Historical NFL Draft Odds from Past Seasons

• Look back to historical NFL Draft odds from past seasons
• See past odds for 1st overall pick, draft position over/unders, and more
• If you’re looking for the current futures, see our NFL Draft odds

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There are a ton of NFL Draft props available each year. I have been tracking and documenting as many as possible since the 2021 Draft. I have been able to capture odds to be the 1st overall pick from each season, along with other markets like draft position over/unders, first player drafted at each position etc. more recently. You can look back to see how these NFL Draft markets changed from opening in each year during that timeframe below.

2026 Draft | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021

2026 NFL Draft Odds

Fernando Mendoza was selected first overall in the 2026 NFL Draft. According to Kalshi, Fernando Mendoza had a 95% chance to be selected first-overall in the 2026 NFL Draft, making him the clear favorite. Arvell Reese was the only other player given 1% or better chance by the prediction market entering draft night.

2026 NFL Draft 1st Overall Pick Odds

With the Las Vegas Raiders having the first pick, it made sense for a QB to be so heavily favored to hear their name called first. The Raiders did not get the production they wanted out of Geno Smith in his first season with the team (2025-26), and did not have any QB of the future on their roster. However, Las Vegas’ options at rookie QBs dwindled, as many of the big names opted to stay in school, with Dante Moore being the most notable of the bunch.

Here are some notes on the odds movement we’ve seen:

• [February 12] Not that he was given much of a chance to be the 1st overall pick, but Trinidad Chambliss’ name was removed from the NFL Draft after he won his legal case to gain an extra year of eligibility in the NCAA. This left Mendoza and Ty Simpson as the only two QBs projected to be picked in the first two days of the draft.
• [January 14, 2026] Dante Moore announced he will be staying at Oregon for another season, pulling his name from the NFL Draft. Moore had the second-best odds to be selected first-overall before his decision. His removal made Mendoza an even heavier favorite.
• [November 8] Beating Penn State was the cause for Fernando Mendoza taking over as the new favorite to be selected 1st overall in the 2026 NFL Draft.
• [October 12] A good performance in a big win over Michigan led to USC QB Jayden Maiava taking over as the favorite.
• [September 8] A strong start to the season led to LaNorris Sellers taking over as the favorite to be the first-overall pick in the 2026 NFL Draft.
• [July 26] Some of Manning’s family spoke out about Arch staying in college for two seasons as Texas’ starting QB, meaning he would not leave college for the 2026 NFL Draft. This is what led to Garrett Nussmeier taking over as the favorite
• [June 21] Manning was an odds-on favorite to be selected first-overall at prediction markets in the summer after some positive hype and high-expectations of the Longhorns.
• [April 26, 2025] Arch Manning opened as the favorite to be the first-overall pick in the 2026 NFL Draft, in spite of not having played a full season as Texas’ starting QB yet. Drew Allar’s odds were a close second to Manning, as Arch was given +200 odds to Allar’s +225.

2026 NFL Draft Position Over/Unders

We didn’t see too many draft position over/unders for the 2026 NFL Draft. I believe this was just the result of a lot more uncertainty than normal around where players stacked up against each other, and team priorities. I have used bold font to dictate whether the over or under cashed for each.

Odds to Be a Top Pick in 2026 NFL Draft

Here is a look back at how the odds changed for each pick of the 2026 NFL Draft.

Arvell Reese closed as the favorite to be the 2nd overall pick, but it was David Bailey who was selected with the #2 pick by the Jets.

The Cardinals provided the first shock of the draft when they selected Jeremiyah Love with the 3rd overall pick. The odds strongly favored them taking either David Bailey or Arvell Reese.

The fourth pick was another surprise, as Robert Saleh’s Titans did not go defense, and the top RB was already off the board. Instead, Tennessee took Carnell Tate, whose probability was hovering around 5% to be selected 4th overall entering draft night.

While the odds heavily favored the Giants either taking Caleb Downs or Sonny Styles with the 5th overall pick, they took Arvell Reese, who was given just a 5% chance to be selected fifth entering draft night. His odds were so long because most believed he would be long gone by this point.

2026 Top Players Drafted at Each Position

Below you will find the odds on which player will be drafted first at each playing position. Many of these NFL Draft props have clear favorites, but the draft is one of the most unpredictable events in football. So, I look at these props as an opportunity to find some value.

Quarterback

We did not see any odds on the 1st QB selected, since it was a foregone conclusion that it would be Fernando Mendoza. Even Ty Simpson was an extremely heavy favorite to be drafted as the 2nd QB.

Running Back

Wide Receiver

Tight End

Offensive Lineman

Defensive Lineman or EDGE

Linebacker

Defensive Back

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2026 NFL Draft Order – First Round

The 2026 NFL Draft order looked like the above heading into draft night, but we saw a ton of trades made during the draft that saw teams move up/back.

Odds to Have 1st Overall Pick in 2026 NFL Draft

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2025 NFL Draft Odds

I tracked all the 2025 NFL Draft props and recorded the line/odds movement for each betting market, including odds to be the first pick, draft position over/unders, and first player taken at each position, among others.

The 2025 NFL Draft took place Thursday, April 24 in Green Bay, Wisconsin. Cam Ward was the first player selected (by the Tennessee Titans), but there was plenty of drama after the first pick. See how the odds for the 2025 NFL Draft looked and what sportsbooks got right/wrong.

2025 NFL Draft Odds for First Overall Pick

Miami QB Cam Ward closed as the favorite to be taken first-overall in the 2025 NFL Draft. Ward took over as the favorite after the NFL season wrapped up, locking the Titans into the top pick. It marked the first time Ward had been seen as the favorite, following Shedeur Sanders and Carson Beck, who opted to stay in college, each spending some time as the favorite between opening and the conclusion of the college football regular season.

Sanders’ freefall from the top of the board happened pretty quickly. He only had the fourth-best odds to go #1 at closing, and was a very distant +8000.

Odds to Be First-Overall Pick in 2025 NFL Draft

The odds to be the 1st-overall pick in the 2025 NFL Draft favored Cam Ward at -20000 odds. Those odds gave Ward a 99.5% chance to go first-overall and a $20 bet on him would have profited $0.10 and returned $20.10.

While we did see other QBs among the favorites during the college season, like Shedeur Sanders, Quinn Ewers, and even Carson Beck, it was a year of non-QBs getting attention with the early picks.

After Ward in the odds to be the first pick were: Abdul Carter (+3000), Travis Hunter (+5000), Shedeur Sanders (+8000), and Ashton Jeanty (+15000).

One of the biggest mysteries was what NFL scouts would think of Travis Hunter, who said he wanted to continue to play both sides of the ball in the pros. He had the third-best odds to be taken first-overall, but was believed to be heading to the Browns with the second pick.

Here are some notes on the odds movement we saw:

• [April 23] Just over 24 hours prior to the NFL Draft, Cam Ward’s odds to be the first pick sit at -20000.
• [April 10] Cam Ward has effectively run away with this race, as his odds to be the first-overall pick reached -10000 across most sportsbooks.
• [March 13] The month of February saw Cam Ward establish himself as the odds-on favorite to be the first pick, seeing his odds move to shorter than +100. The first half of March saw Ward start pulling away from the field, as his odds improved to as short as -1000.
• [January 28] While the initial reaction to Titans executives claiming they wouldn’t pass on generational talent led to Travis Hunter’s odds to be the first-overall pick dramatically improving, Abdul Carter’s odds have gone from +975 down to as short as +180, the second-best odds on the board, over the past few days.
• [January 23] According to BetMGM Trading Manager, Christian Cipollini, there has been “significant betting on [Travis] Hunter since the comments made by Titans executives,” when they said they would not pass on a generational talent with the first pick. They did not specifically say Hunter was a generational talent, but bettors are obviously believing that’s who they were talking about. The result was Hunter’s odds to be the first pick going from +1100 to +158. Though, Cam Ward remained the favorite after those comments, but his odds worsened from -210 to +110.
• [January 7] In spite of some criticism he faced for sitting out the second half of the Pop-Tarts Bowl, Cam Ward overtook Shedeur Sanders as the favorite to be taken first-overall in the 2025 NFL Draft after the NFL season wrapped up.
• [October 24] Shedeur Sanders has continued to play well for Colorado, while Carson Beck has thrown a flurry of interceptions recently. The result was Sanders taking back over as the favorite to be picked first in the NFL Draft.
• [October 21] As Travis Hunter gains steam in the Heisman race, so have his odds to be selected first overall in the NFL Draft. Hunter was given 30-1 odds to be the first player selected back in August, but has shortened to +725 as the college season winds down. These were the second-best odds on the board at the time.
• [May 6] Less than two weeks after odds opened, we saw Carson Beck take over as the favorite to be the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft. Beck’s odds actually didn’t improve, though, remaining at +300. The change atop the board was the result of Shadeur Sanders’ odds fading from +100 to +450.
• [April 26] Shedeur Sanders opened as the favorite to be the first-overall pick in the 2025 NFL Draft. The Colorado QB opened with very short +100 odds. Both Quinn Ewers and Carson Beck opened with +300 odds, tied for second-best at this time.

