Arvell Reese, followed by Edge David Bailey to Arizona. With so many question marks later down the board, there could be fireworks Thursday, and for Friday’s second and third rounds, followed by rounds 4-7 on Saturday.

A team’s fortunes can dramatically change following a phenomenal draft, allowing them to exceed their NFL win totals. Below is the over/under position of 20 prospects, and their corresponding odds. I’ll make my favorite bets for where I think two key players will go and get some value on potentially winning wagers.

2026 NFL Draft Over/Under Position Picks

Probably the most intriguing name among this list of incoming rookies is running back Jeremiyah Love, whose O/U number is set at 5.5. He’s the favorite on prediction market Kalshi to head to the Tennessee Titans at fourth overall.

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However, another player with the same O/U 5.5 is linebacker Sonny Styles, who I feel will be the selection for Tennessee. He’d be the perfect piece for new Head Coach Robert Saleh’s defense and a NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year odds contender.

NFL Draft Prospect Over/Under Picks and Predictions

• Carnell Tate Under 7.5 Pick (-105 on DraftKings)
• Ty Simpson Under 24.5 Pick (+195 on DraftKings)

For my first selection, I’m going with a wide receiver that could change a team’s fortunes and get them in the Super Bowl odds conversation – wide receiver Carnell Tate. He’s currently O/U 7.5 picks, and I’m grabbing him under that mark because his talent is too electric to pass up (Tate is the WR favored to be drafted first).

He’s got a big frame (6′ 3″) and would be a great downfield target. Perhaps the Browns could call his name, considering he’s a local hero from the Ohio State Buckeyes. He’d join a growing list of elite OSU wideouts that have thrived in the NFL (JSN, Chris Olave, Garrett Wilson etc).

If Cleveland decides to pass, then Washington at #7 makes a ton of sense. They didn’t add significant pieces to the offense so far, and Terry McLaurin (also a Buckeye alum) badly needs a threat alongside him to give defenses fits.

Another interesting name to consider is QB Ty Simpson, who was at Alabama and has a 24.5 line attached to his name. Depending on what organization selects him, he definitely could be in the running for the NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year odds. He put up 28 passing touchdowns against just five INT’s last year for the Crimson Tide.

Mock drafts vary on where he’ll land, but the prime candidates have to be the Jets and Cardinals. It’d be stunning if he were picked by those two squads with the second or third selections, but I’m eyeing the Jets at #16 (their second first round pick) or an Arizona deal to get back into Round 1, so I’m picking the under.