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Braves vs Nationals Odds, Lines & Predictions for Opening Day

Robert Duff

by Robert Duff in MLB Baseball

Updated Mar 29, 2023 · 5:56 PM PDT

Washington Nationals celebrating victory over Atlanta Braves
Sep 28, 2022; Washington, District of Columbia, USA; Washington Nationals shortstop CJ Abrams (5) is congratulated by teammates after hitting a walk-off RBI single against the Atlanta Braves during the tenth inning at Nationals Park. Mandatory Credit: Brad Mills-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Atlanta Braves are -250 away favorites over the Washington Nationals in Opening Day game on Thursday, March 30
  • Atlanta is the defending NL East champions and went 7-3 in DC last season
  • See the Braves vs Nationals odds and picks for Opening Day

The last time the Washington Nationals were playing host to the Atlanta Braves, there was good news. Washington fashioned a 3-2 victory in 10 innings on the home front on Sept. 28 of last season.

For the most part, though, last season’s success story between the two ball clubs was fashioned by the Braves. Atlanta posted a 14-5 straight up record over Washington during the 2022 National League campaign. That was including a nine-game win streak at one point.

Braves vs Nationals Odds

Team Run Line Total Moneyline
Atlanta Braves -1.5 (-140) O 8 (+100) -250
Washington Nationals +1.5 (+118) U 8 (-120) +205

Oddsmakers are expecting that a new season won’t be changing a familiar pattern. Atlanta is set as -250 home favorite as these two NL East rivals are clashing on opening day. The Braves were 7-3 SU at Washington last season.

First pitch for this game on Thursday, March 30, is set for 1:05pm ET at Nationals Park. The game will be broadcast on the MLB Network.

 

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In the MLB public betting splits, the people are strongly out in support of the NL East champion Braves. Spread splits are going for Atlanta with 90% of handle and 84% of bets. Moneyline action is even more pro-Atlanta. The Braves are getting 91% of handle and 89% of bets.

As far as the total, the under is getting slightly the better of the wagering. It’s drawing 68% of handle and 57% of bets. At 83-75-8, Atlanta was the second-best NL team on the total last season. However, the under was the winning play in five of the last six Braves vs Nationals games.

With a betting line of +850, Atlanta is the #3 NL club in the World Series odds. In search of their sixth successive NL East crown, the Braves are the +100 chalk in the MLB Division odds.

Fried Setting Out In Search Of Free Agent Gold

Entering a contract year, anticipation is that Atlanta left-hander Max Fried will be in for a huge season. He was 4-0 in spring training with 19 strikeouts in 14.1 innings of work.

Fried didn’t allow an earned run all spring and was showing a 0.70 WHIP.

Fried vs Corbin

Max Fried
VS
Patrick Corbin
14-7 Record 6-19
2.48 ERA 6.31
2.85 xERA 6.41
1.01 WHIP 1.70
5.31 SO/W 2.61

The numbers for veteran southpaw Patrick Corbin exemplify exactly how difficult of a year 2022 was for the Nationals.  At 6-19, he led the NL in losses for the second straight season. Corbin was 9-16 in 2021. Last season, he also allowed more hits (210) and earned runs (107) than any other NL hurler. Corbin has surrendered 64 home runs over the past two seasons.

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Albies, Arcia Carrying Hot Bats

The double-play combination for the Braves has proven to be double trouble for Corbin. Second baseman Ozzie Albies is batting .429 in 28 at-bats with three homers and 11 RBI. In just 17 trips to the plate, shortstop Orlando Arcia is smacking .471 with two homers and six RBI.

Braves vs Nationals Recent Results

Date Home-Away Moneyline Run Line Total
07/14/2022 WAS 4 ATL 5 ATL WAS Under
07/15/2022 WAS 4 ATL 8 ATL ATL Over
07/16/2022 WAS 3 ATL 6 ATL ATL Over
07/17/2022 WAS 7 ATL 3 WAS WAS Over
09/19/2022 ATL 5 WAS 2 ATL ATL Under
09/20/2022 ATL 3 WAS 2 ATL WAS Under
09/21/2022 ATL 2 WAS 3 WAS WAS Under
09/26/2022 WAS 0 ATL 8 ATL ATL Under
09/27/2022 WAS 2 ATL 8 ATL ATL Over
09/28/2022 WAS 3 ATL 2 WAS WAS Under

For the Nationals, outfielder Victor Robles is batting .360 in 25 at-bats against Fried. Outfielder Corey Dickerson has only faced Fried five times, but he’s hitting .400 with a homer and two RBI.

Braves vs Nationals Pick & Prediction

Atlanta won 101 games last season. Washington lost 107. Since the Nationals won the 2019 World Series, only the Pittsburgh Pirates (242) have lost more MLB games than Washington (238).

Fried was 6-3 with a 2.55 ERA during away games in 2022. He was 3-1 with a 2.23 ERA in day games. Against Washington, the Braves lefty is 6-4 with a 4.52 ERA. That includes a 2-1 slate with a 4.50 ERA in a trio of 2022 starts.

Corbin was 4-8 at home last season with a 5.17 ERA. He made four starts against the Braves and was 0-3 with a 9.42 ERA and 2.37 WHIP. Corbin was 3-6 with a 5.64 ERA during day games.

Pick: Atlanta Braves ML (-250)

 

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