2025 NFL Draft Position Over/Unders

Draft position over/unders opened in late-March, but the original market only had a handful of players. We closed with most first-round players with over/unders on when they will be selected in the 2025 NFL Draft, and will likely see at least another set of players given odds in this market before we get to draft night.

Here are the players who experienced the biggest movements in their over/unders:

• Ashton Jeanty’s over/under opened at 9.5 and came down to 6.5
• Colston Loveland’s over/under opened at 19.5 and came down to 17.5
• Mason Graham’s over/under has remained at 5.5, but the under opened as the -155 favorite and closed +250
• Mykel Williams’ over/under opened at 15.5 with the over favored at -130; we saw the under move to as short as -400 before sportsbooks moved the line down to 12.5, where the under was still favored at -370
• Shedeur Sanders’ over/under opened at 8.5 with the over favored at -250; some sportsbooks moved the line to 10.5, with the over still heavily favored, while others jumped all the way to 21.5

Odds to Be a Top Pick in 2025 NFL Draft

Sportsbooks opened odds to be the #2 pick in the NFL Draft in late-March. Abdul Carter opened as the odds-on favorite to be taken second by the Cleveland Browns, getting -130 odds. However, that changed drastically after the Browns sent extra personnel to Travis Hunter’s Pro Day workout. Hunter closed as the odds-on favorite to be the 2nd pick, getting -1100 odds.

Odds to be the third pick also opened in late-March, and favored Abdul Carter with -800 odds. However, Shedeur Sanders was the favorite when these odds opened, and Travis Hunter also spent time as the favorite prior to Carter. The Giants held the third pick and were originally believed to be looking at QBs with this pick. However, New York signed Jameis Winston and Russell Wilson in free agency, potentially signaling a lack of interest in the QB prospects available. The Wilson signing seemed to have flipped these odds.

Odds to be the fourth and fifth picks of the 2025 NFL Draft also opened, with Will Campbell favored to go 4th to the Patriots, and Ashton Jeanty the odds-on favorite to be selected 5th by the Jaguars. Mason Graham was originally the heavy favorite to be the fifth pick, but the Jaguars reportedly expressed interest in Jeanty – this was wrong!

First Player Drafted at Each Position

Below you will find the odds on which player will be drafted first at each playing position in the 2025 NFL Draft. Many of these NFL Draft props had clear favorites.

First Quarterback Drafted

Cameron Ward was the extremely heavy favorite to be the first QB selected, which makes sense since he was also the favorite to be the 1st overall pick. The only bit of drama we saw with this market was Jaxson Dart being tied with Shedeur Sanders for the second-best odds for a brief period. That changed prior to the draft, though, as Sanders closed with far better odds than Dart.

First Running Back Drafted

Ashton Jeanty was the runaway favorite to be the first RB selected in this year’s NFL Draft. Jeanty was as short as -20000 at DraftKings. Omarion Hampton had the second-best odds at 22-1. Jeanty was taken 6th overall by the Raiders and was the first RB taken.

First Wide Receiver Drafted

While Matthew Golden created some serious buzz for himself at the NFL Combine, it was still Tetairoa McMillan who was the heavy favorite to be the first wide receiver selected in the draft. Golden was given short +200 odds, but he was well back of McMillan’s -290 odds.

Tet was the first WR taken, going 8th to the Panthers.

First Tight End Drafted

Tyler Warren was heavily favored to be the first TE drafted. Colston Loveland was the only other player getting shorter than 60-1 odds. But this one was a big upset, as Loveland was taken first, going 10th to the Bears.

First Offensive Lineman Drafted

There was a fair amount of volatility in the odds to be the first offensive lineman drafted, as Will Campbell opened as the favorite, but after his arm measurement came back quite short, Armand Membou became the favorite. Campbell took back over as the favorite, and seemingly solidified himself late with -600 odds. Campbell was the first OL taken.

First Defensive Lineman or EDGE Drafted

Abdul Carter was given very short -10000 odds to be the first defensive lineman selected in April’s draft. Mason Graham was the only other player given odds shorter than +5000. Carter was the first DL/EDGE taken.

First Linebacker Drafted

To be clear, this prop was referring to off-ball linebackers (ILBs). Jalon Walker was the heavy favorite to be the first linebacker selected in the 2025 NFL Draft. While Walker may play a hybrid role in the pros, he entered the league as an inside linebacker.

He was the first linebacker taken.

First Corner Drafted

Travis Hunter was an extremely-heavy favorite to be the first corner drafted, and the odds were correct. There was more intrigue in looking at the odds to be the second corner drafted, where Will Johnson was a slight favorite, but Jahdae Barron overtook him at most sportsbooks before the draft. The odds were correct as Barron was selected 20th overall and was the second corner taken.

First Safety Drafted

Malaki Starks had been slowly closing the gap between himself and Nick Emmanwori to be the first safety selected. The two closed as co-favorites at DraftKings. Malaki Starks ended up being the first safety taken.

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2025 NFL Draft Order – First Round

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2024 NFL Draft Odds

I tracked all the 2024 NFL Draft odds and props available across all sportsbooks from the moment they opened. Among others, we have odds to be taken with the first overall pick in the 2024 NFL Draft, odds to be a top 5/10 pick, draft position over/unders, first player taken at each position, and many more as the year goes on.

The 2024 NFL Draft took place Thursday, April 25 in Detroit, Michigan. Caleb Williams was selected first-overall, which was a foregone conclusion for a while. But you can see how the 2024 NFL Draft odds changed for other props below.

2024 NFL Draft Odds for First Overall Pick

USC’s Caleb Williams, who won the 2022 Heisman Trophy, was heavily favored to go first-overall in the 2024 NFL Draft. Williams is being referred to as a generational talent, but one who has also posted big numbers in college.

Drake Maye always had the second-best odds to go first-overall up until early March when Jayden Daniels surpassed him. However, Caleb Williams is such a heavy favorite that it wasn’t really worth discussing the smaller moves that have happened behind him in the odds.

Odds to Be First-Overall Pick in 2024 NFL Draft

Similar to 2023, it was quarterbacks who have always been the top three contenders to be taken first-overall in the 2024 NFL Draft. Caleb Williams of USC was the favorite with very short -20000 odds. A $20 bet on Williams would only stand to profit $0.10 and return $20.10. Jayden Daniels and Drake Maye had the second and third-best odds, respectively.

The biggest surprise on the board last fall was Marvin Harrison Jr getting the fourth-best odds to go first-overall at +1500. (He did have the third-best odds for a long time too.) With the Bears holding onto the first pick, his odds faded to +20000. The surprise isn’t a slight on Harrison Jr’s talent – he’s a fantastic prospect – but rather a result of only three wide receivers being selected first-overall in the history of the NFL Draft. It has not happened since 1996 when Keyshawn Johnson was taken first-overall by the New York Jets.

Here are some notes on the odds movement we saw:

• [April 25] The Bears used the first-overall pick on Caleb Williams.
• [April 25] On the day of the NFL Draft, Caleb Williams is an overwhelming favorite to be the first-overall selection with odds as short as -20000.
• [March 12] Jayden Daniels had been closing the gap between himself and Drake Maye in terms of the second QB to come off the board in the NFL Draft, and while it is bigger news when viewing the odds to be the second-overall pick, it is worth noting Daniels has overtaken Maye for the second-best odds to go first-overall as well. Seeing the Commanders sign Marcus Mariota, a QB who can also run an offense designed for Daniels, was what tipped the scales in the LSU product’s favor.
• [February 12, 2024] With both the college and NFL seasons now finished, Caleb Williams is breaking away from the pack even further in the odds to be the first pick. Williams’ odds have gotten as short as -1200.
• [November 14, 2023] While Caleb Williams is still the heavy favorite to go first overall in the draft, Drake Maye has been steadily closing the gap. Maye’s odds were at +500 in the summer and have now improved to +275.
• [April 28] Caleb Williams has opened as an extremely heavy favorite to be the first-overall pick in the 2024 NFL Draft. Williams has opened with -550 odds with Drake Maye given the second-best odds at +600.

2024 Odds to Be 2nd-Overall Pick

When it comes to the second-overall pick in the 2024 NFL Draft, which was held by the Washington Commanders, Drake Maye was as heavy as a -140 favorite to be selected with this pick. However, when the Commanders signed Marcus Mariota, a quarterback with similar skills/traits to Daniels and quite opposite of Maye, sportsbooks believed Washington had tipped their hand for what they’ll do with the second pick. Daniels was the odds-on favorite to go second-overall with odds as long as -700 ahead of the draft.

There was a brief moment on Friday (April 19), where Maye and Daniels were both given -115 odds to be the second pick. But that didn’t last long, as Daniels became heavily favored again.

Washington did indeed go with Daniels second-overall.

2024 Odds to Be 3rd-Overall Pick

With the odds to go second-overall leaning towards Daniels, it was Maye who had become the favorite to go third-overall to the New England Patriots. Maye was given -300 odds to be taken with the third pick. Though, some believed it may not be New England using this pick.

The Pats held onto the pick and took Maye.

2024 Odds to Be 4th-Overall Pick

The Arizona Cardinals held the fourth-overall pick in the 2024 NFL Draft and the odds favored them taking Marvin Harrison Jr. The Ohio State wide receiver was given -275 odds to be the fourth pick. Michigan quarterback JJ McCarthy had the second-best odds at +700.

