Group C Expert Picks & Best Bets for World Cup – Back Morocco’s Outstanding Value to Win Group C

Group C of the 2026 FIFA World Cup features a perennial contender in Brazil, a potential darkhorse in Morocco, and two teams that are playing in the group stage of a World Cup for the first time in more than 25 years: Scotland, whose last appearance came in France 1998, and Haiti, which hasn’t participated in this tournament since 1974. 

Here, I’ll provide a deep analysis of each team, from both tactical and analytical perspectives, to offer the best betting advice.

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Kalshi

Brazil

73%

Morocco

19%

Scotland

8%

Haiti

1%

Predict

The odds paint a clear picture of the perceived Group C hierarchy; Brazil is priced as a massive 73¢ favorite to finish in first place at prediction site Kalshi, which is equal to -270 American odds. Morocco is a distant second at 20¢ (+400), but that’s still well ahead of third-favorite Scotland at 8¢ (+1150). Longshot Haiti rounds out the quartet at just 1¢ (+9900).

Group C Match Schedule

Brazil Heavy Betting Favorite to Win Group C

Brazil will always be a contender in every FIFA World Cup and, as the World Cup winner odds show, that’s the case again in this edition, at least according to oddsmakers. Brazil is currently listed as the +825 fourth-favorite. But let’;s be honest here; they don’t deserve that tag in 2026. It’s hard to see Brazil exiting anything earlier than the quarterfinals – A seleção have elite talent on both sides of the ball and a legit contender in the World Cup Golden Boot odds (Vinicius Junior) – but it’s unclear if they have what it takes to go further.

Their squad for the 2026 FIFA World Cup is underwhelming to say the least. Alisson, Neymar (who remains a doubt due to a calf injury and his availability for the opener versus Morocco on June 13 is uncertain), Raphinha, and Vinicius Junior all had worse seasons in 2025-26 than in 2024-25. They’ll be missing players like Éder Militao and Rodrygo due to injury. And their defensive holes are notorious enough that manager Carlo Ancelotti will have to trust 36-year-old Alex Sandro to handle the left-back duties.

Brazil’s qualifying run wasn’t encouraging, either. They finished fifth in the CONMEBOL region, their worst-ever position, with 28 points, losing six games and allowing 17 goals in 18 matches (W8, D4, L6). That was the second-worst defensive record among the six CONMEBOL countries that secured a 2026 World Cup berth.

Brand recognition is the main reason they are hyper-short -270 favorites to top Group C. Brazil shouldn’t have problems topping Scotland and, especially, Haiti. But their title chances are slim, so don’t be surprised if A seleção are eliminated around the quarterfinals. They haven’t been able to progress past that stage in the previous two World Cups.

Can Morocco Challenge Brazil for Group C Supremacy?

In all likelihood, whether Morocco finishes first in Group C will be determined by their opening match against Brazil at East Rutherford Stadium in New Jersey on June 13. Even though Brazil are favorites ahead of that match (-160 threeway moneyline favorites in the World Cup game odds with Morocco at +480 and a draw at +300). Grabbing at least a point is entirely plausible for Morocco if they player their best. They stunned the world in the 2022 FIFA World Cup by reaching the semifinals, and they have the makeup of a darkhorse that could make another deep run. They have excellent value as Group C winners at +400.

Morocco’s enviable collection of talent features one of the best right-backs in the world in Achraf Hakimi (PSG), a proven goalkeeper in Yassine Bounou (Al-Hilal), and outstanding talent in midfield in names such as Brahim Díaz (Real Madrid), Ismael Saibari (PSV Eindhoven), Bilal El Khannouss (VfB Stuttgart), and Neil El Aynaoui (AS Roma). 

Morocco enter this tournament on an excellent run of results and haven’t lost a single match since August 2025, going W22 D6 in that span (excluding extra time and penalties). The Atlas Lions also dominated in the African World Cup Qualifiers, winning their eight matches in the final round while scoring 22 goals and conceding just twice.

Their dominance isn’t only in the attack, as they’re outstanding defensively, as well, and have kept six clean sheets over their last nine matches across all competitions.

Group C Longshots: Scotland and Haiti

I’m pairing Scotland and Haiti together because neither team has a realistic shot at winning the group, and it would be a massive achievement if either country manages to reach the knockout stages. Neither can afford a loss or even a draw when they meet at Boston Stadium on June 13. But at the end of the day, neither Scotland nor Haiti have the talent, depth, or experience to compete toe-to-toe with Brazil or Morocco.

Scotland needed a playoff-round win over Denmark to secure their return to the 2026 FIFA World Cup, a game that will be remembered for Scott McTominay’s bicycle-kick goal. Keep close tabs on McTominay throughout the tournament, as backing him as a potential anytime goalscorer is one of the many types of World Cup prop bets you can find on every match. Despite being a midfielder, the Napoli playmaker has had a great influence on the Scots and was the team’s top scorer in the qualifying run.

As for Haiti, they don’t have many players with experience in the upper echelon of world soccer. The squad is anchored by veteran captain Johny Placide and all-time leading goalscorer Duckens Nazon, but aside from that, most of the first-team regulars play either in low-level European leagues or in the MLS. Even if you’re interested in how to pick World Cup underdogs, Haiti is not the team to put your money behind.

Pick to Win Group C at 2026 World Cup: Morocco (+400) at Kalshi

Even though Brazil are the odds-on favorite to win the group (-270), you shouldn’t sleep on Morocco, who should deliver excellent value at +400 to finish in first place. Scotland (+1150) and Haiti (+9900) can’t be considered realistic options. Reaching the knockout stages would be a victory for either, with their head-to-head matchup at Boston Stadium on June 13 proving pivotal for both nations. 

Therefore, my pick for Group C of the 2026 FIFA World Cup is Morocco winning the group, with Brazil coming in second and Scotland third.