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Braves vs Pirates Odds, Predictions & Picks (Aug. 10)

John Perrotto

by John Perrotto in MLB Baseball

Updated Aug 9, 2023 · 8:45 PM PDT

Atlanta Braves right fielder Ronald Acuna Jr swinging
Aug 9, 2023; Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, USA; Atlanta Braves right fielder Ronald Acuna Jr. (13) prepares to bat in the on-deck circle against the Pittsburgh Pirates during the first inning at PNC Park. Mandatory Credit: Charles LeClaire-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Braves are -218 road favorites over the Pirates on Thursday
  • Bryce Elder (8-3, 3.43) will pitch for the Braves against Pirates lefty Bailey Falter (0-7, 4.87)
  • A look at the Pirates vs Braves odds and matchup can be found below with a pick

The MLB-best Atlanta Braves wrap up a four-game series with the Pirates at 12:35 p.m. ET Thursday at PNC Park in Pittsburgh.

The Braves (72-40, 35-20 road) beat the Pirates 6-5 on Wednesday night for their second win a row following a three-game losing streak. The Pirates (51-63, 27-30 home) have lost three of their last five games.

Braves vs Pirates Odds

Team Moneyline Runline Total
Atlanta Braves -218 -1.5 (-130) Over 10 (-115)
Pittsburgh Pirates -180 +1.5 (+110) Under 10 (-105)

The Braves are  -218 moneyline favorites over the Pirates on Thursday in the MLB odds, giving them an implied win probability of 68.55%. A delay is possible as the weather forecast calls for an 80% chance of showers or thunderstorms. The high temperature is expected to be 78 degrees along with wind from the east at 6-9 mph.

Atlanta is the +330 favorite in the World Series championship odds while Pittsburgh is listed at +100000.


Odds as of August 9th at DraftKings. Claim a DraftKings promo code to bet on Braves vs Pirates on Thursday. 

Braves vs Pirates Probable Pitchers

Bryce Elder (8-3, 3.43) is scheduled to start for the Braves against left-hander Bailey Falter (0-7, 4.87). Both will be pitching on four days of rest.

Elder vs Falter

Bryce Elder
Bailey Falter
8-3 Record 0-7
3.43 ERA 4.87
4.35 xERA 4.63
1.23 WHIP 1.47
2.30 SO/W 3.33

Elder is coming off a rough outing in which he lost to the Cubs last Saturday in Chicago. He was tagged for seven runs (five earned) and seven hits in 4.1 innings with three walks and three strikeouts.

Elder will be facing the Pirates for the first time in his career.

In 10 road starts this season, Elder has a 4-2 record and 3.41 ERA and he is 3-3 with a 4.36 ERA in 10 starts in day games. The Braves are 15-7 when Elder pitches, and he has recorded 13 quality starts.

Falter will be making his second start for the Pirates since being acquired from the Philadelphia Phillies at the trade deadline on Aug. 1. He had a no-decision last Saturday against the Brewers at Milwaukee when he allowed one run on six hits in four innings while striking out two and walking one.

This will be Falter’s third career start against the Braves. He is 0-1 with a 7.56 ERA.

Falter will be making his first start of the season at PNC Park. He has started twice during the day, going 0-1 with a 3.00 ERA. Falter has two quality starts in eight outings this season and his teams have gone 1-7 in those games.

Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers

Braves Batters Batting Average vs Bailey Falter
Michael Harris II .500
Marcell Ozuna .500
Orlando Arcia .500
Travis d’Arnaud .500
Austin Riley .000
Ronald Acuna Jr. .000
Matt Olson .000
Sean Murphy .000
Pirates Batters Batting Average vs Bryce Elder
Josh Palacios .000

Braves center fielder Michael Harris is 2 for 4 against Falter in his career with a double and a home run. The only Pirates hitter who has faced Elder is outfielder Josh Palacios and he is 0 for 1 with a hit by pitch.

Braves vs Pirates Betting Trends

Ronald Acuna Jr. had three hits for the Braves as did Ozzie Albies and Harris in Wednesday night’s 6-5 win over the Pirates. Albies also drove in two runs.

Austin Riley added two hits and drove in Harris with the winning run in the eighth inning on a sacrifice fly.

Acuna was back in the lineup after leaving Wednesday night’s game when he was hit in the left elbow with a pitch. At -330, Acuna is the heavy favorite in the National League MVP odds.

Ke’Bryan Hayes homered while finishing with three hits and three RBIs for the Pirates. Andrew McCutchen chipped in with two hits.

Braves vs Pirates Last 10 Games

Date Home Team Away Team Score
8/9/23 Pirates Braves ATL, 6-5
8/8/23 Pirates Braves ATL, 8-6
8/7/23 Pirates Braves PIT, 7-6
8/24/22 Pirates Braves ATL, 14-2
8/23/22 Pirates Braves ATL, 6-1
8/22/22 Pirates Braves ATL, 2-1
6/12/22 Braves Pirates ATL, 5-3
6/11/22 Braves Pirates ATL, 10-4
6/10/22 Braves Pirates ATL, 4-2
6/9/22 Braves Pirates ATL, 3-1

The Braves have won two of three in this series and are 23-7 against the Pirates since 2018.

Braves vs Pirates Prediction

Nothing about this game stands out enough to inspire a surefire pick, so let’s go with the law of average and pick the under after the first three games of the series went over the total.

Pick: Under 10 (-105)

Season Record: 37-16 (+17.7 units) ML; 2-2 (0.0 units) RL; 2-1 (+1.0 unit) O/U; 0-1 (-1.0 unit) same-game parlays; 2-2 (+3.6) player props; 43-22 (+21.3 units) overall


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