Arizona would take MHJ with the fourth pick.

2024 Odds to Be 5th-Overall Pick

The Los Angeles Chargers held the fifth-overall pick in the 2024 NFL Draft, and after releasing Mike Williams and trading Keenan Allen, it made a lot of sense for Malik Nabers to be the favorite to be selected with this pick. Nabers was given +230 odds to be the fifth pick.

However, we saw some massive movement one day before the draft, as JC Latham came out of nowhere to become the new favorite with +250 odds. This was rather unusual when you consider Joe Alt is still given the best odds to be the first offensive lineman off the board.

JJ McCarthy once again has short odds to be taken with this pick, as the Chargers very well could have opted to trade back and try to address more holes on their roster. Nabers’ odds have faded to +400 ahead of the draft, the third-best.

The Chargers would stay put and address their offensive line needs, taking Joe Alt.

2024 Odds to Be a Top 5 Pick

While players like Jayden Daniels, Drake Maye, and Marvin Harrison Jr were tough to bet, the fifth player to go in the top five is much more uncertain.

2024 Odds to Be 6th-Overall Pick

With the New York Giants holding the sixth-overall pick in the NFL Draft, Malik Nabers was the favorite to be selected. If the G-Men were going to stick with Daniel Jones / not move up for a QB, they’d be smart to bring in a true #1 wide receiver. Nabers is exactly that.

The Giants followed through on this and took Nabers with the sixth pick.

2024 Odds to Be 7th-Overall Pick

Joe Alt was the favorite to be selected with the seventh-overall pick, which was held by the Tennessee Titans. Brian Callahan brings a much different offensive mindset than Tennessee has had under Mike Vrabel, and they spent big in free agency to provide Will Levis with weapons, namely Calvin Ridley. Sportsbooks strongly believed Tennessee would make an investment to keep Levis upright.

Tennessee did exactly that, but Alt was not on the board for them to take. The Titans went with JC Latham instead.

2024 Odds to Be 8th-Overall Pick

The Atlanta Falcons held the eighth-overall pick and Dallas Turner was favored to be selected in this spot. The Falcons already had a very exciting arsenal of weapons and added Kirk Cousins in free agency. After recording the 12th-fewest sacks last season, it would have made sense for Atlanta to add a great pass-rusher.

However, we saw Atlanta shock the football world and take Michael Penix Jr with the eighth-overall pick.

2024 Odds to Be 9th-Overall Pick

Two days prior to the draft, we saw a new favorite emerge to be the ninth-overall pick. Byron Murphy was the favorite with +170 odds.

Wide receiver Rome Odunze was the favorite to be selected with the ninth-overall pick, but closed with the second-best odds. The Bears entered draft night with this pick, and they kept it to take Odunze.

2024 Odds to Be 10th-Overall Pick

Brock Bowers was heavily favored to be the tenth player selected in the 2024 NFL Draft. The New York Jets held this pick heading into draft night and didn’t really have a true receiving threat at tight end right now.

However, the Jets would trade this pick to the Vikings, who would select QB JJ McCarthy.

NFL Draft Position Over/Unders

Sportsbooks were a little slow opening up draft position over/unders in 2024, but did start seeing over/unders for most of the players projected to be first-round picks, as well as a handful of second-rounders, about a week prior to the draft.

Joe Alt Draft Position

Joe Alt’s draft position over/under was set at 7.5.

Brock Bowers Draft Position

Brock Bowers’ draft position over/under was set at 10.5.

Taliese Fuaga Draft Position

Taliese Fuaga’s draft position over/under was set at 13.5.

Olu Fashanu Draft Position

Olu Fashanu’s draft position over/under was set at 13.5.

JC Latham Draft Position

JC Latham’s draft position over/under was set at 10.5.

Quinyon Mitchell Draft Position

Quinyon Mitchell’s draft position over/under was set at 15.5.

Terrion Arnold Draft Position

Terrion Arnold’s draft position over/under was set at 15.5.

Jared Verse Draft Position

Jared Verse’s draft position over/under was set at 17.5 at some sportsbooks, but 19.5 at others.

Laiatu Latu Draft Position

Laiatu Latu’s draft position over/under was set at 16.5.

Brian Thomas Jr Draft Position

Brian Thomas Jr’s draft position over/under was set at 19.5 at some sportsbooks, but others listed it at 21.5.

Graham Barton Draft Position

Graham Barton’s draft position over/under was set at 20.5.

Cooper DeJean Draft Position

Cooper DeJean’s draft position over/under was set at 23.5.

Adonai Mitchell Draft Position

Adoni Mitchell’s draft position over/under was set at 27.5. at most sportsbooks, but others listed 28.5.

Xavier Worthy Draft Position

Xavier Worthy’s draft position over/under was set at 27.5.

Jer’Zhan Newton Draft Position

Jer’Zhan Newton’s draft position over/under was set at 29.5.

Bo Nix Draft Position

As one of the biggest mysteries of the draft, Bo Nix’s draft position over/under was set at 32.5.

2024 Odds to Be First Player Selected at Each Position

Sportsbooks offered odds on who the first player selected at each playing position would be in the 2024 NFL Draft. Like above, I cut down on the number of players being shown for each NFL Draft prop.

Odds to Be First Quarterback Selected in 2024

Most sportsbooks shut this market down early, as Caleb Williams was almost certainly going to be the first-overall pick in the NFL Draft, which would make him the first QB taken. You can see a breakdown of what the odds were below:

Caleb Williams was heavily favored to be the first quarterback selected in the 2024 NFL Draft with -1200 odds. Rounding out the top five contenders to be the first QB taken were: Jayden Daniels (+700), Drake Maye (+850), JJ McCarthy (+3000), and Michael Penix Jr (+9000).

Daniels saw a massive rise up the board. When these odds opened, the LSU product was given the tenth-best odds. He improved to the second-best, thanks to a strong final season in college as well as a couple college QBs deciding to stay in school for another year.

Odds to Be First Non-QB Selected in 2024

Marvin Harrison Jr was favored to be the first non-quarterback selected in the 2024 NFL Draft with -500 odds. MHJ’s odds improved dramatically since the college season ended. The Ohio State product was the favorite with -135 odds in late 2023.

Olumuyiwa Fashanu, an offensive tackle for Penn State, was given the second-best odds when this betting market opened. Jared Verse, a defensive end for Florida State, overtook him for the second-best odds later on in the college season, but Verse has slipped too. Once given +300 odds, Verse was getting +1100 odds at close and was fourth on the board. Joe Alt, a tackle from Notre Dame, quickly held the second-best odds, but he too was overtaken, as Malik Nabers climbed up the board.

MHJ was the first non-QB taken at pick #4.

Odds to Be First Running Back Selected in 2024

Though Blake Corum may have been the most popular running back in the NCAA last season, it was Texas’ Jonathon Brooks who was the favorite to be the first RB taken in the draft. Brooks had overtaken Florida State’s Trey Benson in the week leading up to the NFL Draft.

Brooks was the first RB taken and he came off the board 46th to the Panthers.

Odds to Be First Wide Receiver Selected in 2024

Marvin Harrison was the heavy favorite to be the first wide receiver selected. Malik Nabers had the second-best odds.

MHJ was the first WR taken, as he went fourth-overall to the Cardinals.

Odds to Be First Offensive Lineman Selected in 2024

Joe Alt was the favorite to be the first offensive lineman selected in the draft. Alt was given -600 odds. Taliese Fuaga was given the second-best odds.

The odds were correct here as the Chargers took Alt with the fifth-overall pick.

Odds to Be First Defensive Player Selected in 2024

Dallas Turner was the favorite to be the first defensive player selected in the draft. Quinyon Mitchell had the second-best odds for a long time, but Latu Laiatu took over ahead of the draft.

It was Latu who was the first defensive player taken, but he didn’t come off the board until pick 15.

Odds to Be First Defensive Lineman Selected in 2024

The odds to be the first DL/EDGE player selected favored Dallas Turner with Laiatu Latu close behind. Laiatu ended up being the first defensive lineman selected, going 15th to the Colts.

Odds to Be First Corner Selected in 2024

The odds said Quinyon Mitchell will be the first cornerback selected in the 2024 NFL Draft, and they were correct. Mitchell was taken 22nd by the Philadelphia Eagles.

2024 Total Players Drafted in the 1st Round at Each Position

Sportsbooks offered 2024 NFL Draft props on the total number of players taken in the first round at various playing positions. You can find each one below:

Total Quarterbacks Drafted in First Round in 2024

Though the odds favored both Michael Penix Jr and Bo Nix not being taken in the first round, over 4.5 quarterbacks being taken in the first round was still -260. (To be clear, this did make sense, since it only takes one of the two being drafted to push this prop over.)

The over cashed come pick 10, as the fifth QB had come off the board to the Vikings. Denver added on with a QB of their own, making it six QBs taken in the first round.

Total Offensive Linemen Drafted in First Round in 2024

Though not many offensive linemen are projected to go in the first ten picks of the 2024 NFL Draft, sportsbooks expected to see a pretty good run on linemen after that. The total for offensive linemen taken in the first round was set at 9.5 and the over was given -194 odds.

