Titans vs Colts Best Bets & Touchdown Picks for Week 6
By Eric Rosales in NFL News
Published:
- It’s an all AFC South battle when the Tennessee Titans visit the Indianapolis Colts in Week 6
- I’ve got Colts RB Jonathan Taylor as a workhorse in this matchup
- See all my Week 6 Titans vs Colts best bets and TD picks below
Player prop bettors have plenty to unpack as the Tennessee Titans take on the Indianapolis Colts. For the Colts, quarterback Daniel Jones and running back Jonathan Taylor headline an offense looking to reward backers in the NFL props markets.
On the opposite sideline, the Titans rely on quarterback Cam Ward and running back Tony Pollard to move the chains. Both offenses feature key playmakers that provide intriguing opportunities for bettors analyzing passing and rushing totals.
Kickoff is set for 1pm ET on Sunday, with FOX broadcasting the action live from Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis. This article dives into the top player props, analyzing passing, rushing, and receiving lines to identify the best betting angles for this matchup.
Titans vs Colts Best Player Prop Picks
Passing Props
Daniel Jones opened at 239.5 passing yards but dipped to 233.5. Indianapolis has struggled with turnovers, losing the ball eight times this year.
Odds as of October 18. Click here for a BetMGM promo code to bet on NFL games this season.
While the offense maintains a sturdy 66.7% red zone efficiency, Jones faces an improving Tennessee defense, explaining the slight drop.
Cameron Ward saw his passing yards tick up slightly from 198.5 to 199.5. Tennessee averages just 11.2 points per game and has managed only 819 total passing yards this season. That lack of production keeps his passing touchdown prop heavily suppressed at just 0.5.
Rushing & Receiving Props
Jonathan Taylor opened with a rushing attempts line of 20.5 before dropping to 19.5. This mirrors a rushing yards dip from 88.5 to 87.5. Indianapolis has accumulated 504 rushing yards this year, supporting his high carry share. Tyler Warren saw his receiving yards line fall from 54.5 to 49.5.
For Tennessee, Tony Pollard saw his rushing total adjust down to 53.5 from 54.5. The offense has produced only 413 rushing yards through five games. Meanwhile, Wan’dale Robinson opened with a receptions prop of 3.5 that has since moved up to 4.5.
- Pick: Calvin Ridley 15+ Receiving Yards (+104 / 49¢ at Kalshi)
Calvin Ridley presents an appealing target at a remarkably modest receiving milestone on Kalshi, where clearing fifteen yards yields plus money. While Tennessee’s offense has stumbled to an 0-5 start, Ridley remains their clear boundary threat and primary intermediate option. Ridley has cleared twelve receiving yards in eight of his last 11 games overall and in three of his four appearances with recorded targets this season, including 35 yards in Week 2, 13 yards in Week 4, and 33 yards against the Cardinals in Week 5.
In underdog scripts where the Titans are chasing points, Ridley has surpassed 12.5 yards in 11 of his last 12 outings. With Tennessee listed as a seven-point road underdog against an Indianapolis secondary yielding 27.6 points per game, negative game script will mandate steady downfield attempts, making a single reception capable of carrying this ticket over the finish line.
- Pick: Josh Downs Under 4.5 Receptions (-133 /57¢ at Kalshi)
Betting the under on Josh Downs’ NFL receptions props offers a strong data-backed angle. His line sits at 4.5, a plateau he has routinely failed to reach as Indianapolis leans heavily into its power ground game.
Downs has stayed under 4.5 catches in 10 of his last 13 appearances dating back to last year, averaging just 3.3 receptions per contest in that stretch. In 2026, Downs has caught three or fewer passes in three of his five games, topping out at three receptions in each of the past two weeks against the Rams and Raiders.
While Tennessee sits winless, Robert Saleh’s defense has held opposing aerial attacks in check, surrendering just 228.6 passing yards per game and limiting opponent completions. With the Colts projected to play from ahead as touchdown favorites and feeding Jonathan Taylor, target volume in the short passing game will be tightly capped, reinforcing Downs’ 76.9% failure rate to clear this total over his previous 13 games.
- Pick: Jonathan Taylor 20+ Rush Attempts (+100 / 50¢ at Kalshi)
Jonathan Taylor is poised for heavy lifting in the Indianapolis backfield on Sunday, making even money on twenty or more carries tremendous value. Taylor’s baseline workload has been enormous in 2026, already recording 24, 23, and 20 rushing attempts through the first four weeks before game script curtailed his workload in Week 5. That gives Taylor at least 20 carries in three of his last four games, averaging 20.5 rushing attempts per game across that span.
The Titans’ defensive front presents an inviting matchup for volume, allowing 114.0 rushing yards per game on an average of 3.54 yards per carry while facing sustained ground attacks as opponents bleed second-half clock against their league-worst scoring offense. As a seven-point home favorite, Shane Steichen’s offense will lean on Taylor to salt away drives and dominate time of possession, positioning him comfortably for another 20-carry afternoon.
Touchdown Scorer Props
(Note: Kalshi odds represent the price in cents to win $1)
- Pick: Jonathan Taylor Anytime Touchdown (-233 / 70¢ at Kalshi)
Using Kalshi’s favorable 70¢ payout structure, backing Taylor to find the end zone provides premier touchdown value on the board. Indianapolis averages 24.8 points per game, generating sustained red zone opportunities behind an offensive line controlling the line of scrimmage.
Taylor remains the undisputed bell-cow near the goal line, having already punched in six rushing touchdowns in five games this season, scoring two touchdowns in three separate contests in Weeks 1, 2, and 4. Facing a depleted Tennessee defense that has surrendered 109 total points and sits at an NFL-worst minus-51 point differential, the Colts should regularly operate inside the twenty-yard line.
Given Taylor’s dominant 100% share of goal-line carries and relentless red zone usage, he is the weekend’s most dependable bet to find paydirt in the NFL TD scorer odds.
Sports Writer & Editor
Having worked in and around sports since 1997, Eric is truly a knowledgeable expert. The two-time journalism grad specializes in all things NBA and NFL. From TSN.ca to CTV's Olympic Broadcast Consortium, Eric's work has appeared in local and national publications alike.
