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Updated 2019 Arnold Palmer Invitational Odds After the Cut

Tommy Fleetwood
Tommy Fleetwood has a share of the 36-hole lead at the 2019 Arnold Palmer Invitational. (Photo by Michael Wade/Icon Sportswire)
  • Tommy Fleetwood and Keegan Bradley share the 36-hole lead at the Arnold Palmer Invitational
  • The leaders are at -9, while six golfers are currently tied for 3rd, four shots off the pace
  • See the updated live odds entering Saturday of the 2019 API

36 holes are in the books at the 2019 Arnold Palmer Invitational, and while the first page of the leaderboard isn’t littered with any of the biggest names in golf, a few of the game’s super elite are still within striking distance.

Tommy Fleetwood and Keegan Bradley currently share the 36-hole lead, while world number two Justin Rose and pre-tournament favorite Rory McIlroy are six and seven shots back, respectively.

Live 2019 Arnold Palmer Invitational Odds

Golfer Position Score Rounds Odds to Win 2019 API at Bovada
Tommy Fleetwood T-1st -9 69, 66 +225
Keegan Bradley T-1st -9 67, 68 +350
Francesco Molinari T-3rd -5 69, 70 +1400
Billy Horschel T-3rd -5 68, 71 +2000
Kevin Kisner T-3rd -5 70, 69 +2800
Jhonattan Vegas T-3rd -5 69, 70 +3300
Keith Mitchell T-3rd -5 71, 68 +3300
Roger Sloan T-3rd -5 70, 69 +6600
Patrick Reed T-9th -4 70, 70 +2500
Bubba Watson T-9th -4 68, 72 +2800
Matthew Fitzpatrick T-9th -4 70, 70 +3300
Rafa Cabrera Bello T-9th -4 65, 75 +3300
Sungjae Im T-9th -4 71, 69 +5000
Matt Wallace T-9th -4 71, 69 +5000
Eddie Pepperell T-9th -4 72, 68 +6600
Aaron Baddeley T-9th -4 70, 70 +6600
Justin Rose T-17th -3 71, 70 +1800

*Odds taken March 8 at 9pm EST

The Top of the Board

Considering Fleetwood and Bradley went off at +3300 and +6600, respectively, to open the tournament, betting them now feels like chasing.

If forced to choose between the two, I’d lean Fleetwood due to the fact that he’s vaulted to the top of the leaderboard, despite not putting well through two rounds.

Fleetwood ranks 59th in strokes gained putting this week, while his ball striking has been on fire. He ranks second in approach, third off the tee, and first in strokes gained tee to green.

Bradley, meanwhile, has also struck the ball well, but has greatly benefited from a hot putter.


He’s gained over two strokes on the field with his putter through two rounds, and considering he ranks 212th out of 221 qualified golfers in strokes gained putting this season, heavy regression seems inevitable.

Molinari is Money

Moving down the leaderboard, the name that sticks out immediately is Francesco Molinari. The reigning Open champion has five straight top 26 finishes at Bay Hill, including three top 10’s.


He gained almost five strokes on approach last week in Mexico, and his usually lights out ball striking has been on display this week as well. At +1400, he’s a great bet to make a charge to the top this weekend.

Best Live Value Picks at 2019 Arnold Palmer Invitational

  1. Matt Wallace (+5000): He’s in the hunt in his first start of 2019 on American soil thanks to a dynamite approach game. He’s gained over 3 strokes on approach through 36 holes, after gaining over 5 in Mexico last week. He won three times on the European Tour in 2018 and finished second in a stacked field at the Dubai Desert Classic in January.
  2. Marc Leishman (+6600): The 2017 champ started +4 through 6 holes, but has since racked up seven birdies against just one bogey to sit at -2. His calendar year is off to a fast start, with three top 4 finishes in five events.
  3. JJ Spaun (12500): A birdie-making machine when he’s on, he’s already gained over four shots on approach this week, despite ranking third-worst in putting among those who made the cut. If he can get the flat stick rolling, he’s proven he can go real low and vault up the leaderboard.
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