The under cashed here as only nine offensive linemen were taken.

Total Wide Receivers Drafted in First Round in 2024

Just about everyone was certain the likes of Marvin Harrison Jr, Malik Nabers, and Rome Odunze would be taken very early in the first round, but sportsbooks favored under 6.5 WRs being taken in the first round.

The over cashed at plus-money here, as seven wide receivers were taken.

Total Cornerbacks Drafted in First Round in 2024

The odds at sportsbooks heavily favored under 5.5 corners being selected in the first round.

The under cashed as only three corners were taken.

2024 Team to Draft a Player Odds

Sportsbooks made odds on which team will draft certain players available. It was not a very lengthy list, but it did include some of the 2024 NFL Draft’s biggest names, including Marvin Harrison Jr, JJ McCarthy, and Brock Bowers among others. The players can be found below in alphabetical order.

Each player featured below had odds to be drafted by all 32 teams that can be found at the sportsbooks, but I cut it down to the top contenders for the sake of space.

Odds on Team to Draft Blake Corum

Blake Corum’s coach at Michigan, Jim Harbaugh, is now the head coach for the Los Angeles Chargers. Harbaugh’s new team is the favorite to select his old running back.

However, it was the LA Rams who drafted Corum in the third round.

Odds on Team to Draft Bo Nix

The Denver Broncos were heavy favorites to draft Bo Nix, with the Minnesota Vikings and Las Vegas Raiders possessing the second-best odds. The oddsmakers got this one right, as Denver did draft Nix with the 12th-overall pick.

Odds on Team to Draft Brock Bowers

The New York Jets were the favorites to draft TE Brock Bowers. They were well ahead of the pack with +145 odds. The team with the next-best odds was the Colts at +350.

The Jets went offensive line with their first pick, though, and Indianapolis stayed put at 15. Bowers went off the board 13th to the Raiders.

Odds on Team to Draft JJ McCarthy

The Minnesota Vikings were heavily favored to draft JJ McCarthy with +170 odds. The Patriots were given the second-best odds at +380. It was in fact the Vikings who drafted McCarthy with the 10th-overall pick.

Odds on Team to Draft Jayden Daniels

The Washington Commanders were the favorites to draft Jayden Daniels, and they did take the LSU product with the second-overall pick.

Odds on Team to Draft Marvin Harrison Jr

The Arizona Cardinals were heavy favorites to draft Marvin Harrison Jr, and they did take him with the fourth-overall pick.

Odds on Team to Draft Michael Penix Jr

The Raiders were listed as the favorites to draft Michael Penix Jr. However, Atlanta shocked everyone and drafted Penix with the eighth-overall pick.

Odds on Team to Draft Xavier Worthy

The Buffalo Bills and Kansas City Chiefs were given the best odds to draft Xavier Worthy, the new record-holder for the fastest 40-yard dash. The Bills and Chiefs were given +500 odds, while the Dolphins were next with +750 odds.

It was the Chiefs who moved up, getting a deal done with the Bills to acquire their 28th-overall pick, and took Worthy.

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2024 NFL Draft Order – First Round

The 2023-24 NFL season concluded and we have the order set for the entire first round of the 2024 NFL Draft. You can see who holds picks 1-32 in the table above. To be clear, the order above was what we headed into the draft with. Many trades were made on draft night, but I did not capture those above.

The Chicago Bears held the first-overall pick, thanks to their trade with the Panthers last year, while the Kansas City Chiefs were set to make the final pick (32nd) of the first round. That changed when they traded up, and then the Bills traded the 32nd pick as well. It was Carolina who made the final pick of the first round.

Closing Odds to Have 1st Overall Pick in 2024 NFL Draft

To start the 2023 NFL season, the Arizona Cardinals had the lowest NFL win total and the best odds to finish the season with the fewest regular season wins. This would suggest they were the favorite to get the first pick in the 2024 NFL Draft. However, Carolina’s struggles early in the season have moved them to the favorites to get the first-overall pick / finish with the worst regular season record.

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2023 NFL Draft Odds

I tracked all the 2023 NFL Draft odds and props available across all sportsbooks. Among others, you will find odds to be taken with the first overall pick in the 2023 NFL Draft, draft position over/unders, first player taken at each position, and many more.

The 2023 NFL Draft took place Thursday, April 27 in Kansas City, Missouri. Bryce Young was selected first overall, but he wasn’t always the favorite. See how the 2023 NFL Draft odds changed below.

The odds in the graphs below are an average from multiple sportsbooks and were updated with every major change.

2023 NFL Draft Odds on First Overall Pick

Alabama’s Bryce Young is the heavy odds-on favorite to be selected with the first overall pick in the 2023 NFL Draft. Ohio State’s CJ Stroud opened as the favorite, saw Young take over as the favorite in early January, took back over as the favorite after the Panthers traded up for the first pick, but has now seen Young take back the top spot just a few weeks away from the draft.

Sportsbooks must have felt the Panthers were big fans of Stroud, but some potential insider info obviously had them doubting that in early April. Bryce Young canceling his other draft meetings after visiting with the Panthers has now turned him into an extremely heavy favorite.

Odds to Be 2023 First-Overall NFL Pick

Unlike last year, there are a ton of quarterbacks atop the odds to be the first overall pick in the 2023 NFL Draft. All of the top four options are QBs. The favorite right now is Alabama’s Bryce Young, who is given -5000 odds to go first overall. If you put a $20 bet on Stroud to be the first pick, you’d only win $0.40 and return $20.40.

In a surprise turn of events in the final couple days leading up to the NFL Draft, the second-best odds to be the first-overall pick belonged to Will Levis. The Kentucky product saw his odds go from +4000 to +425 on Tuesday morning but has now faded back to +1200, the same odds as CJ Stroud. Rounding out the top five are Anthony Richardson (+5000), and Will Anderson (+10000).

*Odds as of April 27 at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Here are some notes on the odds movement we’ve seen:

• [April 27] The Carolina Panthers did select Bryce Young with the first-overall pick in the 2023 NFL Draft.
• [April 27] On draft day, Bryce Young’s odds to be the first-overall pick have gone from -1600 to -5000. Sportsbooks are saying it is a near certainty that the Panthers draft him with the first pick.
• [April 25] Just two days prior to the NFL Draft, we have seen major movement behind the favorite, Bryce Young, to go first-overall. We’re not sure how much of this is due to a Reddit thread, where someone claimed they just spoke to Levis and he was told the Panthers would be taking him, but the move was quick. Levis’ odds went from +4000 all the way down to +400.
• [April 17] After meeting with the Panthers, who hold the first-overall pick in the 2023 NFL Draft, Bryce Young has canceled all his other draft meetings. This has led to speculation that Carolina informed Young they would be taking him, and the Alabama QB’s odds have gone from -120 to -1400 as a result. CJ Stroud has faded from -105 to +700, which are still the second-best odds to go first-overall.
• [April 8] Bryce Young has taken back over as the favorite to be selected first overall in the 2023 NFL Draft. The move comes without any direct cause in the news. This is likely the result of some insider info. Young’s odds improved from +240 to -120, while CJ Stroud, who was the favorite prior to Easter weekend, slipped from -330 to -105. With both Young and Stroud having short odds, the result has been Anthony Richardson’s odds plummeting from +900 to +2000.
• [March 23] A little over a month away from the NFL Draft we have seen some of the Anthony Richardson hype start to cool. Richardson’s odds to be taken with the first pick went from +450 to +750, still third-best on the board, though.
• [March 10] The Carolina Panthers have traded with the Bears for the first-overall pick in the 2023 NFL Draft. After the trade was announced, CJ Stroud’s odds to be selected first went from +300 to -425, making him the overwhelming favorite. Bruce Young’s odds faded from -200 to +380. Basically every defensive player saw their odds fade dramatically due to the likelihood of the Panthers only making this move if they are going to get a QB.
• [March 6] After an outstanding performance at the NFL Combine, Anthony Richardson’s odds to be taken first overall have continued improving. Richardson went from +650 to +350 now, tying him with CJ Stroud for the second-best odds on the board, only behind Bryce Young.
• [March 2] Jalen Carter’s odds to go first overall have plummeted from +850 to +2500 after the defensive lineman was arrested on charges of reckless driving and racing in connection with a crash that killed a former Bulldogs teammate and staff member. As a result, edge rusher Will Anderson saw his odds improve from +1200 to +650. Anderson took over the best odds among non-QBs to go first overall.
• [February 24] Florida QB Anthony Richardson has seen his odds to be taken first overall make massive moves lately. As recently as mid-February, Richardson’s odds were +10000. Those odds have been steadily improving in the second half of February, now landing at just +750, which are the fourth-best odds on the board.
• [January 25] Kentucky quarterback Will Levis has been receiving a lot of buzz as the leadup to the NFL Draft begins. Some scouts have been rumored to like Levis more than Bryce Young and CJ Stroud. As a result, Levis’ odds to be taken first overall have improved from +1500 to +550.
• [January 10] Young remains the odds-on favorite to be selected first-overall after the Chicago Bears finished the regular season with the worst record, therefore claiming the first pick in the draft. There is already much speculation of the Bears preparing to trade the first pick with them already having Justin Fields in the organization.
• [January 3] In spite of CJ Stroud looking very good against the Georgia defense in the CFP semifinals, and almost upsetting the reigning national champs, Bryce Young has become the odds-on favorite to be selected with the first pick in the 2023 NFL Draft. Young’s odds improved from +153 to -118.
• [December 6] Stroud and Young are now listed as co-favorites to go first overall in the NFL Draft as we approach college football bowl season.
• [September 7] Bryce Young has started taking over as the favorite at some online sportsbooks. Stroud is still the favorite at DraftKings, but Young is atop the board at Caesars Sportsbook, and listed as co-favorite alongside Stroud at FanDuel.
• [April 29] Ohio State quarterback CJ Stroud has opened as the favorite to go first-overall in the 2023 NFL Draft at +200 odds. Bryce Young is a close second at +225.

