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Blue Jays vs Athletics Picks & Odds (July 6)

Robert Duff

by Robert Duff in MLB Baseball

Updated Jul 5, 2022 · 9:06 PM PDT

Blue Jays va Athletics odds
Jul 4, 2022; Oakland, California, USA; Oakland Athletics players celebrate their 5-1 victory over the Toronto Blue Jays at RingCentral Coliseum. Mandatory Credit: D. Ross Cameron-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Toronto Blue Jays are -190 road favorites over the Oakland Athletics in an American League afternoon game slated for Wednesday, July 5
  • Toronto entered play on Tuesday with a 14-11 straight up slate as a road favorite this season
  • Get the best bets and Blue Jays vs Athletics odds, below

Depending upon which sample size is analyzed, the Oakland Athletics can feel really good or unbearably sad about how they’re faring against the Toronto Blue Jays.

Entering play on Tuesday, the A’s had won two out of three games from the Blue Jays. However, Toronto had taken the victory in 13 of the past 17 games against Oakland.

Oddsmakers are looking to the larger number as the one worth counting. It’s the Blue Jays who are set as -190 road favorites over the Athletics in the MLB betting line on Wednesday afternoon. The total has gone over in 13 of Toronto’s past 16 games.

First pitch at RingCentral Coliseum is set for 3:37pm ET on Wednesday, July 6. Cloudy skies are in the forecast, with 10 mph wind and a temperature of 77 degrees.

Blue Jays vs Athletics Odds

Team Moneyline Runline Total
Toronto Blue Jays -190 -1.5 (-110) O 8 (-115)
Oakland Athletics +158 +1.5 (-110) U 8 (-105)

Odds as of July 5 at Caesars Sportsbook. See available Caesars Sportsbook promo codes

 

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At odds of -190, the Blue Jays are offering an implied probability of victory of 65.52% in the MLB betting line. A successful $10 wager on Toronto would deliver a payout of $15.30.

The public is leaning heavily toward the Blue Jays according to the MLB betting trends. There’s 87% or runline wagers on Toronto, as well as 54% of moneyline bets. The under is drawing 54% of the action.

The MLB betting trends are displaying that Toronto is +285 to win the AL East in the AL Division odds. Oakland is set at +35000 to win the AL West. The MLB pennant odds show the Blue Jays at +500 and the Athletics at +100000 to win the AL flag. Toronto is at +1200  and Oakland is +100000 to capture the title in the World Series odds.

Toronto vs Oakland Probable Pitchers

Blue Jays right-hander Jose Berrios has allowed an American League-high 53 earned runs. He’s surrendered 16 earned runs over his past 11.2 innings on the hill. That’s an ERA of 12.34. Amazingly, he got the win in one of those three starts.

Berrios is 4-2 over his past six decisions. In nine road starts, Berrios is 2-4 with a 7.92 ERA. He’s among the bottom 1% of MLB hurlers in xSLG (.581), the bottom 2% of xwOBA (.397), xwOBAcon (.464) and xERA (6.23), the bottom 3% of xBA (.310) and the bottom 9% of hard-hit percentage (45.6).

Against Oakland, Berrios is 1-3 with a 4.28 ERA in seven career starts. He shows a .653 winning percentage (32-17) in day games. Berrios is 0-2 with a 5.17 ERA in three starts at Oakland.

Berrios vs Kaprielian

Jose Berrios
VS
James Kaprielian
6-4 Record 1-5
5.72 ERA 5.43
6.23 xERA 4.99
1.43 WHIP 1.38
3.05 SO/W Ratio 1.48

Oakland right-hander James Kaprielian is finally off the snide. In his last start against the Seattle Mariners he worked six innings of three-hit ball, allowing one earned run. He counted his first win of the season in the 3-1 verdict by the Athletics. It was his first win since Sept. 18 of last year.

Kaprielian has allowed four or more earned runs in five of 12 starts this season. He’s 0-3 with a 6.45 ERA in five home starts during the 2022 campaign.

Kaprielian is 4-5 with 4.07 ERA in 17 day-game appearances. At Oakland he’s 5-6 with a 4.30 ERA in 17 appearances. Kaprielian will be facing Toronto for the first time in his career.

Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers

Blue Jays Batters Batting Average vs Kaprelian Athletics Batters Batting Average vs Berrios
Bo Bichette .000 Nick Allen .000
Cavan Biggio .000 Elvis Andrus .300
Matt Chapman .000 Christian Bethancourt .000
Zack Collins .000 Skye Bolt .000
Santiago Espinal .000 Seth Brown .500
Vladimir Guerrero Jr .000 Tony Kemp .286
Lourdes Gurriel Jr .000 Ramon Laureano .267
Teoscar Hernandez .000 Vimael Machin .000
Alejandro Kirk .000 Sean Murphy .000
Gabriel Moreno .000 Sheldon Neuse .000
George Springer .000 Chad Pinder .000
Raimel Tapia .333 Stephen Piscotty .500
Bradley Zimmer .000 Stephen Vogt .000

Oakland’s Seth Brown and Stephen Piscotty are both 3-for-6 (.500) when facing Berrios. Brown has also driven in a run. Elvis Andrus is 3-for-10 (.300).

https://twitter.com/JustBBMedia/status/1544142446031953924?s=20&t=mDv31u6GLC9gyw-TepnCRw

Raimel Tapia is the only Toronto batter to previously face Kaprielian. He’s 1-for-3 (.333) with an RBI.

Blue Jays vs Athletics Prediction

Berrios is second in the AL in home runs allowed (17), Kaprielian has served up 11 long balls.

YouTube video

The total has gone over in six of Toronto’s past seven games and in five of the Jay’s last seven games at Oakland. Toronto has gone over in an MLB-leading 45 games.

The best play on this game is to take the over.

Pick: Over 8 (-115)

 

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