Updated NFL MVP Odds After Week 8 – Burrow, Caleb Williams Soar Into Top 4
By Sascha Paruk in NFL News
Published:
Josh Allen leads the current MVP market at +165, down from +250 after Week 5. Caleb Williams has made the largest shortening among players listed at both checkpoints, from +7500 to +500. On the other side, Dak Prescott has lengthened from +2000 to +10000, while Patrick Mahomes has moved from +600 to +1700.
The comparison uses the current prices in the existing board and the Week 5 prices supplied for this update. A lower positive number is described here as a shorter price; a higher number is longer. These price movements are not a guarantee of a change in a player’s actual award chances. The Week 5 sportsbook was not identified, so the snapshots may not be from the same book. “Not listed” indicates only that a player was absent from one of the two supplied lists.
Current NFL MVP Odds After Week 8
“Current Odds” as of Nov 3 at DraftKings. Bookmark SBD’s NFL MVP odds page for up-to-the-minute prices on all contenders.
NFL MVP Risers After Week 8
Caleb Williams, +7500 to +500: Williams has the largest shortening among the players with odds at both checkpoints and is now among the current market’s shortest prices.
The third-year signal-caller powered Chicago’s three-game winning streak from Weeks 6 through 8, throwing for 860 passing yards and 4 touchdowns with 0 interceptions across victories over Atlanta (305 yards, 1 TD), New England (308 yards, 2 TDs), and Seattle (247 yards, 1 TD). Williams has steered the Bears to a 6-2 record while commanding an offense generating 25.7 points per game, vaulting him into the thick of the MVP debate..
Joe Burrow, +1100 to +475: Burrow has moved from a longer Week 5 price to the top tier of the current board. Jordan Love also shortened substantially, from +6500 to +2500, and Allen moved from +250 to +165. Burrow exploded across Weeks 7 and 8 with 9 touchdown passes, dissecting Baltimore for 292 yards and 4 touchdowns before erupting for 462 passing yards and 5 touchdowns (plus a rushing score) against Tennessee.
Burrow leads the league with 20 passing touchdowns through seven games, piloting Cincinnati to a 5-2 mark. Meanwhile, Allen cemented his front-runner status by steering Buffalo to a 6-1 record, accounting for 20 total touchdowns (11 passing, 9 rushing) while thoroughly dominating Baltimore in Week 8 (289 yards, 2 passing TDs, 1 rushing TD). Love’s shortening stems from Green Bay’s steady 5-3 push, having compiled 2,246 passing yards and 16 passing touchdowns.
Other players on the rise include Jared Goff (+3500 to +3000), Jaxon Smith-Njigba (+8000 to +6000), Drake Maye (+1600 to +1500), and Bo Nix (+12500 to +12000).
NFL MVP Fallers After Week 8
Dak Prescott, +2000 to +10000: Prescott’s MVP candidacy collapsed as Dallas dropped two of its last three contests—falling 27-20 to Green Bay in Week 6 and 33-30 to Arizona in Week 8—to slide to 3-5 SU. Prescott was held to 195 passing yards against the Cardinals and threw 2 interceptions against the Packers, falling out of the national spotlight.
Patrick Mahomes, +600 to +1700: Mahomes**** also faded sharply as Kansas City suffered back-to-back losses to Seattle (165 passing yards, 0 TDs, 1 INT) and Denver, dropping the Chiefs to 5-2 while Mahomes sits at just 12 touchdown passes through seven games. Stafford tumbled as the Rams dropped two of three games to fall to 4-4, plagued by 8 interceptions on the year.
Other notable longer prices include Henry (+9000 to +30000), Darnold (+10000 to +25000), Taylor (+17500 to +50000), Purdy (+300 to +450), and Lawrence (+800 to +950).
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Managing Editor
Sascha has been working in the sports-betting industry since 2014, and quickly paired his strong writing skills with a burgeoning knowledge of probability and statistics. He holds an undergraduate degree in linguistics and a Juris Doctor from the University of British Columbia.