Odds to Be a Top Pick in 2023 NFL Draft

As of April 18, Will Anderson took over as the favorite to be the second-overall pick, which is currently held by the Houston Texans. Prior to April 18, it was either Bryce Young or CJ Stroud given the best odds to go second-overall. As of April 25, Will Levis took over as the new favorite to be the second-overall pick. That only lasted a day, though, as Tyree Wilson became the favorite for the first time on Wednesday. As of draft day, we are back to Will Anderson being the heavy favorite to go second-overall.

The favorite to go third-overall depended on where you were looking. DraftKings had Paris Johnson Jr while others have Will Anderson on Wednesday. As of Thursday, all sportsbooks have come to a consensus with CJ Stroud being the favorite. This means sportsbooks feel the Cardinals will move down.

Will Levis was the favorite to go fourth-overall to the Colts for a very long time, but that came to an end today. Sportsbooks now either list Levis and Anthony Richardson as co-favorites or Richardson as the lone favorite.

Anthony Richardson enjoyed a brief moment of being the favorite to go fifth-overall but Jalen Carter now holds that title.

The table below showcases the odds to be a top 5, 10, and 31 (first round) pick.

You see a lot of blanks in the table above because sportsbooks don’t want to offer odds propositions they believe are certainties, such as Will Levis being a top ten or first-round pick in the 2023 NFL Draft. Some of the more interesting odds above are as follows:

• Hendon Hooker now being favored to be selected in the first-round. Hooker was believed to be an early second-round pick up until a couple days ago.
• Paris Johnson Jr being -475 to be a top ten pick – this one has corrected itself since I highlighted it. I hope many of you jumped on it! Johnson’s over/under was set at 9.5 with the over favored. The under is now heavily favored with the line movement.
• Kelee Ringo being +200 to be a first-round pick – Ringo has been one of the most up-and-down prospects in the draft depending on which sportsbook you take your odds from.

2023 Draft Position Over/Unders

Sportsbooks have been a little shy about opening draft position over/unders this year. We will continue to update the table above as more odds become available. When betting this prop, keep in mind the “under” means they will be selected before that pick, while the “over” means they will be selected after that pick.

No more than a month ago, Anthony Richardson’s over/under was set at 3.5 with the under heavily favored. His line is now 4.5 with the over favored. Tyree Wilson is another player who has seen swift movement. He was favored to be the second-overall pick on Wednesday, but is now seeing an over/under of 4.5 with the over favored.

2023 Odds to Be Second Quarterback Selected in NFL Draft

CJ Stroud was originally the favorite to be the first QB taken in the 2023 NFL Draft, but Bryce Young took over as the favorite up until March 10, when the Panthers traded up for the first overall pick. Carolina’s move up the board resulted in heavy line movement in Stroud’s favor, making him the favorite again. That changed again over Easter weekend, though. Young is now given -1000 odds to be the first quarterback off the board in April. Stroud still had the second-best odds at +700 when odds were last available on Monday. Sportsbooks have now closed this prop down as they believe Young is a near certainty to go first-overall.

The table above is now odds to be the second QB taken, where Will Levis surprisingly overtook CJ Stroud as the favorite as of Tuesday. Levis was given -190 odds at the time. Stroud has taken back over on draft day with -250 odds.

Stroud was the second QB taken, going second-overall to the Texans.

Odds as of April 27 at DraftKings Sportsbook.

2023 Odds to Be First Running Back Selected in NFL Draft

Based on the betting odds, there is no greater certainty in the NFL Draft than Bijan Robinson being the first running back selected. Robinson is given -10000 odds with Jahmyr Gibbs having the second-best odds at +1000.

To the surprise of few, Robinson was the first running back taken.

2023 Odds to Be First Wide Receiver Selected in NFL Draft

Odds to be the first WR taken in the 2023 NFL Draft opened in late-January. Jordan Addison out of USC opened as the favorite, but saw Quentin Johnston (TCU) overtake him. After the NFL Combine, there is a new name favored to be the first WR taken: Jaxon Smith-Njigba. The former Ohio State receiver is the odds-on favorite at -300.

Addison has seen his odds plummet from +275 to +800 after a mediocre showing at the NFL Combine that included him exiting with a back injury.

Zay Flowers (+250), Jordan Addison (+800), Quentin Johnston (+800), and Jalin Hyatt (+3000) round out the top five contenders.

Smith-Njigba was the first wide receiver taken, as he set off a run of four straight WRs selected.

Odds as of April 27 at DraftKings Sportsbook.

2023 Odds to Be First Tight End Selected in NFL Draft

Odds to be the first TE selected in the 2023 NFL Draft opened after the NFL Combine. Dalton Kincaid opened as the favorite, but Michael Mayer took over as the favorite shortly after. Following Easter weekend, we saw this flip-flop again, with Kincaid back to being the favorite. It has shifted again during the week of the NFL Draft with Mayer favored again at -180.

The Bills made Kincaid the first tight end taken, selecting the Utah pass-catcher 25th-overall. Mayer wasn’t even the second tight end taken, as Sam LaPorta went one pick before Mayer in the second round.

2023 Odds to Be First Offensive Lineman Selected in NFL Draft

After the NFL Combine wrapped up, sportsbooks released odds on the first offensive lineman to be selected in the 2023 NFL Draft. Paris Johnson Jr opened as the favorite but Peter Skoronski took over shortly after. We now see Johnson Jr listed as the heavy favorite at -450 with Skoronski next on the board at +500.

Paris Johnson Jr was the first offensive lineman selected, going sixth-overall to the Cardinals.

2023 Odds to Be First Defensive Player Selected in NFL Draft

Former Georgia defensive tackle Jalen Carter was the favorite to be the first defensive player taken in the 2023 NFL Draft, but saw his odds fade since being arrested on charges of reckless driving and racing. Carter’s odds went from +110 to +700 now, allowing Will Anderson and Tyree Wilson to jump him on the board.

Anderson was the new favorite to be the first defensive player taken up until draft week, when Tyree Wilson  took over as the favorite. As of Thursday, Anderson has taken back over as the favorite with -350 odds.

It was Anderson who was the first defensive player selected, going third-overall to the Texans.

2023 Odds to Be First Linebacker Selected in NFL Draft

Jack Campbell opened as the favorite to be the first linebacker selected in the 2023 NFL Draft, but Drew Sanders took over in early April. As of Tuesday, Campbell was back to being the favorite with +100 odds. That changed again less than 24 hours later as Sanders is favored at -250 now. Keep in mind, sportsbooks are referring to inside (or off-ball) linebackers here. They are not including outside linebackers or stand-up edge rushers.

Surprisingly, Campbell was the first linebacker taken in the 2023 NFL Draft. Anyone who bet him enjoyed a 3-1 payout.

2023 Odds to Be First Cornerback Selected in NFL Draft

Christian Gonzalez was the heavy favorite to be the first corner selected in the NFL Draft. Gonzalez opened with -190 odds but has since faded to +180 as Devon Witherspoon has taken over as the favorite. Witherspoon is now given -300 odds to be the first corner taken.

Witherspoon was in fact the first corner taken in the 2023 NFL Draft.

Odds to Make the First Pick in 2023 NFL Draft

Though the Chicago Bears held the first overall pick in the 2023 NFL Draft, it was unlikely they would actually make the selection since they have committed to Justin Fields as their starting QB. So, sportsbooks were allowing you to bet on which team will make the first selection.

The Houston Texans were the favorites to make a trade with the Bears to acquire the first overall pick. Houston’s odds were -135. The Colts had the next best odds at +225. The Bears were given +750 odds to hold onto the pick.

This bet has all but settled now, though, as the Panthers have traded up to acquire the first pick from the Chicago Bears. Carolina gives up the ninth-overall pick, 61st-overall pick, a 2024 first-round pick, a 2025 second-round pick, and DJ Moore. Anyone who bet the Panthers is going to be receiving 3-1 off their risk.

2023 NFL Draft Order – First Round

With the 2022-23 NFL season wrapping up, we now know the complete NFL Draft order. You can see the entire first round above.

You will notice there are only 31 picks in the first-round of the 2023 NFL Draft, but there are 32 teams in the NFL. This is because the Miami Dolphins forfeited their own first-round pick after an investigation showed the team violated league policies around the integrity of the game—they spoke with Tom Brady and Sean Payton while both were still under contract. This is very important to keep in mind when betting on players to be taken in the first round of the draft. Be sure you read the market carefully, as there will be a difference between the first round and the first 32 picks.

