Mets vs Nationals Odds, & Picks (May 15)
- The Mets are -162 road favorites over the Nationals on Monday
- Left-hander David Peterson (1-5, 7.68) will start for the Mets against Nationals lefty Patrick Corbin (1-5, 4.87)
- A look at the Mets vs Nationals predictions and odds can be found below
The New York Mets will try to win their first series in the month of May when they face the Washington Nationals at 4:05 pm ET on Monday in the finale of a four-game set at Nationals Park.
The Mets have won two of the first three games of the series. The teams split a pair of decisions Sunday as the Nationals won 3-2 in the resumption of a game suspended by rain Saturday, then the Mets rolled to an 8-2 victory in the regularly scheduled game.
Prior to the Nationals series, the Mets (20-21, 13-13 road) had lost 13 of their previous 17. The Nationals (17-23, 7-14 home) have lost two of three after winning six of nine.
Mets vs Nationals Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Runline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| New York Mets | -162 | -1.5 (+106) | Over 9 (-122) |
| Washington Nationals | +136 | +1.5 (-126) | Under 9 (+100) |
The Mets are -162 favorites over the Nationals on Monday in the MLB odds, giving them a 61.83% implied win probability. New York has +1000 World Series championship odds and Washington is listed at +80000.
The weather forecast is for a high of 76, mostly sunny and west wind at 6 mph.
Odds as of May 14th at FanDuel. Get a FanDuel promo code to bet on Mets vs Nationals on Monday.
Mets vs Nationals Probable Pitchers
In a matchup of left-handers, the Mets’ David Peterson (1-5, 7.68) will face Patrick Corbin (1-5, 4.87). Both will be pitching on five days of rest.
Peterson vs Corbin
| 1-5 | Record | 1-5 |
| 7.68 | ERA | 4.87 |
| 5.26 | xERA | 5.62 |
| 1.68 | WHIP | 1.42 |
| 3.33 | SO/W | 3.33 |
Peterson is struggling, going 0-3 with a 10.13 ERA in his last three starts. In Peterson’s previous outing, he was tagged for four runs and seven hits in 3.1 innings by the Reds in Cincinnati to go with four strikeouts and two walks.
Peterson has never lost to the Nationals in his career, notching a 2-0 mark with a 2.93 ERA in six games (five starts).
In five starts on the road in 2023, Peterson has a 1-3 record with an 8.87 ERA. He is 0-1 with a 12.00 ERA in two starts during the day. Peterson has yet to record a quality start in his seven outings and the Mets are 1-6 in those games.
Corbin is 0-3 in his last four starts despite a 3.70 ERA. Corbin has four quality starts in eight outings this season and the Nationals are 3-5 when he takes the hill.
Corbin had a QS on Tuesday against the Giants in San Francisco despite a scary moment.
Patrick Corbin takes a line drive off of his face and stays in the game because he's a hockey player. #SFGiants pic.twitter.com/wg2zIEezOz
— DavidXF (@SanDiegoGiants) May 10, 2023
He pitched six innings and allowed three runs (two earned) and eight hits while striking out three and walking none.
At Nationals Park, Corbin is winless this season in five starts with an 0-3 mark and 4.94 ERA. He is 0-4 with a 4.86 ERA in six starts in the daylight.
Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers
| Mets Batters | Batting Average vs Patrick Corbin |
|---|---|
| Tommy Pham | .500 |
| Pete Alonso | .351 |
| Mark Canha | .333 |
| Jeff McNeil | .310 |
| Starling Marte | .282 |
| Eduardo Escobar | .263 |
| Brandon Nimmo | .241 |
| Francisco Lindor | .241 |
| Luis Guillorme | .200 |
| Daniel Vogelbach | .000 |
| Nationals Batters | Batting Average vs David Peterson |
| Alex Call | 1.000 |
| Ildemaro Vargas | .600 |
| Joey Meneses | .500 |
| Keibert Ruiz | .200 |
| Luis Garcia | .143 |
| Lane Thomas | .000 |
| Michael Chavis | .000 |
| CJ Abrams | .000 |
Listed at +1400 in the NL MVP odds, Mets first baseman Pete Alonso is a .351 hitter (13 for 37) against Corbin with two doubles, five home runs and nine walks. Outfielder Tommy Pham is 6 for 12 with one double.
Ildemaro Vargas might get the start at second base for the Nationals over Luis Garcia. Vargas is 3 for 5 with two doubles off Peterson while Garcia is 1 for 7 with three strikeouts.
Mets vs Nationals Betting Trends
The Mets scored all eight of their runs in the fifth inning to win the regularly scheduled game. Starling Marte and Mark Canha both had two hits and two RBIs in the inning.
Canha finished with three hits and Marte and Francisco Lindor two each. Garcia had three hits for the Nationals and CJ Abrams finished with two.
Canha get a tie game? pic.twitter.com/ad8ac0lE8a
— New York Mets (@Mets) May 14, 2023
In the resumption of the game suspended Saturday, the Nationals’ Abrams hit a solo home run in the bottom of the seventh inning for the decisive run. Abrams finished with two hits and two RBIs and Lane Thomas, Keibert Ruiz and Dominic Smith added two hits each for the Nationals.
The Mets Michael Perez went 4 for 4. Brandon Nimmo and Brett Baty had two hits apiece.
The Mets activated left-hander Brooks Raley (left elbow inflammation) from the injured list before the second game and designated right-hander Dennis Santana for assignment. Raley pitched one scoreless inning, though he had three walks.
Mets vs Nationals Last 10 Games
| Date | Home Team | Away Team | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5/14/23 (2) | Nationals | Mets | NYM, 8-2 |
| 5/14/23 (1) | Nationals | Mets | WAS 3-2 |
| 5/12/23 | Nationals | Mets | NYM, 3-2 |
| 4/27/23 | Mets | Nationals | NYM, 9-8 |
| 4/26/23 | Mets | Nationals | WAS, 4-1 |
| 4/25/23 | Mets | Nationals | WAS, 5-0 |
| 10/5/22 | Mets | Nationals | NYM, 9-0 |
| 10/4/22 (2) | Mets | Nationals | NYM, 8-2 |
| 10/4/22 (1) | Mets | Nationals | NYM, 4-2 |
| 9/4/22 | Mets | Nationals | WAS, 7-1 |
The teams have split six games since 2023 but the Mets hold a 53-35 edge since 2018.
Mets vs Nationals Prediction
Corbin is pitching much better this season after leading the major leagues with 19 losses in 2022. That makes it comfortable to fade Peterson in this matchup and play the Nationals as an underdog.
Pick: Nationals +136 ML
Season Record: 17-7 (+8.1 units) ML; 2-2 (0.0 units) RL; 2-1 (+1.0 unit) O/U; 21-9 (+9.1 units) overall
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John Perrotto has been covering and writing about sports for various outlets for over 40 years. His work has appeared in the likes of USA TODAY, ESPN.com, SI.com, Forbes.com, The Associated Press, Baseball Digest, and more. John is based out of Beaver Falls, PA.
