Rangers vs Canucks Prediction, Odds & Friday NHL Picks
By Michael Schwartz in NHL Hockey
Published:
- I’ve made my Rangers vs. Canucks prediction for Friday’s cross-conference game at Rogers Arena
- One of these teams brings a six-game losing streak into this matchup
- Which total, shots and points angles am I backing? Read below
The New York Rangers visit the Vancouver Canucks this evening, with puck drop at Rogers Arena set for 9 p.m. ET. New York sits third in the Metropolitan Division, while Vancouver is eighth in the Pacific.
The Canucks enter on a six-game losing streak and need more from Elias Pettersson up front. The Rangers lean on Adam Fox from the back end, and Kalshi has them as comfortable road favorites.
The first meeting this season finished 6-2 for the Rangers, in New York. I like the over again in Vancouver, although the second meeting could get there a different way. A 4-3 game counts just as much as another one-sided result.
Rangers vs. Canucks Odds
Kalshi winner prices as of 6:04 p.m. ET on Nov. 12. Each contract settles at $1, so the YES ask works as a rough guide to implied probability rather than an exact one.
At 67¢, New York needs to win more than two out of every three games at that price to turn a profit before fees. The Rangers have won four of their last five, but the winner and the total ask different questions. Vancouver can lose and still do enough scoring to help the over.
A 67¢ YES contract on the Rangers returns 33¢ in profit if they win. That’s a steep price to pay, so I’m looking at the total and two player props instead.
Rangers vs. Canucks Prediction: Game Total Pick
- Pick: Over 6.5 goals
Vancouver’s defense is driving this pick. The Canucks allow 4.30 goals and 30.25 shots per game, with an .854 team save percentage and a 63.1% penalty kill.
New York has been outscored 15-5 in the third period through 10 road games. That is the part of the matchup that interests me the most. Even if the Rangers take an early lead, Vancouver may have a route back. An empty-net goal counts toward the total, too.
New York scores 2.95 goals per game, and Vancouver adds 2.80 of its own. Against a defense this leaky, I expect the Rangers to handle a big share of the scoring needed to get past 6.5.
Rangers vs. Canucks Player Prop Picks
Pavel Dorofeyev Total Shots
- Target: Pavel Dorofeyev Over 2.5 total shots
Pavel Dorofeyev put 230 shots on net for Vegas last season before the Rangers traded for him. That is 2.8 per game across 82 appearances. It does not tell us how often he finished with three in any one game, but it does explain why I am interested in a shots line rather than asking him to score.
A missed net or a blocked attempt does not count as a shot on goal. What I want to see before playing this prop is Dorofeyev keeping his offensive minutes, especially on the power play. I did not see a player price for three or more shots on the BetMGM game page.
Elias Pettersson Total Points
- Target: Elias Pettersson Under 0.5 total points
Pettersson has 20 points in 20 games and 14 in 14 career appearances against the Rangers. That is the strongest argument against this under. A point-per-game average does not mean a point every night, though, as multiple assists in one game cannot carry over to the next.
My under leans on New York making Vancouver generate its offense from outside, rather than giving Pettersson chances near the net or extra touches on the power play. The two picks can both win, as Vancouver can score without Pettersson recording a goal or an assist. I would want an actual price before taking that risk.
Rangers vs. Canucks Goalies and Injuries
Dylan Garand has made 12 starts for the Rangers in Igor Shesterkin’s absence. His .905 save percentage and 2.48 goals-against average matter more to my total than a one-game sample for another goalie. New York had not confirmed tonight’s starter when I priced the game.
Leevi Meriläinen projects for Vancouver after going 2-7-1 with a .889 save percentage and 3.52 GAA in 13 games. Neither starter has been confirmed.
Vancouver’s six straight losses include a 3-1 defeat against Philadelphia. That result is the risk to the over, since the Canucks managed only one goal again, New York would need six of its own. Check both starting goalies before puck drop.
Compare the rest of Friday’s NHL odds. My Rangers vs Canucks pick is Over 6.5, and the shots and points plays stay on my watchlist until I can match them to a posted price.
Michael brings 25+ years of sports media experience, including 19 years as a Sportsnet producer. Having covered the Olympics, Stanley Cups, World Cups, NBA Finals, Super Bowls, World Series, tennis, and golf, he finds sharp edges in the NBA, NHL, NFL, MLB, college sports, tennis, and golf.