Odds to Have the First Overall Pick in 2023 NFL Draft

Odds as of September 7.

To start the 2022 NFL season, the Houston Texans had the lowest NFL win total and the best odds to finish the season with the fewest regular season wins. This would suggest they are the favorite to get the first pick in the 2023 NFL Draft at this point.

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2022 NFL Draft Odds

I tracked all the 2022 NFL Draft odds and props available across all sportsbooks. Among others, I have odds to be taken with the first overall pick in the 2022 NFL Draft, draft position over/unders, first player taken at each position, among others.

The Jacksonville Jaguars selected first-overall in the 2022 NFL Draft, which began Thursday, April 28 and ran through April 30. They selected Georgia standout pass-rusher Travon Walker.

The odds in the graphs below are an average from multiple sportsbooks and were be updated with every major change.

2022 NFL Draft Odds on First Overall Pick

Georgia’s Travon Walker is the new favorite to be selected first-overall in the 2022 NFL Draft. He overtook Michigan’s Aidan Hutchinson as the favorite just a few days before the draft.

Walker’s odds are as short as -450 at Caesars Sportsbook.

2022 Odds to Be First-Overall NFL Pick

*Odds as of April 28

If you bet $20 on Walker, the favorite to be taken first-overall, at his -450 odds on Caesars Sportsbook, you’d only stand to win $4.44 and return $24.44. If you think Jacksonville likes Aidan Hutchinson better, a $20 bet on the Michigan product at +500 odds would win you $100 and return $120.

Here are some notes on the odds movement we’ve seen:

• [April 28] The Jacksonville Jaguars selected Travon Walker with the first-overall pick in the 2022 NFL Draft
• [April 28] Odds have continued to move in Travon Walker’s favor to be the first-overall pick in the 2022 NFL Draft. Walker is now -450 to be the first player taken in tonight’s draft. Aidan Hutchinson’s odds have continued to slide, going from +160 to +430. Ikem Ekwonu now has the second-best odds to be the first pick.
• [April 25] Travon Walker’s rise up the board continues as he has now reached the top. Walker is the new favorite to go first-overall in the latest NFL Draft odds. The Georgia pass-rusher is the fourth different player to be listed as the favorite. Walker’s odds have shortened to -220, while Aidan Hutchinson has the second-best odds at +160.
• [April 13] Aidan Hutchinson’s odds to be the first-overall pick have improved from -220 to -275. Travon Walker’s odds have also improved from +350 to +275.
• [April 4] Malik Willis’ odds to be taken first-overall have gone from +3000 to +1000, which are the third-best odds on the board. Willis’ improving odds would suggest sportsbooks feel Jacksonville may be open to trading the first pick in the 2022 NFL Draft, since they already took Trevor Lawrence first-overall last year.
• [March 24] Prior to the month of March, former Georgia defensive end Travon Walker was not even on the board for odds to go first-overall. However, after showing off extremely rare athleticism at the NFL Combine, he found himself with +2267 odds to be taken first in the 2022 NFL Draft. Walker’s odds have taken another huge leap, as he now has the second-best odds to go first-overall. His +450 odds only trail Aidan Hutchinson. His insane move up the board has resulted in just about everyone else’s odds taking a hit.
• [March 15] The Jaguars have continued addressing their needs on the offensive line through free agency, adding Brandon Scherff to the mix. The result to the odds to go first overall in the NFL Draft has been Aidan Hutchinson moving from a -150 favorite to a wild -400 favorite. All of Ekwonu, Neal, and Thibodeaux saw their odds fade significantly.
• [March 8] With the Jaguars placing the franchise tag on Cam Robinson, Aidan Hutchinson is back to being the favorite to go first overall in the 2022 NFL Draft. Hutchinson’s odds went from +550 to -150 in a matter of 24 hours. The former Michigan edge rusher overtakes Evan Neal as the favorite, and even saw Ikem Ekwonu given better odds as recently as yesterday. But offensive tackle becomes less of a need for Jacksonville with them keeping Robinson. Neal and Ekwonu’s odds dropped to +380. Even Kayvon Thibodeaux sees some positive movement in the odds to be taken first with this news, going from +1800 to +800.
• [March 7] After a very strong showing at the NFL Combine, Ikem Ekwonu has seen his odds to be taken first-overall improve dramatically. Ekwonu was as long as +800 only a couple of weeks ago, but is now given 2-1 odds or better at almost all sportsbooks. FOX Bet even has him listed as the odds-on favorite over Evan Neal. Every other sportsbook still lists Neal as the favorite, though, with DraftKings being the lone book to call him the odds-on favorite to go first overall still.
• [March 4] Evan Neal has become the odds-on favorite to be selected first-overall in the 2022 NFL Draft after a picture of the big tackle began circulating yesterday, displaying his impressive physique at nearly 240 pounds. The Alabama product appears to be basically all muscle. His odds improved from +165 in late February to -120 now. Ikem Ekwonu, who is believed to be the second-best tackle in the draft, also saw his odds improve from +800 to +400 following a meeting with the Jaguars, who hold the first-overall pick. Kayvon Thibodeaux, on the other hand, saw his fall from the top continue. Once the favorite, Thibodeaux saw his odds fade to +425 in February and is now listed as long as +1200.
• [February 23] Alabama offensive tackle Evan Neal has become the new favorite to be selected first overall in the 2022 NFL Draft. This lines up with Jacksonville’s, who holds the first-overall pick, need for help up front of the offensive line. Kayvon Thibodeaux, who was the favorite for a while, has seen his odds fade all the way to +425.
• [January 19] Michigan defensive end Aidan Hutchinson has overtaken Kayvon Thibodeaux for the best odds to be selected first-overall in the 2022 NFL Draft.
• [October 26] Kayvon Thibodeaux has become the odds-on favorite to be taken first-overall in the 2022 NFL Draft. The Oregon defensive end has recorded three sacks in his last two games. Spencer Rattler, on the other hand, was benched a couple weeks ago and a transfer from Oklahoma seems possible. Rattler’s odds to be taken first-overall have now plummeted to +2000.
• [September 29] Oregon pass-rusher Kayvon Thibodeaux has become the new favorite to be taken first-overall in the 2022 NFL Draft, despite dealing with an ankle injury early in the season. Thibodeaux becoming the favorite is more about Oklahoma’s Spencer Rattler struggling early in the season, though.
• [July 27] Spencer Rattler remains the favorite to be taken first overall at most sportsbooks, but some list UNC quarterback Sam Howell as the favorite to go first overall
• [May 13] Oklahoma quarterback Spencer Rattler has opened as the favorite to be selected first overall in the 2022 NFL Draft

2022 Odds to Be 2nd-Overall Pick

*Odds as of April 28

The Detroit Lions hold the second overall pick in the 2022 NFL Draft. Their positions of need include safety, edge defender, linebacker, and wide receiver. Sportsbooks obviously don’t believe there’s a wide receiver worth taking at no. 2, as no receivers are even on the board.

Though Aidan Hutchinson was heavily favored to go first overall, he also opened as the favorite to go second overall. Hutchinson was only a slight favorite here, given +290 odds, as safety Kyle Hamilton is a close second at +300.

However, within hours of the odds opening, they changed dramatically. Malik Willis and Kyle Hamilton were listed as the co-favorites to be selected with the second-overall pick, each given +380 odds. Willis’ odds opened at a lengthy +750. Hutchinson’s odds faded to +500 at this point.

As of late March, though, Hamilton had pulled away as the favorite with +350 odds compared to Willis’ +400 odds. That changed as we entered April. Hamilton’s odds are now as long as +1600 as Hutchinson took over as the favorite.

One player picking up serious steam is Travon Walker. The Georgia product was given +1000 odds to go second-overall when odds opened, but had shortened to just +350, the second-best odds on the board. He was only behind Aidan Hutchinson for the best odds to be taken second-overall, until he overtook Hutchinson as the favorite to go first-overall on April 25.

For a brief period during the week before the NFL Draft, Kayvon Thibodeax had become the favorite to be taken second-overall by the Lions. Thibodeaux now has the second-best odds as Hutchinson is back to being the odds-on favorite to go second. Hutchinson’s odds are listed at -210 compared to Thibodeaux’s +150.

2022 Odds to Be 3rd-Overall Pick

*Odds as of April 28

The Houston Texans hold the third-overall pick in the 2022 NFL Draft. When looking up and down their roster, it is tough to find a position of strength. The Texans could really go in any direction with this pick. If they decide to go with the best player on the board, that is likely to be either Ikem Ekwonu or Evan Neal, the top two offensive tackles in this year’s draft.

Ekwonu opened as the favorite to be selected third-overall by the Texans, given +195 odds, slightly better than Neal at +210. However, it only took a couple hours for those odds to flip. Neal became the favorite at +210, with Ekwonu at +220. Malik Willis’ odds improved significantly in the first couple hours of these odds being open, going from +1200 to +700.

As of late March, Ekwonu had reclaimed the top spot with +200 odds compared to Neal’s +230. The gap between the two has continued to widen to start April. Neither of these two offensive linemen find their names atop the odds board to go third-overall the week of the NFL Draft, though.

The new co-favorites to be taken by the Texans were Travon Walker and Ahmad Gardner as of Monday. They were each given +350 odds to be taken third, but now Derek Stingley has taken over as the favorite on draft day with -105 odds. Stingley was as long as +600 a few days ago.

2022 Odds to Be 4th-Overall Pick

*Odds as of April 28 at FanDuel

Odds to be the fourth-overall pick in the 2022 NFL Draft opened in early April. The New York Jets currently hold the fourth pick in the draft. The Jets could really benefit from some help on either line, offensive or defensive, but specifically a good pass-rusher, a good safety, linebacker, and another wide receiver.

Kayvon Thibodeaux, a highly-touted pass-rusher from Oregon, opened as the favorite to be the fourth-overall pick with +300 odds. Jermaine Johnson and Travon Walker, both pass-rushers, were also given short odds to be taken in this spot by the Jets.

As of mid-April, Ahmad “Sauce” Gardner is now listed as the co-favorite to be taken fourth-overall, alongside Thibodeaux. The week of the draft has seen Thibodeaux take back the top spot on the board, with +175 odds to go fourth-overall, only to give it right back to Gardner on draft day. Sauce is now as short as +150 to be taken fourth-overall. Thibodeaux has faded all the way back to +900.

2022 Odds to Be 5th-Overall Pick

*Odds as of April 28

Odds to be selected with the fifth pick in the 2022 NFL Draft opened in early April. The New York Giants currently hold the fifth-overall pick, and appear to be in need of offensive linemen, an inside linebacker (or two), and even some help on the edge.

Ikem Ekwonu and Evan Neal, two offensive linemen, opened as the co-favorites be taken fifth in the draft. Ekwonu broke away as the favorite, though, as we approach the draft. A pass-rusher comes up third on the board, as Kayvon Thibodeaux is given +350 odds.

The week of the draft has now seen Ekwonu and Neal listed as co-favorites again, as fellow offensive lineman Charles Cross sees his odds improve from +1000 to +450. On draft day, we’ve now seen Cross leap both Ekwonu and Neal to be the new favorite to go fifth-overall.

2022 NFL Draft Position Over/Unders

Lines above as of April 25

When looking to bet player draft position over/unders, be sure you understand what you are betting. If you bet the over, you are saying that player will be drafted later than the line set. If you bet the under, you are saying the player will be drafted earlier than the line set.

Sportsbooks have started opening some lines for the top prospects in the 2022 NFL Draft, but we will see plenty more become available over the next couple of weeks.

One interesting line from above is Evan Neal, who opened with a line of 1.5, but the line has fallen all the way to 3.5 with the over listed at -145 odds. This has come as a result of the Jaguars using the franchise tag on offensive tackle Cam Robinson and signing Brandon Scherff in free agency. The odds even favor Ikem Ekwonu going ahead of Neal now.

Both Charles Cross and Kyle Hamilton have also seen their over/unders grow as we enter April.

Odds to Be a Top Pick in 2022 NFL Draft

Odds as of April 25

Odds to be a top five and top ten pick have opened at online sportsbooks. If you’re wondering why Aidan Hutchinson isn’t included above, it’s because sportsbooks are saying he’s a sure thing to be one of the first five players off the board on Thursday, April 28.

It’s the same reason players like Travon Walker, Ikem Ekwonu, and Evan Neal are given odds to be a top five pick, but do not have odds to be a top ten pick.

One player to watch is Jameson Williams, whose odds to be a top ten pick opened at +1500 but have not shortened to just +200. Derek Stingley is also seeing some strong movement leading up to the draft, as his odds to be a top five pick have gone from +2000 to just +350.

2022 Odds to Be First Quarterback Selected in NFL Draft

Odds as of April 25

The 2022 NFL Draft is not believed to be loaded with franchise-altering quarterbacks. It is highly likely we will see a position other than quarterback taken with the first-overall pick for the first time since 2017, when the Browns took Myles Garrett first overall.

It’s even reasonable to not see a QB selected in the top ten picks, should the Panthers, Falcons, and Seahawks opt to address other needs with the sixth, eighth, and ninth-overall picks, respectively.

Looking to the group of QB prospects, Pitt’s Kenny Pickett was given the best odds to be the first quarterback selected in the 2022 NFL Draft when betting lines opened. Pickett was the slight favorite over Liberty’s Malik Willis, but has seen Willis overtake him now.

Pickett’s odds went from +120 to +150 after the quarterback’s hands measured in at just 8.5 inches. Most NFL quarterbacks measure in around 9.5 inches, so Pickett’s hand is quite small. The last quarterback to have a successful NFL career with 8.5-inch hands was Mike Vick. Pickett is now listed as long as +200.

Willis’ odds improved from +150 to +110 on March 3rd, following Pickett’s hand measurement. His odds continued improving over the next 24 hours, landing Willis as the odds-on favorite as of Friday, March 4. The Liberty product is now given -140 odds to be the first QB taken in the 2022 NFL Draft. Pickett’s odds are also just +150, as this has really become a two-horse race. Desmond Ridder has seen his odds improve significantly as we lead up to draft night, landing at +1000, as Matt Corral and Sam Howell have seen their odds fade significantly.

2022 Odds to Be First Running Back Selected in NFL Draft

Odds as of April 25

Breece Hall, who played at Iowa State from 2019-2021, is the heavily favored to be the first running back taken in the 2022 NFL Draft. Hall is given -250 odds, meaning you’d have to bet $250 on him to just win $100.

Kenneth Walker has the second-best odds to be the first RB selected, listed at +280.

2022 Odds to Be First Wide Receiver Selected in NFL Draft

Odds as of April 25

Former Ohio State receiver Garrett Wilson has opened as the favorite to be the first wide receiver selected in the 2022 NFL Draft. Wilson’s odds were listed as short as +100, while USC product Drake London was a close second at +175 odds.

The odds shifted as we entered April, though, and the two were seen as co-favorites at +125 odds. Wilson has since broken away as the favorite again, and he’s now the odds-on favorite to be the first wide receiver taken at -125. Jameson Williams is making major moves on the board, as his odds have improved from +600 to +220, which are the second-best odds.

2022 Odds to Be First Offensive Lineman Selected in NFL Draft

Odds as of April 25

Though Evan Neal may have gotten more media attention during the NFL Combine, it is Ikem Ekwonu who is favored to be the first offensive lineman selected in the 2022 NFL Draft. Ekwonu’s odds are listed at -150, giving him a 60% implied probability of being the first OL to come off the board.

Neal is not far behind at +200, but these two were clearly above the rest of the field up until the week of the draft. Charles Cross has changed that, though, as his odds have improved from +1400 to +450 to be the first offensive lineman taken.

2022 Odds to Be First Linebacker Selected in NFL Draft

Odds as of April 25

Devin Lloyd has opened as the heavy odds-on favorite to be the first linebacker selected in the 2022 NFL Draft. Lloyd’s odds opened at -450, with Nakobe Dean given the second-best odds at +300. Lloyd’s odds have now improved to -550.

2022 Odds to Be First Corner Selected in NFL Draft

Odds as of April 25

**Derek Stingley Jr was surprisingly the first corner selected in the 2022 NFL Draft, offering a nice +250 (or longer) payday for those who bet him.

Ahmad Gardner is the favorite to be the first cornerback taken in the 2022 NFL Draft. Gardner is a heavy odds-on favorite at -500 odds, with Derek Stingley Jr listed second on the board at +250 odds.

2022 First Round Position Totals

Lines above as of April 25

Though quarterbacks may not be taken super early in the 2022 NFL Draft, the over/under for number of QBs selected in the first round was set at 3.5. Malik Willis and Kenny Pickett are almost certainties to be taken in the first round, and then sportsbooks obviously felt one of Matt Corral or Sam Howell had a shot as well. We’ve seen the over/under move to 2.5 now, though.

The odds say no running backs will be selected in the first round of the 2022 NFL Draft. The over/under on running backs taken in the first round is 0.5 with the under getting -190 odds. A running back has been taken in the first round of every draft since 2014, when Bishop Sankey was the first to come off the board at pick 54.

2022 NFL Draft College & Conference Props

The line for total SEC players taken in the first round of the 2022 NFL Draft is a whopping 10.5. The over is also favored with -135 odds. The next highest conference is the Big Ten, whose line is set at 6.5.

2022 Odds to Be First Georgia Bulldogs Player Drafted

**Travon Walker was the first Georgia Bulldog selected in the draft.

The reigning CFP national champions, the Georgia Bulldogs, have a ton of talented players entering the 2022 NFL Draft. The odds favor Travon Walker being the first one taken, with Jordan Davis in second with +750 odds. Walker is a heavy -1600 favorite.

It is notable that no offensive players are even given odds here.

2022 NFL Draft Order – First Round

The draft order above is accurate as of April 15. We will update here if any first-round picks are traded between now and April 28.

Odds to Select First Overall in 2022 NFL Draft

Odds to Pick First in 2022 NFL Draft

Odds as of October 26.

To start the 2021 NFL season, the Houston Texans had the lowest NFL win total. This would suggest they were the favorite to get the first pick in the 2022 NFL Draft at this point. The Detroit Lions were just ahead of them.

• [September 29] After the first three weeks of the NFL season, the Jacksonville Jaguars have emerged as the favorites to get the first pick in the 2022 NFL Draft. The Lions and Jets are just behind the Jaguars in the odds.

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2021 NFL Draft Odds

I tracked all the 2021 NFL Draft odds and props available across all sportsbooks. Among others, I have odds to be taken with the first five picks of the 2021 NFL Draft, player draft position over/unders, and first player drafted at each position.

The odds in the graphs below are an average from multiple sportsbooks and will be updated with every major change.

2021 Player Draft Position Over/Unders

Odds as of April 29

To be clear, if you bet the over on one of these players, you are saying he will be drafted later than the line listed. The under is saying he will be drafted earlier than the listed line.

Here are some notes on the movement we’ve seen in draft position over/unders:

• [April 29] Trey Lance’s draft position has just dropped to 3.5 with the under favored at -160. Mac Jones’ over/under is still listed at 3.5, but the over is now favored at -160. The under on Jones’ draft position was as short as -300 earlier today.
• [April 29] Despite Denver trading for Teddy Bridgewater, and potentially pulling themselves out of the market for a QB in the first round, Justin Fields and Trey Lance’s draft position over/unders remain at 7.5 and 6.5, respectively.
• [April 26] Justin Fields’ draft position had been hovering around 3.5 to 4.5 prior to today’s news of San Francisco apparently narrowing their decision to Mac Jones or Trey Lance. The result has been Fields’ draft position dropping to as low as 8.5 at FanDuel. It is 6.5 right now at DraftKings.
• [April 23] Najee Harris and Alijah Vera-Tucker have seen their draft positions increase significantly over the last week. Harris has gone from 29.5 to as low as 24.5 at some sportsbooks, while Vera-Tucker has moved from as low as 22.5 to now 15.5.

2021 Odds to Be a Top 5 and Top 10 Pick

Odds as of April 29

• [April 26] Justin Fields has gone from -250 odds to be selected in the top five to now even money. Micah Parsons has also seen his odds to be selected in the top ten completely fall off. Parsons was a near lock to be selected in the top ten at -500 odds at the beginning of April; he is now at an average of +120.

2021 Odds to Be Selected in First Round

Odds as of April 29

Odds to Be Selected First Overall in 2021 NFL Draft

2021 Odds to Be No. 1 Pick

*Odds as of April 29

Here are some notes on the odds movement we’ve seen:

• [April 29] Trevor Lawrence’s odds to go first-overall have reached a new best, as some sportsbooks list him as short as -50000
• [March 10] Zach Wilson is the clear second choice in the odds to be taken first overall in the 2021 NFL Draft, but it’s a foregone conclusion that Trevor Lawrence will go first
• [February 23] Some sportsbooks now give BYU’s Zach Wilson the second-best odds to be taken first overall in the 2021 NFL Draft, though Lawrence is still the heavy favorite. Justin Fields still has the second-best average odds
• [January 12] Despite being knocked out of the College Football Playoffs in the semifinals, Trevor Lawrence is still heavily favored to go first-overall in the 2021 NFL Draft. Justin Fields’ odds improved slightly, from +1100 to +1000, after two strong showings in the CFP
• [December 29] Trevor Lawrence is a near lock to go first-overall, now listed at average odds of -5500. BYU’s Zach Wilson has shown up on the board for the first time, given +3000 odds to be taken with the first pick in the 2021 NFL Draft
• [December 8] Though Lawrence’s Heisman odds are fading, his odds to go first overall in the 2021 NFL Draft remain at an average of -625, just slightly longer than the -750 he was listed at a month ago
• [November 12] Fields’ odds have faded from +280 to +725, still the second-best odds on the board. Trey Lance of North Dakota State has emerged with +2250 odds, the fourth-best on the board.
• [August 1] Justin Fields’ odds have improved from +300 to +280, while Penei Sewell’s odds plummeted from +400 to +900. The Ohio State quarterback appears to be the lone threat to Trevor Lawrence going first overall.
• [April 25, 2020] Although he lost in the National Championship, Trevor Lawrence had a great sophomore season at Clemson, and he is now the odds-on favorite to be selected first overall in 2021.
• [January 8, 2019] Trevor Lawrence is such a highly-touted prospect that he has opened with +100 odds to be selected first in the 2021 NFL Draft, which is still more than two years away.

2021 Odds to Be 2nd/3rd/4th/5th Overall Pick in NFL Draft

2021 Odds to Be Taken in Picks 2-5

*Odds as of April 29

Here are some notes on the odds movement:

• [April 29] Some oddsmaker must have some insider info, as all sportsbooks have now flipped Trey Lance to the favorite in odds to be the third-overall pick. Lance overtakes Mac Jones as the favorite, who was as short as -278 a few days ago. Lance was as long as +625 two weeks ago.
• [April 26] After reports have surfaced that the 49ers have narrowed their selection to Mac Jones or Trey Lance at no. 3, Justin Fields’ odds have worsened significantly. Mac Jones is now the heavy favorite, while Lance has the second-best odds. Fields is as long as +700.
• [April 21] Justin Fields’ time as the favorite to be selected third overall lasted less than a week, as Mac Jones is back atop the board. Kyle Pitts is now the favorite to be taken fourth overall.
• [April 15] After Mac Jones became the favorite to be taken third overall for one week, the odds are swinging back in Justin Fields’ favor to be selected by the 49ers at no. 3
• [April 8] Zach Wilson has become a near lock to be taken second overall, while Mac Jones is now the odds-on favorite to be taken third overall
• [March 29] With news of 49ers’, who just traded up to acquire the third overall pick, GM John Lynch and head coach Kyle Shanahan attending Mac Jones’ second Pro Day, the Bama quarterback has gone from having no odds to be taken third overall to the favorite
• [March 10] Ja’Marr Chase’s odds to be taken third overall in the 2021 NFL Draft have recovered, as he’s back to +250, the second-best odds on the board
• [February 22] Zach Wilson is now the odds-on favorite to be taken second overall in the 2021 NFL Draft, while Justin Fields has emerged as the favorite to be taken third overall
• [February 12] Zach Wilson has opened as the favorite to be taken no. 2 in the 2021 NFL Draft; Devonta Smith is the slight favorite to be taken third overall, with fellow wide receiver Ja’Marr Chase close on his tail

2021 Odds to Be First Player Taken at Each Position

2021 First at Each Position Odds

*Odds as of April 29

Here are some notes on the movement:

• [April 29] The gap between Kwity Paye and Jaelan Phillips’ odds to be the first defensive lineman taken is closing. Paye’s odds are now just -125, while Phillips is listed at +140.
• [April 21] With concerns over DeVonta Smith’s weight heating up, Jaylen Waddle now has the second-best odds to be the first wide receiver taken in the 2021 NFL Draft. Ja’Marr Chase is still the clear favorite to be the first wide receiver taken.
• [April 8] Ja’Marr Chase is now the heavy favorite to be the first wide receiver taken in the 2021 NFL Draft; Patrick Surtain II has leaped Caleb Farley, as has Jaycee Horn, in the odds to be the first corner taken; Kyle Pitts and Penei Sewell are the co-favorites to be the first non-quarterback taken in the draft.
• [March 10] Najee Harris has overtaken Travis Etienne as the favorite to be the first running back taken in the 2021 NFL Draft
• [February 22] Travis Etienne has opened as the odds-on favorite to be the first running back taken, while Ja’Marr Chase is the odds-on favorite to be the first wide receiver taken in spite of Devonta Smith’s Heisman season

2021 Second/Third QB Taken Odds

*Odds as of April 29

Here are some notes on the movement:

• [April 29] Although Mac Jones is the favorite to be the third quarterback drafted, Justin Fields has better odds than Jones to be the second quarterback drafted
• [February 22] Zach Wilson has now become the odds-on favorite to be the second quarterback taken in the 2021 NFL Draft, while Trey Lance has fallen further behind Justin Fields for the second-best odds
• [February 12] Zach Wilson has opened as the favorite to be the second quarterback taken in the NFL Draft. Justin Fields and Trey Lance are the co-favorites to be the third QB taken

Odds to Have First Overall Pick in 2021 NFL Draft

Closing Odds to Get No. 1 Pick in 2021

*Odds as of December 20

Here are some notes on the movement we’ve seen in the odds:

• [December 27] The Jets picked up their second win of the season in Week 16, beating the Browns. The Jaguars, on the other hand, lost to the Bears. As a result, Jacksonville has locked up the first pick in the 2021 NFL Draft
• [December 20] New York recorded their first win of the season in Week 15, taking down the heavily-favored Rams. With the win, the Jets see the Jaguars overtake them as the favorites to get the first-overall pick in the 2021 NFL Draft
• [December 8] The Jets remain the odds-on favorites to pick first in the 2021 NFL Draft thanks to an 0-12 start, but the Jaguars have short odds as well, only being one win ahead of New York
• [October 20] After an 0-6 start to the season, the Jets have become the odds-on favorites to get the first overall pick in the 2021 NFL Draft
• [April 1, 2020] The Panthers, Bengals, Jaguars, and Football Team (Washington) have opened as the co-favorites to have the first pick in the 2021 NFL Draft